發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-12 18:09

  本文選題：東亞周邊國家反應(yīng)　切入點(diǎn)：中國崛起　出處：《山東大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來,伴隨中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展,“中國崛起”日益成為媒體、學(xué)界、政界、商圈等等熱議的話題。雖然各類關(guān)于中國崛起的研究層出不窮,但是關(guān)于周邊國家對中國崛起反應(yīng)的研究仍是鳳毛麟角。中國崛起是一個(gè)系統(tǒng)的研究課題,我們既要關(guān)注中國崛起對地區(qū)格局的影響,也要探究地區(qū)內(nèi)其他國家對中國崛起的反應(yīng)。本文選擇東亞國家作為周邊國家對中國崛起反應(yīng)的切入點(diǎn),重點(diǎn)從經(jīng)濟(jì)、軍事、地區(qū)一體化、全球治理、公眾輿論認(rèn)知等多方面進(jìn)行分析,力求對周邊國家的反應(yīng)有一個(gè)客觀、全面、深入的認(rèn)識(shí)。東亞國家對中國崛起的相似反應(yīng)既有經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)用主義的考量,又有各國對自身經(jīng)濟(jì)對華高依存度的擔(dān)憂；既有地區(qū)一體化問題上的約束式接觸,又有全球治理層面上的利用與遏制；既有軍事領(lǐng)域的拒絕主導(dǎo),又有安全體制上的間接制衡。它們在對中國崛起的不同反應(yīng)表現(xiàn)為從附勢到積極對沖到猶豫對沖再到制衡這樣一種從左到右的圖譜分布。各國民眾對中國崛起的反應(yīng)更多的是受到傳媒、NGO、商會(huì)、研究機(jī)構(gòu)等等的影響,雖然日韓印等國民眾在近年來受媒體關(guān)于地區(qū)熱點(diǎn)問題、領(lǐng)土爭端問題炒作的影響,對中國崛起的負(fù)面認(rèn)知有增加趨勢,但是各國民眾對中國崛起的認(rèn)知總體保持正面,都能充分認(rèn)識(shí)到中國崛起對地區(qū)穩(wěn)定繁榮的積極意義。 本文認(rèn)為東亞國家對中國崛起的反應(yīng)受到理性、認(rèn)知兩大變量的影響。理性變量包括中國與這些國家各層次互動(dòng)的交易成本以及彼此之間的社會(huì)交換程度；認(rèn)知變量包括它們在看待地區(qū)熱點(diǎn)問題或者與中國的領(lǐng)土爭端時(shí)對看待問題的歸因方式,還有對中國的威脅感知。由于不同國家在交易成本、社會(huì)交換程度、行為歸因方式、威脅感知等方面對中國的反應(yīng)不盡相同,這導(dǎo)致它們對中國崛起的反應(yīng)各不相同。總體來看,東亞國家對中國崛起的反應(yīng)體現(xiàn)了一種承認(rèn)問題,表現(xiàn)為：一、空間承認(rèn)問題,既有領(lǐng)土主權(quán)糾紛,又有地緣經(jīng)濟(jì)方面的資源與貿(mào)易競爭；二、制度承認(rèn)的矛盾,在全球?qū)哟?它們希望中國崛起能夠推動(dòng)不合理國際秩序的改革,而在地區(qū)層面它們不希望看到地區(qū)一體化進(jìn)程被中國崛起所主導(dǎo)；三、身份承認(rèn)問題,即它們對中國崛起過程中的發(fā)展模式、政經(jīng)文化體制缺乏內(nèi)在認(rèn)同。 東亞周邊國家的反應(yīng)對中國崛起本身既有機(jī)遇,也有挑戰(zhàn)。機(jī)遇方面是：這些國家公眾對華輿論相對正面,而且其公眾輿論不易主導(dǎo)各國對中國崛起的政策反應(yīng)；外交上并未形成遏制中國的共識(shí)；地區(qū)軍備競賽尚未出現(xiàn)。挑戰(zhàn)方面包括：各國對華經(jīng)濟(jì)的高依存度出現(xiàn)變異；各國對中國崛起在外交政策上的反應(yīng)不確定感增強(qiáng)；東亞多國強(qiáng)化彼此之間以及與域外大國的聯(lián)系,支持美國參與地區(qū)安全機(jī)制,對此中國要警惕各國的“格列佛式束縛”。 二戰(zhàn)后,美國的全球崛起受到自由民主理念、反對極權(quán)主義理念、以及全球化理念的支撐,它所建立的全球制度霸權(quán)更是以這三大理念為靈魂。面對剛剛走上崛起之路的中國,東亞周邊各國對中國崛起的反應(yīng)尚處于早期階段,它們對中國崛起充滿了期許與不確定性。當(dāng)今時(shí)代,全球化持續(xù)向縱深發(fā)展,人類文明日益凸出人本理念。因此,中國應(yīng)抓住時(shí)代發(fā)展的脈搏,對周邊各國力塑“和諧”價(jià)值理念,將這一理念融入與東亞周邊各國的各領(lǐng)域各層次互動(dòng)當(dāng)中,推動(dòng)彼此信任,增進(jìn)它們對中國崛起的“承認(rèn)”。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of Chinese economy, "China rise" has become the media, academia, politics, business and so on a hot topic. Although all kinds of research on China rise but on the neighboring countries to emerge in an endless stream, the rise of the study is China reactions are rare. Chinese rise is a research topic of our system. Must pay attention to China rising influence on the regional pattern, but also to explore other countries in the region to rise Chinese reaction. This paper selected East Asian countries as the starting point of the rise of the neighboring countries of China reaction, mainly from the economic, military, regional integration, global governance, public cognition and other aspects of analysis, to the neighboring countries the reaction has an objective, comprehensive, in-depth understanding of East Asian countries. The rise of Chinese similar responses to both economic pragmatism considerations, and countries in their economic China's high dependence on concerns; both restriction of contact on the issues of regional integration, and use and curb global governance on; both military refused led, and indirect balance safety system. In response to the performance of their China rise from positive to hedge potential of hesitation to hedge balance such a map from left to right. The distribution of people around the world China rise reaction more by the media, NGO, chamber of Commerce, influence research institutions and so on, although the Indian people in Japan and South Korea in recent years by the media about the regional hot spots, influence of speculation in territorial disputes, have increased the rise of the trend of the negative cognitive China, but people around the world remain positive on the rise of the overall cognitive China, can fully realize the China rise of positive significance to regional stability and prosperity.
This paper argues that East Asia countries are on the rise of rational China reaction, two cognitive variables. The variables include rational between transaction cost and Chinese these countries at all levels of interaction and mutual social exchange degree; cognitive variables include them in view of regional hot issues or territorial disputes with the China of attributional style and view the problem. The China threat perception. Because of different countries in the transaction cost, social exchange, behavior attribution, perceived threat and other aspects of the China reaction is not the same, which causes them to rise China reaction varies. Overall, the East Asian countries on the rise of the China reaction reflects a recognition, performance a space, acknowledging the problem, both have territorial disputes, and geo economic aspects of the resources and trade competition; two, the contradiction between the system of recognition, on a global level Second, they hope China rise can push the reform of the irrational international order, and at the regional level they don't want to see the integration of the area is dominated by the rise of Chinese; three, the identity of China that they acknowledge the problem, rise the development pattern of the political and cultural system, the lack of internal identity.
East Asian countries in response to the rise of China itself both opportunities and challenges. There are opportunities in these countries is relatively positive public opinion on China, but it is not easy to public opinion leading countries of the policy response to the rise of China; diplomacy has not formed the containment China consensus; an arms race in the region has not yet appeared. The challenges include: countries China's high economic dependence on variation; countries in response to Chinese rise in foreign policy uncertainty enhancement; many countries in East Asia and strengthen the contact with each other and with the outside powers, in support of the United States to participate in the regional security mechanism, this China to alert countries "Gulliver type bound".
After World War II, the United States by the global rise of the concept of freedom and democracy, oppose the concept of totalitarianism, and support the idea of globalization, it is a global system of hegemony is based on three ideas: the face of the soul. Just on the road to the rise of the China, East Asian countries are in the early stages of China's rise in the reaction. The China rise is full of expectations and uncertainty. Nowadays, continued to develop in depth of globalization, the concept of human civilization is becoming increasingly prominent. Therefore, Chinese should seize the pulse of the times, the neighboring countries force plastic "harmony" of value concept, this concept into various levels and East Asian countries interaction, promote mutual trust, enhance their China on the rise of "recognition".

【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：D820

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本文編號(hào)：1602699