發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-05-14 17:34

  本文選題：中國(guó)FDI + 東盟��； 參考：《云南師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自“10+1”中國(guó)—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)成立和簽署了《中國(guó)—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)投資協(xié)議》以來(lái),尤其是中國(guó)實(shí)行的“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略,不斷促進(jìn)中國(guó)—東盟區(qū)域內(nèi)的外商直接投資(Foreign Direct Investment,FDI)的發(fā)展。隨著區(qū)域一體化進(jìn)程的加快,中國(guó)企業(yè)在東盟國(guó)家的FDI規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大。中國(guó)直接投資迅速流入東盟加快了東盟國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、優(yōu)化了東盟國(guó)家的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),同時(shí)也提高了東盟各成員國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)效率。本文以前人經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和外國(guó)直接投資理論為基礎(chǔ),研究了中國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家的直接投資和東盟國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系。首先,從整體上分析了東盟國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀;然后分析了中國(guó)目前對(duì)東盟國(guó)家投資規(guī)模、投資的行業(yè)分布以及投資的國(guó)別構(gòu)成,并從三個(gè)角度分析了中國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家直接投資的動(dòng)因。最后,分別以東盟國(guó)家整體和各東盟主要國(guó)家為研究對(duì)象,建立動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型分析了中國(guó)FDI與東盟國(guó)家之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng),并分別測(cè)算了中國(guó)FDI對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)度,得出以下結(jié)論:第一,中國(guó)與東盟國(guó)家的投資、貿(mào)易往來(lái)規(guī)模日益增長(zhǎng),中國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家投資行業(yè)不斷拓寬。2013年,中國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人提出共建“21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路”倡議,中國(guó)—東盟已經(jīng)成為緊密的命運(yùn)共同體。第二,中國(guó)在東盟國(guó)家的FDI出于三種投資動(dòng)因:資源尋求性投資動(dòng)因、市場(chǎng)尋求性投資動(dòng)因和貿(mào)易尋求性投資動(dòng)因。第三,就整體而言,中國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家的FDI具有一定的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng),中國(guó)直接投資的流入在一定程度上促進(jìn)了東盟國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),同時(shí),中國(guó)FDI與東盟國(guó)內(nèi)固定資產(chǎn)投資和東盟的外貿(mào)出口之間存在“互補(bǔ)效應(yīng)”,格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)表明東盟GDP的增長(zhǎng)是中國(guó)FDI增加的原因。第四,通過(guò)國(guó)別分析,中國(guó)FDI對(duì)東盟各主要國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)促進(jìn)作用不一:中國(guó)FDI的增加能夠一定程度上導(dǎo)致泰國(guó)、新加坡和印度尼西亞GDP的增加,而且對(duì)新加坡經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)促進(jìn)作用最明顯,同時(shí)中國(guó)FDI對(duì)東盟五國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)度測(cè)算的結(jié)果表明中國(guó)FDI對(duì)泰國(guó)GDP的貢獻(xiàn)度最大。
[Abstract]:Since "101" China-ASEAN Free Trade area was established and signed the China-ASEAN Free Trade area Investment Agreement, especially the "Belt and Road" strategy implemented by China. To promote the development of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China-ASEAN region. With the acceleration of regional integration, the FDI scale of Chinese enterprises in ASEAN countries is expanding. The rapid inflow of Chinese direct investment into ASEAN accelerates the economic development of ASEAN countries, optimizes the industrial structure of ASEAN countries, and improves the economic efficiency of ASEAN member countries. Based on the theory of economic growth and foreign direct investment, this paper studies the relationship between China's direct investment in ASEAN countries and the economic growth of ASEAN countries. First of all, it analyzes the economic development of ASEAN countries as a whole, and then analyzes the scale of Chinese investment in ASEAN countries, the industry distribution of investment and the national composition of investment. And from three angles to analyze the motivation of China's direct investment in ASEAN countries. Finally, taking the ASEAN countries as a whole and the main ASEAN countries as research objects, the dynamic panel data model is established to analyze the economic growth effect between China FDI and ASEAN countries, and the contribution of China FDI to economic growth is calculated. The conclusions are as follows: first, the scale of investment and trade between China and ASEAN countries is increasing, and the investment industry of China in ASEAN countries has been continuously broadened. In 2013, the Chinese leaders put forward the initiative of jointly building the "Maritime Silk Road of the 21st Century". China-ASEAN has become a close community of destiny. Second, China's FDI in ASEAN countries is driven by three kinds of investment motives: resource seeking investment, market seeking investment and trade seeking investment. Third, on the whole, China's FDI to ASEAN countries has a certain economic growth effect, and the inflow of Chinese direct investment has promoted the economic growth of ASEAN countries to a certain extent, at the same time, There is a "complementary effect" between China's FDI and ASEAN's domestic fixed asset investment and ASEAN's foreign trade export. Granger causality test shows that the growth of ASEAN's GDP is the reason for the increase of China's FDI. Fourth, through country analysis, China's FDI has different effects on the economy of major ASEAN countries: the increase of China's FDI can, to some extent, lead to the increase of GDP in Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia. Moreover, the contribution of Chinese FDI to the economic growth of the five ASEAN countries is the most obvious. The results show that the contribution of Chinese FDI to GDP in Thailand is the largest.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F113;F831.6

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