【摘要】：跨太平洋伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)定(Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement)發(fā)展至今,經(jīng)歷了擴(kuò)容和美國退出的局勢變革。從不斷擴(kuò)容到美國總統(tǒng)特朗普簽署行政命令,正式宣布美國退出TPP,2017年3月中國和韓國應(yīng)邀參與TPP成員國會議。不管經(jīng)濟(jì)格局如何變革,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的必然趨勢仍然是經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化。全球經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的同時(shí),服務(wù)貿(mào)易逐漸在世界經(jīng)濟(jì)中展現(xiàn)其重要性。服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展水平已經(jīng)成為衡量一個(gè)國家國際競爭力的重要標(biāo)志之一。近年,中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易快速發(fā)展,但與發(fā)達(dá)國家相比較,中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展依然有很大的差距。因此,研究TPP背景下的中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展很有必要。通過分析TPP的發(fā)展歷程,結(jié)合貿(mào)易總量、服務(wù)貿(mào)易RCA指數(shù)和服務(wù)貿(mào)易開放度來分析中國與主要TPP國家的服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。在現(xiàn)狀研究的基礎(chǔ)上,利用GTAP模型模擬中國加入TPP前后兩種情境,探究中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易在中國加入TPP前后的總量和具體行業(yè)的影響。分析得出中國加入TPP對中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易有積極的影響,而中國不加入TPP服務(wù)貿(mào)易將會有負(fù)面影響�；谙嚓P(guān)理論、現(xiàn)狀和模擬結(jié)果,提出幾點(diǎn)建議:一是更大程度地開放中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易,優(yōu)化服務(wù)貿(mào)易產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),推動(dòng)中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展;二是通過加強(qiáng)“一帶一路”沿線國家和東盟地區(qū)的合作來深化亞太地區(qū)服務(wù)貿(mào)易的洽談與合作;三是尋求適時(shí)加入TPP的機(jī)會,發(fā)揮TPP對于中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展的積極作用。
[Abstract]:The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement) has evolved through expansion and withdrawal from the United States. From expanding capacity to U.S. President Donald Trump's signing of an executive order formally announcing the U.S. withdrawal from the TPP, in March 2017, China and South Korea were invited to participate in the TPP membership meeting. No matter how the economic pattern changes, the inevitable trend of economic development is still economic globalization. With the rapid development of the global economy, trade in services is gradually showing its importance in the world economy. The development level of service trade has become one of the important symbols to measure the international competitiveness of a country. In recent years, China's service trade has developed rapidly, but compared with the developed countries, the development of China's service trade still has a big gap. Therefore, it is necessary to study the development of China's service trade under the background of TPP. By analyzing the development course of TPP, combining the total volume of trade, the RCA index of service trade and the degree of openness of service trade, this paper analyzes the current situation of service trade development between China and the main TPP countries. On the basis of the current research, this paper uses GTAP model to simulate the two situations before and after China's entry into TPP, and probes into the total amount of China's service trade before and after China's entry into TPP and the influence of specific industries. It is concluded that China's entry into TPP will have a positive impact on China's service trade, while China's failure to join TPP will have a negative impact. Based on the relevant theories, current situation and simulation results, some suggestions are put forward: first, to open China's service trade to a greater extent, optimize the industrial structure of service trade, and promote the development of China's service trade; The second is to deepen the negotiation and cooperation of service trade in the Asia-Pacific region by strengthening the cooperation between the countries along Belt and Road and the ASEAN region, and the third is to seek the opportunity to join the TPP in good time and give full play to the positive role of TPP in the development of China's service trade.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.68;F744

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 趙夢雪;詹花秀;;美國退出TPP對經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化可能產(chǎn)生的影響[J];湖南行政學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2017年02期

2 付，

本文編號：2424030