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南奧塞梯事件后美俄關(guān)系的現(xiàn)狀和未來走向

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-14 22:20

  本文選題:南奧塞梯事件 + 美俄關(guān)系 ; 參考:《山東大學》2010年碩士論文


【摘要】: 本文利用歷史觀察法,根據(jù)后冷戰(zhàn)時代的美俄關(guān)系發(fā)展變化的軌跡、所呈現(xiàn)出的特點以及其背后的深層次的原因,深入分析了南奧塞梯事件的深刻影響及其后美俄關(guān)系的現(xiàn)狀,并據(jù)此探討了美俄關(guān)系未來的發(fā)展趨勢。近年來美俄圍繞北約東擴、東歐導(dǎo)彈防御系統(tǒng)、伊朗核問題、核不擴散、能源戰(zhàn)略、軍備競賽、中亞顏色革命、獨聯(lián)體國家執(zhí)政方式等問題的爭斗顯示,美俄關(guān)系的互動模式已經(jīng)由原來的既爭斗又合作的溫和態(tài)勢向“裂痕加深、對抗增強、合作有限”的態(tài)勢悄然轉(zhuǎn)變。而南奧塞梯事件則是美俄關(guān)系史上重要的轉(zhuǎn)折點,成為美俄關(guān)系發(fā)展出現(xiàn)新態(tài)勢的標志。此后,美俄雙方的戰(zhàn)略意圖更加清晰,戰(zhàn)略布局更具有針對性,戰(zhàn)略實施更富有進攻性,雙邊關(guān)系重新回到其實質(zhì)上來。美俄兩國分別對各自的外交政策進行了深刻調(diào)整,雙邊關(guān)系經(jīng)歷了由激烈對抗到趨于緩和的過程,但制約雙邊關(guān)系的因素依然存在,從而使美俄關(guān)系變化多端,起伏不定。美俄雙方長期存在的結(jié)構(gòu)性矛盾是雙方關(guān)系變化發(fā)展的根本性因素,美國為首的西方國家推行的對俄外交戰(zhàn)略與俄羅斯國家對外發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的沖突,美俄在發(fā)展模式和價值理念上的分歧以及國際政治經(jīng)濟情勢變化的影響等因素則是美俄關(guān)系新調(diào)整的重要因素。鑒于國際政治體系中冷戰(zhàn)的客觀條件已不復(fù)存在以及美俄在主觀上避免重回冷戰(zhàn),因此雙方重新爆發(fā)冷戰(zhàn)的可能性極小。由于在追求共同利益中的相互需要、相互借重,美俄關(guān)系雖然呈現(xiàn)出局限性、階段性和有節(jié)制抗衡的特點,但依然維持著脆弱的和平狀態(tài)。
[Abstract]:Based on the track of the development and change of US-Russia relations in the post-Cold War era, the characteristics and the deep-seated reasons behind it, this paper makes a deep analysis of the profound influence of the South Ossetia incident and the current situation of the US-Russian relations after the post-Cold War era. Based on this, the future development trend of American-Russian relations is discussed. The recent struggles between the United States and Russia over NATO's eastward expansion, the missile defense system in Eastern Europe, the Iranian nuclear issue, nuclear non-proliferation, the energy strategy, the arms race, the color revolution in Central Asia, and the ruling style of the CIS countries have shown that The interactive mode of U.S.-Russia relations has quietly changed from the former moderate situation of fighting and cooperation to the situation of "deepening rift, strengthening confrontation and limited cooperation". The South Ossetia incident is an important turning point in the history of American-Russian relations and a symbol of the emergence of a new trend in the development of American-Russian relations. Since then, the strategic intention of the United States and Russia has become clearer, the strategic layout is more targeted, the implementation of the strategy is more offensive, and the bilateral relationship has returned to its essence. The United States and Russia have made profound adjustments to their respective foreign policies, and the bilateral relations have experienced a process from fierce confrontation to relaxation, but the factors restricting bilateral relations still exist, which makes the relations between the United States and Russia fluctuate and fluctuate. The long-standing structural contradiction between the United States and Russia is a fundamental factor in the change and development of bilateral relations. The conflict between the foreign development strategy of the Russian State and the diplomatic strategy of the United States-led Western countries, The differences in development model and value concept between the United States and Russia, as well as the influence of the change of international political and economic situation, are the important factors in the new adjustment of the relationship between the United States and Russia. In view of the fact that the objective conditions of the cold war no longer exist in the international political system and that the United States and Russia have to avoid returning to the cold war subjectively, the possibility of a new cold war between the two sides is extremely small. Because of the mutual need and mutual borrowing in the pursuit of common interests, the US-Russian relationship, although it presents the characteristics of limitation, stage and restraint, still maintains a fragile state of peace.
【學位授予單位】:山東大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2010
【分類號】:D871.2

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