本文選題：制度距離 + 雙邊貿(mào)易�。� 參考：《財(cái)經(jīng)研究》2017年01期

【摘要】：制度在雙邊貿(mào)易中具有舉足輕重的作用。文章首次將相鄰效應(yīng)引入傳統(tǒng)的制度與貿(mào)易關(guān)系的分析框架,運(yùn)用空間面板模型深入考察了制度距離、相鄰效應(yīng)對(duì)中國與"一帶一路"國家雙邊貿(mào)易的影響。結(jié)果表明,中國與"一帶一路"沿線國家之間在文化、法律、宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)制度以及微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)制度方面的差異顯著抑制了雙邊進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易的發(fā)展,并且這種抑制作用在長期更為顯著。進(jìn)一步引入相鄰效應(yīng)的分析表明,中國與"一帶一路"沿線國家之間的雙邊貿(mào)易受到中國與沿線國家鄰國之間貿(mào)易的制約,即相鄰效應(yīng)表現(xiàn)為競爭關(guān)系,并且無論是針對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易還是出口貿(mào)易而言,中國與沿線國家之間的制度距離均強(qiáng)化了相鄰效應(yīng)的"競爭"作用,但上述作用在不同地區(qū)具有顯著差異。因此,在推進(jìn)"一帶一路"戰(zhàn)略時(shí),中國需要考慮制定相關(guān)的配套政策來平衡中國與"一帶一路"國家,特別是與這些兩兩相鄰國家之間的雙邊貿(mào)易利益,以促進(jìn)中國與各國雙邊貿(mào)易關(guān)系的良性發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:The system plays an important role in bilateral trade. For the first time, this paper introduces the adjoining effect into the traditional analysis framework of the institutional and trade relations, and uses the spatial panel model to investigate deeply the influence of the institutional distance and the adjacent effect on the bilateral trade between China and the "Belt and Road" countries. The results show that the differences between China and the countries along the "Belt and Road" in terms of culture, law, macroeconomic system and microeconomic system significantly inhibit the development of bilateral import and export trade. And this inhibition is more significant in the long run. The further analysis of the adjoining effect shows that the bilateral trade between China and the countries along the "Belt and Road" is restricted by the trade between China and the neighboring countries along the route. Moreover, the institutional distance between China and the countries along the route strengthens the "competition" effect of the neighboring effect, but the above effects have significant differences in different regions in terms of import trade and export trade. Therefore, in promoting the "Belt and Road" strategy, China needs to consider formulating relevant supporting policies to balance the bilateral trade interests between China and the "Belt and Road" countries, especially those neighbouring countries. In order to promote the healthy development of bilateral trade relations between China and other countries.
【作者單位】： 清華大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院;清華大學(xué)國情研究院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目(71403135) 教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究青年基金項(xiàng)目(16YJC790114) 中國博士后科學(xué)基金面上一等項(xiàng)目(2016M590076)
【分類號(hào)】：F752
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本文編號(hào)：1933659