【摘要】： 中國(guó)和印度是世界上人口最多的兩個(gè)國(guó)家,也是兩個(gè)最大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家,在國(guó)際政治舞臺(tái)上具有舉足輕重的地位。隨著兩國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的迅速發(fā)展,對(duì)能源需求也隨之飛速增長(zhǎng),巨大的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性需求引發(fā)了全球能源市場(chǎng)格局的巨大變化,更引起各國(guó)政府的廣泛關(guān)注。面對(duì)當(dāng)今油氣資源“僧多粥少”的局面,兩國(guó)能源關(guān)系走勢(shì)直接影響雙方發(fā)展、亞太穩(wěn)定和國(guó)際格局。本文以中印能源戰(zhàn)略關(guān)系為研究對(duì)象,以結(jié)合戰(zhàn)略管理學(xué)的SWOT模型、PEST模型和波特五力模型創(chuàng)建的新SWOT模型為工具,分析中印兩國(guó)的外部能源環(huán)境(機(jī)會(huì)和威脅)與內(nèi)部能源條件(優(yōu)勢(shì)和劣勢(shì))。并通過(guò)新SWOT模型的拆分、合并和動(dòng)態(tài)化過(guò)程,結(jié)合國(guó)際關(guān)系合作與競(jìng)爭(zhēng)理論的運(yùn)用,得出四種可能的中印雙邊關(guān)系模式,即戰(zhàn)略零相關(guān)型、零和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)型、合作同盟型、動(dòng)態(tài)競(jìng)合型,再?gòu)倪m用性、可行性和有效性三個(gè)角度評(píng)估四大模式,從而證明中印兩國(guó)在能源領(lǐng)域既不是單純的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手,也不是忠貞的戰(zhàn)略聯(lián)盟,只能走向第四種動(dòng)態(tài)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)與合作的伙伴關(guān)系道路,進(jìn)而構(gòu)建亞洲能源合作機(jī)制,實(shí)現(xiàn)真正的雙贏。
[Abstract]:China and India are the two most populous countries in the world and the two largest developing countries, which play an important role in the international political arena. With the rapid economic development of the two countries, the demand for energy is also growing rapidly. The huge competitive demand has triggered great changes in the global energy market pattern, and even more caused. Facing the situation of "more monks and less porridge" in oil and gas resources, the trend of energy relations between the two countries has a direct impact on the development of both sides, the stability of Asia-Pacific and the international situation. This paper analyzes the external energy environment (opportunities and threats) and internal energy conditions (strengths and weaknesses) of China and India. Through the process of separation, merger and dynamics of the new SWOT model and the application of international cooperation and competition theory, four possible bilateral relations between China and India are concluded, namely, zero-correlation, zero-competition and combination of strategies. As an alliance, dynamic competition and cooperation, and then from the three perspectives of applicability, feasibility and effectiveness to evaluate the four major models, thus proving that China and India in the field of energy is neither a pure competitor, nor a loyal strategic alliance, can only move towards the fourth dynamic competition and cooperation partnership path, and then build an Asian energy cooperation mechanism. Achieve a real win-win situation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)政法大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類號(hào)】：F416.2;D822.335.1

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