本文關(guān)鍵詞： 霧霾 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 環(huán)境規(guī)制 引力空間權(quán)重矩陣 區(qū)際差異　出處：《中國(guó)人口·資源與環(huán)境》2017年09期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：為探究不同省級(jí)區(qū)域霧霾、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和環(huán)境規(guī)制之間的空間關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng),本文提出針對(duì)霧霾的引力模型空間權(quán)重矩陣,并利用該矩陣建立了空間杜賓模型,分別對(duì)全國(guó)、西部、中部和東部省區(qū)的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了空間計(jì)量檢驗(yàn)。實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示:全國(guó)霧霾的莫蘭指數(shù)值顯著,且取值介于0.367—0.460之間;霧霾"重心"呈現(xiàn)先向東南再向西北移動(dòng)的趨勢(shì),移動(dòng)距離為76 557 m;霧霾的莫蘭指數(shù)值為東部省區(qū)最大,西部省區(qū)最小,中部省區(qū)介于二者之間。全國(guó)的霧霾與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間呈顯著的"U"型曲線,而西部、中部和東部省區(qū)則呈倒"U"型曲線,其中中部省區(qū)的曲線最為陡峭,西部省區(qū)次之,東部省區(qū)最為平緩。環(huán)境規(guī)制每增加1%,只有西部和東部的霧霾相應(yīng)減少,且各自相應(yīng)下降0.009和0.010個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。西部和東部經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的溢出效應(yīng)均顯著,而環(huán)境規(guī)制的溢出效應(yīng)不顯著。研究結(jié)果表明:(1)霧霾在空間上表現(xiàn)出集聚的特點(diǎn),全國(guó)和三個(gè)區(qū)域的霧霾都存在顯著的正向空間溢出效應(yīng),這種空間依賴性在時(shí)間維度上大致呈加強(qiáng)的趨勢(shì);霧霾的空間相關(guān)性表現(xiàn)為東部省區(qū)最強(qiáng),西部省區(qū)緊隨其后,中部省區(qū)最低。(2)西部和東部省區(qū)部分省市還未過拐點(diǎn),全國(guó)意義上的環(huán)境庫茨涅茲假說是不存在的,或者是至少還未出現(xiàn)。(3)西部和東部環(huán)境規(guī)制效果較為理想,而中部省區(qū)的環(huán)境規(guī)制效果不佳;從全國(guó)總體來看,當(dāng)前的環(huán)境規(guī)制整體上對(duì)霧霾并未起到有效的抑制作用。(4)東西部省區(qū)和中部省區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)霧霾溢出效應(yīng)分別表現(xiàn)為正向和反向;環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)霧霾的溢出效應(yīng)并不顯著。建議加強(qiáng)對(duì)霧霾的區(qū)域協(xié)同治理,重點(diǎn)推進(jìn)西部和東部省區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),調(diào)整和完善西部、中部和東部省區(qū)的環(huán)境規(guī)制政策。
[Abstract]:In order to explore the spatial correlation effect between haze, economic growth and environmental regulation in different provincial regions, this paper proposes a spatial weight matrix of gravity model for haze, and establishes a spatial Doberbin model by using the matrix. The panel data of national, western, central and eastern provinces are tested by spatial measurement. The empirical results show that the Moran index of national haze is significant, and the value is between 0.367-0.460; The "center of gravity" of haze showed a tendency of moving first to southeast and then to northwest, with a distance of 76 557 m. The Moran index of haze is the largest in the eastern province, the smallest in the western province, and the middle province is between the two. There is a significant "U" curve between haze and economic growth in the whole country, while in the west. The central and eastern provinces show the inverted "U" curve, in which the curve of the central province is steepest, the western province is the second, and the eastern province is the most gentle. Each increase of environmental regulation is 1%. Only in the west and east, the haze decreased by 0. 009 and 0. 010 percentage points respectively. The spillover effect of economic growth in the west and east was significant. However, the spillover effect of environmental regulation is not significant. The results show that haze has the characteristics of agglomeration in space, and there are significant positive spatial spillover effects of haze in the whole country and three regions. This spatial dependence tends to be strengthened in time dimension; The spatial correlation of haze was the strongest in the eastern province, followed by the western province, and the lowest in the central province. In the national sense, the environmental Kuznets hypothesis does not exist, or at least it has not appeared yet) the environmental regulation effect in the west and east of China is ideal, but the environmental regulation effect in the central province is not good. On the whole, the current environmental regulation does not play an effective role in inhibiting haze. (4) the spillover effect of the economic growth of the eastern and western provinces and central provinces on haze is positive and reverse, respectively; The spillover effect of environmental regulation on haze is not significant. It is suggested to strengthen the regional cooperative governance of haze, to promote the transformation and upgrading of the economic structure of the western and eastern provinces, and to adjust and perfect the western region. The environmental regulation policy of the central and eastern provinces.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)礦業(yè)大學(xué)(徐州)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“農(nóng)村居民能源消費(fèi)行為及節(jié)能引導(dǎo)政策研究——以山東省農(nóng)村居民為例”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào):71403266) 中國(guó)博士后特別資助項(xiàng)目“霧霾污染的空間溢出效應(yīng)及省級(jí)區(qū)域協(xié)同控制機(jī)制研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào):2016T90517) 江蘇自然科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目“長(zhǎng)三角區(qū)域霧霾的空間溢出效應(yīng)及協(xié)同控制機(jī)制研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào):BK20160246)
【分類號(hào)】：X22;X513
【正文快照】： 近年來中國(guó)大多數(shù)城市和省區(qū)都面臨著不同程度的霧霾,不僅嚴(yán)重危害著人們的日常生活和健康,也直接和間接地引起了巨大的經(jīng)濟(jì)損失[1]。針對(duì)日益嚴(yán)峻的霧霾現(xiàn)狀,國(guó)家相繼出臺(tái)了許多有關(guān)大氣防治的法律、法規(guī)和政策,加大了對(duì)工業(yè)企業(yè)違規(guī)行為的監(jiān)管和處罰力度。尤其2016年底出現(xiàn)

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