【摘要】：如何防范低生育水平的長期持續(xù)直接關(guān)系到我國未來勞動力要素的供給以及經(jīng)濟的平穩(wěn)發(fā)展。本文使用中國綜合社會調(diào)查(CGSS)2013年數(shù)據(jù),評估了幸福感對居民生育意愿的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),幸福感的提升有助于增強居民的生育意愿,在工具變量估計以及進一步控制公共教育、勞動就業(yè)、社會保障和公共文化服務等因素的影響后該結(jié)論依然成立。此外,幸福感對生育意愿的影響效應存在異質(zhì)性。具體而言,幸福感增強了城鎮(zhèn)和相對年輕育齡婦女的生育意愿,而對農(nóng)村和相對年長的育齡婦女沒有顯著影響。這意味著,以改善民生和提高居民幸福感為目標的經(jīng)濟增長方式轉(zhuǎn)變不僅有助于增強居民的生育意愿,緩解我國當前低生育水平難題,對延續(xù)我國未來人口紅利、促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展也具有重要現(xiàn)實意義。
[Abstract]:How to prevent the long-term persistence of low fertility level is directly related to the supply of labor factors and the steady development of economy in the future. Using (CGSS) 2013 data from China Comprehensive Social Survey, this paper assesses the effect of happiness on fertility willingness of residents. It is found that the improvement of happiness can enhance residents' desire to have children. This conclusion is still true after the instrumental variable estimation and further control of public education, labor and employment, social security and public cultural services. In addition, there is heterogeneity in the effect of well-being on fertility intention. Specifically, happiness increases the fertility willingness of urban and relatively young women of childbearing age, but has no significant impact on rural and relatively older women of childbearing age. This means that the transformation of the mode of economic growth aimed at improving the people's livelihood and enhancing the well-being of the residents will not only help to strengthen the residents' desire to have children, ease the current problem of low fertility levels in our country, and will contribute to the continuation of the future demographic dividend of our country. Promoting economic development also has important practical significance.
【作者單位】： 中南財經(jīng)政法大學公共管理學院;中南財經(jīng)政法大學城鄉(xiāng)發(fā)展研究院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金重大項目“完善人口和計劃生育利益導向政策體系研究”(11&ZD038)的資助
【分類號】：C912.6;C924.21

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1 楊柳;吉林省農(nóng)村婦女生育意愿的個案研究[J];中華女子學院學報;2003年03期

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