本文關(guān)鍵詞：“一帶一路”背景下中俄自貿(mào)區(qū)建設(shè)的可行性與效應(yīng)研究　出處：《廣東財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 一帶一路 中俄自貿(mào)區(qū) 貿(mào)易效應(yīng) 引力模型

【摘要】：中國和俄羅斯作為發(fā)展中的大國,雖然在國際政治舞臺上起著舉足輕重的作用,但卻處處摯肘于美國為首的西方國家,尤其是在國際貿(mào)易游戲規(guī)則的制定上,缺乏足夠的話語權(quán)。兩國雖然有著二十多年穩(wěn)步增長的經(jīng)貿(mào)合作歷程,但總體上雙方的貿(mào)易規(guī)模不夠大、合作的領(lǐng)域范圍較小、層次不夠深入,這不僅與雙方的大國身份不符,也與兩國高溫的政治關(guān)系不符。中國政府提出的“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略,旨在建設(shè)使眾多國家共同受益的、世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的新格局、新秩序,符合世界經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域一體化的發(fā)展大趨勢�！耙粠б宦贰睉�(zhàn)略,為擴(kuò)大中俄合作領(lǐng)域、深化合作項目、推進(jìn)自貿(mào)區(qū)的建設(shè),參與制定國際貿(mào)易新規(guī)則,鞏固在國際上的大國地位,提供了千載難逢的機(jī)遇。因此,中俄兩國政府要牢牢抓住這一戰(zhàn)略機(jī)遇,引導(dǎo)雙方企業(yè)界形成共識,盡快把中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建設(shè)提到制度層面上來。本文在參閱大量文獻(xiàn)和相關(guān)資料的基礎(chǔ)上,以自由貿(mào)易區(qū)效應(yīng)理論、比較優(yōu)勢理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易理論為基礎(chǔ),首先介紹了中俄貿(mào)易發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀,指出中俄在雙邊貿(mào)易、雙邊投資、科技領(lǐng)域、勞務(wù)合作等方面發(fā)展的狀況及出現(xiàn)的問題,用顯性比較優(yōu)勢指數(shù)、貿(mào)易互補(bǔ)性指數(shù)、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易指數(shù)等實證分析了中俄建立自貿(mào)區(qū)的可行性;然后本文從自貿(mào)區(qū)產(chǎn)生的靜態(tài)效應(yīng)和動態(tài)效應(yīng)兩個方面理論分析了建立中俄自貿(mào)區(qū)的貿(mào)易效應(yīng);最后本文用貿(mào)易引力模型實證分析了建立中俄自貿(mào)區(qū)的影響因素,通過局部均衡模型對中俄建立自貿(mào)區(qū)產(chǎn)生的貿(mào)易效應(yīng)進(jìn)行模擬預(yù)測,得出了建立自由貿(mào)易區(qū)后中俄兩國的貿(mào)易規(guī)模將會大幅度增長;最后綜合定性與定量的研究,結(jié)合前文分析的結(jié)果,分析了當(dāng)前中俄貿(mào)易中遇到的問題與障礙,針對性的提出了建立中俄自貿(mào)區(qū)的對策建議。
[Abstract]:As a developing country, China and Russia play an important role in the international political arena, but they are bound to the western countries led by the United States, especially in the formulation of the rules of the game of international trade. Although the two countries have more than 20 years of steady growth of economic and trade cooperation, but on the whole, the scale of bilateral trade is not large enough, the scope of cooperation is small, the level is not deep enough. This is not only incompatible with the status of the two countries as a great power, but also with the high temperature of political relations between the two countries. The "Belt and Road" strategy put forward by the Chinese government is aimed at building a new pattern of world economic development that benefits many countries. The new order is in line with the general trend of regional integration of the world economy. The "Belt and Road" strategy aims to expand the scope of Sino-Russian cooperation, deepen cooperation projects, promote the construction of free trade zones, and participate in the formulation of new rules for international trade. Consolidating the status of a major power in the international arena provides a golden opportunity. Therefore, the Chinese and Russian governments should firmly seize this strategic opportunity and guide the business community of both sides to form a consensus. As soon as possible, the construction of Sino-Russian free trade zone will be brought to the level of system. Based on the theory of free trade zone effect, the theory of comparative advantage and the theory of intra-industry trade, this paper refers to a large number of documents and related materials. First of all, it introduces the current situation of Sino-Russian trade development, points out the development of bilateral trade, bilateral investment, science and technology, labor cooperation and other aspects of the situation and problems, using explicit comparative advantage index. Trade complementarity index, intra-industry trade index and other empirical analysis of the feasibility of China and Russia to establish a free trade zone; Then this paper theoretically analyzes the trade effect of establishing China-Russia Free Trade Zone from two aspects: static effect and dynamic effect. Finally, this paper uses the trade gravity model to empirically analyze the factors influencing the establishment of the China-Russia free trade zone, and simulates the trade effect of the establishment of the free trade zone between China and Russia through the partial equilibrium model. It is concluded that the scale of trade between China and Russia will increase greatly after the establishment of free trade zone. In the end, the author synthesizes the qualitative and quantitative research, combined with the results of the previous analysis, analyzes the problems and obstacles encountered in the current Sino-Russian trade, and puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for the establishment of the China-Russia Free Trade Zone.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F752.7

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