本文選題：國際格局 + 兩極態(tài)勢��； 參考：《國際展望》2017年05期

【摘要】：21世紀(jì)的國際形勢和中東地區(qū)局勢發(fā)生了巨大變化,未來國際格局和中東格局將呈中美兩極態(tài)勢,國際博弈將主要在中美之間展開。美國的實(shí)力和影響力相對下降,在國際問題和中東問題上呈現(xiàn)出焦躁矛盾心態(tài);中國的實(shí)力和影響力持續(xù)上升,在參與國際和中東事務(wù)上表現(xiàn)出謹(jǐn)慎的猶豫心態(tài);世界其他主要國家和地區(qū)的態(tài)度復(fù)雜,總體上將在中美之間"選邊站隊(duì)"。面對中東的持續(xù)動蕩、美國霸權(quán)、"伊斯蘭國"威脅、俄羅斯重新介入中東事務(wù)等問題,中國如何介入中東事務(wù),如何應(yīng)對"伊斯蘭國"威脅,是否需要在中東建立支軸國家,中國的中東戰(zhàn)略如何破題,均面臨諸多選擇難題。中國可以通過發(fā)布具體的中國中東戰(zhàn)略報告,向世界明確表達(dá)自身的需求和立場,提出解決中東問題的中國方案,以此實(shí)現(xiàn)中國的中東戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)。
[Abstract]:The international situation in twenty-first Century and the situation in the Middle East have changed greatly. The future international pattern and the Middle East pattern will present the two polar situation in China and the United States. The international game will be carried out mainly between China and the United States. The strength and influence of the United States are relatively declining, and the ambivalence in the international and Middle East problems is present; the strength and influence of China will be held. Continue to rise, show a cautious hesitation in international and Middle East affairs. The attitude of other major countries and regions in the world is complex. In general, there will be a "border selection team" between China and the United States. In the face of the persistent turmoil in the Middle East, American hegemony, "Islamic state" threat, and Russia's re intervention in Middle East affairs, how China is involved in the Middle East affairs. In order to cope with the threat of "Islamic state", whether to establish a branch country in the Middle East and how to solve the problem in the Middle East strategy, China is faced with a number of choice problems. China can clearly express its needs and stand to the world by issuing a specific China Middle East strategic report and put forward a Chinese plan to solve the Middle East problem. The country's strategic goal in the Middle East.

【作者單位】： 上海外國語大學(xué)中東研究所;中南財經(jīng)政法大學(xué)法學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社科基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目“美國國家安全危機(jī)預(yù)警體制機(jī)制及啟示研究”(17AGJ004)的中期成果
【分類號】：D815.4;D822

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