“特朗普特質(zhì)”與中美關(guān)系前景初探
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-28 01:40
本文選題:“特朗普特質(zhì)” + 對(duì)外政策; 參考:《太平洋學(xué)報(bào)》2017年06期
【摘要】:本文認(rèn)為所謂"特朗普特質(zhì)",包含三個(gè)方面:商人思維、"政治素人"、及其個(gè)人的性格特點(diǎn)。"特朗普特質(zhì)"有可能導(dǎo)致的對(duì)外政策風(fēng)格為:積極追求實(shí)利并以"宗教感"進(jìn)行自我彌補(bǔ);技術(shù)、技巧相對(duì)粗糙生硬但是結(jié)果導(dǎo)向;傾向雙邊主義,實(shí)施精確管理;因?yàn)檫^于主觀或主動(dòng)而影響互動(dòng)節(jié)奏、增加額外風(fēng)險(xiǎn);"特朗普特質(zhì)"的分析,特朗普任期內(nèi)的中美關(guān)系有可能表現(xiàn)為:利益主導(dǎo);經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系議題凸顯;雙方的政策選擇空間變窄;雙方政策的實(shí)際效果有所強(qiáng)化;"戲劇化現(xiàn)象",等等。
[Abstract]:This article argues that the so-called "Trump trait" consists of three aspects: businessman thinking, political character, and personal character. Trump's traits "are likely to lead to foreign policy styles that: actively pursue practical interests and make up for themselves with a" religious sense "; technology and skills are relatively crude but results-oriented; tend to bilateralism and implement accurate management; Because too subjective or active and affect the rhythm of interaction, increase the additional risk. Based on the analysis of "Trump's characteristics", the relations between China and the United States during Trump's term of office are likely to be manifested as follows: interest dominates; economic and trade relations are highlighted; the space for policy choices between the two sides is narrowed; The actual effect of both sides' policies has been strengthened; "dramatic phenomenon", etc.
【作者單位】: 南京信息工程大學(xué);南京市行政學(xué)院;國家海洋局;
【分類號(hào)】:D822.371.2
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