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朝鮮半島局勢對中國的影響研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-10-13 17:16
【摘要】: 論文以說明朝鮮半島問題的由來及實質為基本出發(fā)點,對朝鮮半島戰(zhàn)略地位、朝鮮半島當前局勢演變的現(xiàn)狀進行內部和外部的因素分析,通過朝鮮半島當前的熱點問題進行分析預測朝鮮半島未來發(fā)展的幾種可能,試圖定位中國針對朝鮮半島問題的基本態(tài)度,對朝鮮半島局勢的前景進行預測,并提出中國應對朝鮮半島局勢演變應采取的政策。 朝鮮半島問題是東北亞問題的核心,可以說朝鮮半島是打開東北亞戰(zhàn)略格局的“鑰匙”,朝鮮半島局勢的演變一直是國際社會關注的問題,也是當今世界最敏感、最復雜的熱點問題,朝鮮半島局勢的演變不但關乎東北亞、亞太、乃至世界的和平與穩(wěn)定。朝鮮半島問題“冰凍三尺,絕非一日之寒”,這里又交纏著世界主要大國之間的利益。朝鮮半島問題的產生不僅在于它獨特的地理位置,還在于它南北分裂的特殊狀態(tài)。朝鮮半島是美、日、俄、中等四大國的利益交匯處。在朝鮮半島問題上四大國各自的利益不盡相同。朝鮮半島的分裂是冷戰(zhàn)時期人為的產物。朝鮮半島南北關系在50多年的分裂狀態(tài)下有過緩和期和矛盾尖銳時期。朝鮮半島南北雙方在分裂的狀態(tài)、各自不同的意識形態(tài)、社會發(fā)展水平不同、互相敵視等情況下在短時期內很難實現(xiàn)和平統(tǒng)一。但作為同一民族的兩個國家人民都渴望統(tǒng)一。因此,朝鮮半島的統(tǒng)一也可以說是歷史發(fā)展的必然。但朝鮮半島的統(tǒng)一路程將是一個曲折而漫長的道路。從目前的朝鮮半島局勢發(fā)展情況來看,圍繞朝鮮兩次核試驗(2006年、2009年),朝鮮和美國、日本、韓國矛盾尖銳,也與中國和俄羅斯存在很大的分歧。自冷戰(zhàn)結束后,朝鮮與前蘇聯(lián)和中國的同盟關系被解體,反而美國則加強了與日本和韓國的同盟關系。朝鮮成為了在東北亞區(qū)域內獨自承受來自美日、美韓同盟壓力的“緩沖地帶”。從朝鮮發(fā)展核武器的動機來分析看,朝鮮主張為了防御來自美國的核威懾,保護本國的國家安全和國家利益而研發(fā)核武器。而從朝鮮半島的戰(zhàn)略地位對中國的重要性來說是近乎常識性問題。中國人過去常常用“唇齒相依”、“唇亡齒寒”等字眼形象地比喻中國與朝鮮半島的特殊關系,這明了朝鮮半島對中國的特殊重要意義。不論過去、現(xiàn)在還是將來,朝鮮半島對中國的影響都是巨大的,它在某些程度上影響著中國的經濟安全、政治安全甚至是軍事安全。中國作為朝鮮半島的鄰國和大國應該在朝鮮半島問題上有所作為,應積極提出應對朝鮮半島局勢演變的政策,為促進朝鮮半島的和平進程,促進全世界的和諧發(fā)展做出貢獻。
[Abstract]:Based on the explanation of the origin and essence of the Korean Peninsula issue, the paper analyzes the strategic position of the Korean Peninsula and the current situation of the Korean Peninsula, including the internal and external factors. Through the analysis and prediction of several possibilities for the future development of the Korean Peninsula through the current hot issues on the Korean Peninsula, this paper tries to locate China's basic attitude towards the Korean Peninsula issue and to predict the prospects of the situation on the Korean Peninsula. And put forward the policy that China should adopt to deal with the evolution of the situation on the Korean Peninsula. The issue of the Korean Peninsula is the core of the issue of Northeast Asia. It can be said that the Korean Peninsula is the "key" to opening up the strategic pattern of Northeast Asia. The evolution of the situation on the Korean Peninsula has always been a matter of concern to the international community and is also the most sensitive issue in the world today. The most complex hot issues, the evolution of the situation on the Korean Peninsula not only related to Northeast Asia, Asia Pacific, and even the world peace and stability. The Korean Peninsula is a matter of ice, not a cold day. It intersects the interests of the world's major powers. The issue of the Korean Peninsula lies not only in its unique geographical location, but also in its special state of north-south division. The Korean peninsula is the United States, Japan, Russia, the interests of the four major countries. The four major countries have different interests on the Korean Peninsula issue. The division of the Korean peninsula was a man-made product of the cold war. The north-south relations of the Korean Peninsula had a period of detente and sharp contradiction under the split state of more than 50 years. It is difficult to achieve peaceful reunification in a short period of time when the two sides of the Korean Peninsula are divided, have different ideologies, different social development levels, and are hostile to each other. But the people of both nations, as the same people, yearn for unity. Therefore, the reunification of the Korean peninsula can also be said to be the inevitable development of history. But the road to reunification on the Korean peninsula will be a tortuous and long road. Judging from the current situation on the Korean Peninsula, North Korea and the United States, Japan and South Korea are in sharp conflict over the two North Korean nuclear tests (2006, 2009), and there are also great differences with China and Russia. Since the end of the Cold War, North Korea's alliance with the former Soviet Union and China has been broken down, while the United States has strengthened its alliance with Japan and South Korea. North Korea has become a buffer zone in Northeast Asia to bear the pressure from the United States and Japan, the United States and South Korea alliance. Judging from the motivation of North Korea to develop nuclear weapons, North Korea advocates the development of nuclear weapons in order to defend nuclear deterrence from the United States and protect its national security and national interests. The strategic position of the Korean Peninsula is almost common-sense to China. In the past, the Chinese used to use the words "lips and teeth dependent" and "lip death and tooth cold" to describe the special relationship between China and the Korean Peninsula, which clearly shows the special significance of the Korean Peninsula to China. In the past, now and in the future, the Korean peninsula has a great impact on China, which to some extent affects China's economic security, political security and even military security. China, as a neighboring country and great power of the Korean Peninsula, should make some achievements on the Korean Peninsula issue, actively propose a policy to deal with the evolution of the situation on the Korean Peninsula, and contribute to promoting the peace process on the Korean Peninsula and promoting the harmonious development of the whole world.
【學位授予單位】:延邊大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2010
【分類號】:D822.331.2

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