發(fā)布時間：2018-05-20 19:07

  本文選題：代表性概率樣本 + 覆蓋偏差　； 參考：《學(xué)術(shù)界》2011年10期

【摘要】：隨著近三十年來我國社會的快速發(fā)展與深刻變遷,大量農(nóng)村、小城鎮(zhèn)人口向大中城市集中,造成高比例的"人戶分離"現(xiàn)象。而城市居民也因為城區(qū)改造和擴張,造成城市內(nèi)部大量的"人戶分離"。這使得傳統(tǒng)的依賴戶籍信息進行抽樣的社會科學(xué)調(diào)查,在樣本的抽取方面產(chǎn)生極大的困難與系統(tǒng)偏差。因此,如何以精準抽樣為基礎(chǔ),從而避免造成導(dǎo)致"社會整體誤解"的調(diào)查結(jié)果,已成為近年來中國社會科學(xué)量化研究中一個不容忽略的問題。本文旨在一方面對那些缺乏精準抽樣的研究進行評論,另一方面也向讀者介紹依托GIS/GPS最新技術(shù)發(fā)展而來的"GIS/GPS輔助的區(qū)域抽樣方法",作為轉(zhuǎn)型期中國社會大規(guī)模人口流動條件下精準抽樣的解決方案,以供學(xué)界參考備用。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development and profound changes of our society in the past 30 years, a large number of rural areas and small towns are concentrated in large and medium-sized cities, resulting in a high proportion of the phenomenon of "separation of people and households". Urban residents also because of urban transformation and expansion, resulting in a large number of urban "household separation." This makes the traditional social science survey which relies on the household registration information to carry on the sampling, and produces the great difficulty and the system deviation in the sample extraction aspect. Therefore, how to take accurate sampling as the basis to avoid causing "social misunderstanding" has become a problem that can not be ignored in the quantitative research of social science in China in recent years. The purpose of this paper is to comment on the lack of accurate sampling. On the other hand, it also introduces the "GIS/GPS aided regional sampling method", which is based on the latest technology development of GIS/GPS, as a solution for accurate sampling under the condition of large-scale population flow in China during the period of social transformation, which can be used as a reference for academic circles.
【作者單位】： 北京大學(xué)中國國情研究中心;北京大學(xué)政府管理學(xué)院;
【分類號】：C3

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本文編號：1915875