朝鮮核危機(jī)的癥結(jié)與朝鮮半島和平機(jī)制建設(shè)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-08 12:31
本文選題:朝鮮半島 切入點(diǎn):核危機(jī) 出處:《吉林大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:朝核危機(jī)從爆發(fā)到今天已有近三十年了,這期間相關(guān)國(guó)家為徹底解決半島問(wèn)題進(jìn)行了多次磋商,然而收效甚微。因此,有關(guān)朝核危機(jī)爆發(fā)的原因及難以解決的癥結(jié)成了政界和學(xué)界熱議的焦點(diǎn)。朝鮮地處東北亞,與中韓俄接壤,與日本隔海相望,地理位置的特殊性,導(dǎo)致朝鮮半島的任何舉動(dòng)都會(huì)牽動(dòng)相關(guān)國(guó)家的神經(jīng)。冷戰(zhàn)期間,半島就是美蘇兩國(guó)對(duì)抗的最前沿,朝韓兩國(guó)也受當(dāng)時(shí)國(guó)際大環(huán)境的影響,經(jīng)歷了長(zhǎng)達(dá)半個(gè)世紀(jì)的隔絕、對(duì)抗。冷戰(zhàn)結(jié)束后,半島結(jié)束了美蘇兩國(guó)的“對(duì)峙平衡”,卻進(jìn)入了一個(gè)對(duì)抗更加激烈的時(shí)期,成為冷戰(zhàn)后世界上最容易爆發(fā)沖突的地區(qū),被國(guó)際社會(huì)稱(chēng)為“亞洲巴爾干”、“冷戰(zhàn)活化石”。朝核危機(jī)的再度爆發(fā)也讓國(guó)際社會(huì)再次將目光聚焦在這里。朝鮮在2006年到2016年的十年里,已被證實(shí)共進(jìn)行了五次核試驗(yàn),頻繁的核試驗(yàn)嚴(yán)重影響半島乃至東北亞地區(qū)的安全穩(wěn)定,招致國(guó)際社會(huì)的一片譴責(zé)之聲。美日韓等國(guó)為了迫使朝鮮棄核,不斷通過(guò)武力威脅和嚴(yán)厲制裁等方式對(duì)朝鮮施加壓力,讓朝鮮主動(dòng)棄核。中國(guó)則積極斡旋希望朝鮮能夠早日回到六方會(huì)談中來(lái),利用和平談判的方式解決問(wèn)題,然而這些努力非但沒(méi)有成功,反而讓朝鮮核研發(fā)能力得到提升。當(dāng)前,愈演愈烈的朝核危機(jī)一方面會(huì)導(dǎo)致半島局勢(shì)更為緊張,南北對(duì)抗愈發(fā)激烈。另一方面,朝核危機(jī)還會(huì)給東北亞的安全局勢(shì)蒙上一層陰影。當(dāng)然,由于中朝兩國(guó)關(guān)系的特殊性,僵持不下的朝核危機(jī)也會(huì)導(dǎo)致中國(guó)承受巨大的外部壓力。長(zhǎng)期以來(lái),國(guó)際社會(huì)多次進(jìn)行有關(guān)如何解決朝核危機(jī)這一問(wèn)題的談判和磋商,從“四方會(huì)談”到“六方會(huì)談”,雖有重要文件和聲明的發(fā)表,但朝核危機(jī)依然沒(méi)有緩和的跡象,美韓等國(guó)甚至利用武力威脅和制裁等手段希望朝鮮放棄核武,但從目前來(lái)看,可以說(shuō)是收效甚微。筆者看來(lái),朝核危機(jī)長(zhǎng)期得不到解決的主要原因是,一方面美朝之間無(wú)論時(shí)戰(zhàn)略需求還是在關(guān)鍵問(wèn)題的處理方式上都存在巨大分歧。另一方面,東北亞地區(qū)的安全困境導(dǎo)致各方有其朝鮮與美韓嚴(yán)重缺乏互信,導(dǎo)致無(wú)法就重大問(wèn)題達(dá)成共識(shí)。而最重要的是,目前維護(hù)半島和平穩(wěn)定的停戰(zhàn)機(jī)制嚴(yán)重滯后。朝鮮半島的停戰(zhàn)機(jī)制是朝鮮戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)結(jié)束后形成的,隨著國(guó)際環(huán)境的變化,該機(jī)制存在約束力不足、機(jī)構(gòu)功能喪失等缺陷,已無(wú)法繼續(xù)發(fā)揮其應(yīng)有的作用,機(jī)制架構(gòu)以及功能的嚴(yán)重滯后,導(dǎo)致機(jī)制無(wú)法適應(yīng)時(shí)代發(fā)展,難以繼續(xù)維持半島和平與穩(wěn)定。為實(shí)現(xiàn)半島及東北亞的永久和平,建構(gòu)半島和平機(jī)制取代停戰(zhàn)機(jī)制已經(jīng)迫在眉睫。為了能夠更為深入的對(duì)朝核危機(jī)及半島局勢(shì)進(jìn)行研究,本文將從造成朝核危機(jī)根本癥結(jié)的分析入手,找到朝核危機(jī)的根本出路。從半島和平機(jī)制的目標(biāo)、原則和基本架構(gòu)等幾個(gè)方面對(duì)朝鮮半島和平機(jī)制提出設(shè)想。并在以上分析和構(gòu)想的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)和平機(jī)制如何建構(gòu)提出可行性方案。和平機(jī)制不僅能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)對(duì)停戰(zhàn)機(jī)制的補(bǔ)充和完善,更意味著朝韓雙方將徹底擺脫“停戰(zhàn)”狀態(tài),從法理上迎來(lái)真正的和平。
[Abstract]:From the outbreak of the nuclear crisis of North Korea today has nearly thirty years, during which the relevant countries to solve the problem of the peninsula conducted several consultations, but with little success. Therefore, the focus of the North Korean nuclear crisis causes and the crux of the problem is difficult to solve the political and academic hot. North Korea is located in Northeast Asia, bordering Russia and South Korea, and Japan Sea, the special geographical position, leading to any action on the Korean Peninsula will affect national nerves. During the cold war, the frontier against the peninsula is the United States and the Soviet Union, the two Koreas are also affected by the international environment at that time, after isolation, for half a century after the end of the Cold War confrontation. The end of the peninsula, the United States and the Soviet Union "confrontation balance", has entered a period of more intense confrontation, become the world's most easily after the cold war conflict areas, by the international community called "Asian Baltimore Dry "," living fossil of cold war ". The nuclear crisis erupted again but also to the international community to focus on here. North Korea in 2006 to 2016 ten years, has been confirmed a total of five nuclear test conducted frequent nuclear tests seriously affect the peninsula and Northeast Asia's security and stability, lead to a pieces of international condemnation of the sound. The United States and South Korea and other countries in order to force North Korea to abandon nuclear threat and continue through tough sanctions and put pressure on North Korea, North Korea to abandon its nuclear program. Chinese active active mediation wants North Korea to return to the six party talks to solve the problem by peaceful negotiation, but these efforts not only did not succeed, but let the North Korean nuclear research ability has been improved. At present, the North Korean nuclear crisis intensified hand will lead to more tense situation on the peninsula, the North South confrontation intensified. On the other hand, the North Korean nuclear crisis To the security situation in Northeast Asia will cast a shadow. Of course, because of the particularity of the relationship between China and the DPRK's nuclear crisis stalemate will lead to China withstand external pressure. For a long time, the international community has the problems of how to resolve the nuclear crisis negotiations and consultations, from the "Quartet" to the "six party talks", although the publication of important documents and statements, but still no signs of easing the nuclear crisis of North Korea, South Korea and other countries and even the use of force and the threat of sanctions wants North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons, but from the current point of view, can be said to be ineffective. The author's opinion, the crisis is not a long-term solution to the main reason is that there are great differences between the two hand no matter when the strategic needs or key issues in the processing mode. On the other hand, the security dilemma in Northeast Asia to North Korea and the parties South Korea leads to serious lack of trust, unable to reach a consensus on major issues. But the most important is that the maintenance of the armistice mechanism of peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula is seriously lagging behind. The armistice mechanism in the Korean Peninsula is formed after the end of the Korean War, with the changes of international environment, the mechanism of binding mechanism, functional defect, has been unable to continue to play its due role, structure and function of the system is seriously lagging behind, resulting in mechanism can't adapt to the development of the times, it is difficult to continue to maintain peace and stability on the peninsula. In order to achieve lasting peace on the peninsula and in Northeast Asia, the construction of the peace mechanism on the Korean Peninsula to replace the armistice mechanism is imminent. In order to more in-depth study on the situation of North Korean nuclear crisis and the peninsula. This paper starts from the analysis of the cause of nuclear crisis causes, the fundamental way to find the nuclear crisis of North Korea. From the peninsula peace mechanism, the original And some basic architecture and other aspects of the peace regime on the Korean Peninsula put forward. Based on the above analysis and ideas, put forward the feasible scheme on how to construct the mechanism of peace. The peace mechanism can not only realize the supplement of the armistice mechanism, but also means that the two sides will completely get rid of the "truce", from the legal theory in real peace.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:D831.2
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