“一帶一路”經濟走廊貿易潛力研究——基于貿易互補性、競爭性和產業(yè)國際競爭力的實證分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-02 01:02
本文關鍵詞: “一帶一路”經濟走廊 貿易互補性和競爭性 產業(yè)國際競爭力 貿易潛力 出處:《亞太經濟》2017年04期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:根據UN Comrade數(shù)據庫統(tǒng)計數(shù)據,采用貿易互補性指數(shù)、產業(yè)內貿易指數(shù)、Lafay指數(shù)、出口相似度指數(shù)和貿易密集度指數(shù)等實證測度指標,從貿易競爭性、互補性和產業(yè)國際競爭力三個方面對中國與"一帶一路"經濟走廊國家間商品貿易結構的匹配程度、競爭情況和貿易增長潛力進行了系統(tǒng)測度與分析。研究結果表明:中國與"一帶一路"經濟走廊國家仍以產業(yè)間貿易為主,且互補性大于競爭性。中國在工業(yè)制成品等資本或勞動密集型商品、"一帶一路"經濟走廊國家在初級或資源能源密集型商品方面各具優(yōu)勢。中國與"一帶一路"經濟走廊國家應在各自比較優(yōu)勢的基礎上,進一步深化貿易、投資和產能合作,為中國與"一帶一路"國家由利用比較優(yōu)勢向創(chuàng)造比較優(yōu)勢,由產業(yè)間貿易向價值鏈貿易的轉型與升級創(chuàng)造新的條件。
[Abstract]:According to UN Comrade database statistics, the index of trade complementarity, intra-industry trade index, export similarity index and trade intensity index are used to measure trade competitiveness. The degree of matching the commodity trade structure between China and "Belt and Road" economic corridor countries in the three aspects of complementarity and industrial international competitiveness, The competitive situation and trade growth potential are systematically measured and analyzed. The results show that China and "Belt and Road" economic corridor countries still focus on inter-industry trade. China is superior to competition in capital or labor-intensive commodities such as manufactured goods, and Belt and Road has its own advantages in primary or resource-energy intensive commodities. The Economic Corridor countries should be based on their comparative advantages, Further deepening trade, investment and capacity cooperation will create new conditions for China and "Belt and Road" countries to transform and upgrade from utilizing comparative advantage to creating comparative advantage and from inter-industry trade to value chain trade.
【作者單位】: 中國社會科學院亞太與全球戰(zhàn)略研究院;
【基金】:中國—東盟區(qū)域發(fā)展協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心科研專項 教育部長江學者和創(chuàng)新團隊發(fā)展計劃聯(lián)合資助(CW201514)
【分類號】:F125
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