本文選題：東亞局勢 + 兩岸關(guān)系�。� 參考：《國際問題研究》2014年06期

【摘要】：在美國"重返亞洲"影響下,東亞地區(qū)局勢變化復(fù)雜,雖未直接沖擊兩岸關(guān)系和平發(fā)展的良好局面,但由大國博弈引發(fā)的區(qū)域緊張及合縱連橫不可避免地投射到兩岸關(guān)系上,并對(duì)兩岸關(guān)系產(chǎn)生微妙影響。在美日等外部勢力加大對(duì)中國牽制力度的背景下,臺(tái)灣當(dāng)局的大陸政策趨向保守,兩岸關(guān)系受到的牽制力加大。當(dāng)前,兩岸關(guān)系保持和平穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展局面,反映了大陸強(qiáng)力主導(dǎo)下的兩岸關(guān)系已具有較強(qiáng)的抗干擾能力。未來一段時(shí)期,兩岸關(guān)系基本不會(huì)脫離和平發(fā)展軌道,但發(fā)展勢頭或?qū)②吘?面臨的不確定因素有所增加,存在出現(xiàn)波折甚至震蕩的可能。
[Abstract]:Under the influence of "returning to Asia" by the United States, the situation in East Asia is complex and complex. Although it has not directly impacted on the good situation of the peaceful development of cross-strait relations, the regional tensions and confluence caused by the game of great powers are inevitably projected onto cross-strait relations. And has a subtle impact on cross-straits relations. Under the background that the United States and Japan and other external forces increase their restraint on China, the mainland policy of the Taiwan authorities tends to be conservative, and the restraint on cross-strait relations increases. At present, the development of maintaining peace and stability in cross-strait relations reflects the strong anti-interference capability of cross-strait relations under the mainland's strong leadership. For some time in the future, cross-strait relations will not be divorced from the track of peaceful development, but the momentum of development may slow down, and the uncertain factors facing them will increase, and there may be twists and turns or even shocks.
【作者單位】： 中國社科院臺(tái)灣研究所;
【分類號(hào)】：D618;D831

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