中國(guó)物流業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與能源碳排放的脫鉤研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-12 20:11
本文選題:物流業(yè) 切入點(diǎn):經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 出處:《廣西社會(huì)科學(xué)》2017年04期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:基于LMDI分解法和Tapio脫鉤理論,將碳排放驅(qū)動(dòng)因素分為能源結(jié)構(gòu)、能源效率、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),并構(gòu)建物流業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與碳排放的脫鉤模型。依據(jù)1998—2013年中國(guó)物流業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與碳排放數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行脫鉤研究,研究結(jié)果表明:脫鉤分為三個(gè)階段,即1995—1999年的強(qiáng)脫鉤、2000—2004年的擴(kuò)張性負(fù)脫鉤、2005—2013年的弱脫鉤;提高能源效率輔以能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整是實(shí)現(xiàn)兩者脫鉤的關(guān)鍵。基于此,應(yīng)積極開(kāi)發(fā)新能源、應(yīng)用低碳新技術(shù),調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),以促進(jìn)中國(guó)物流業(yè)的低碳化發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Based on LMDI decomposition method and Tapio decoupling theory, carbon emission drivers are divided into energy structure, energy efficiency and economic growth. Based on the data of economic growth and carbon emissions from 1998 to 2013 in China, the decoupling model is constructed. The results show that decoupling is divided into three stages. That is, the strong decoupling from 1995 to 1999 and the expansionary negative decoupling from 2000-2004 and the weak decoupling from 2005 to 2013; the key to achieving decoupling is to improve energy efficiency and be supplemented by energy structural adjustment. Based on this, we should actively develop new energy sources, apply new low-carbon technologies, and adjust the industrial structure. In order to promote the development of low carbonization of Chinese logistics industry.
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本文編號(hào):1603106
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