沿海地區(qū)農村居民收入對消費的影響研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-08-29 13:33
【摘要】：消費是拉動經濟增長的重要組成部分之一,近年來我國經濟雖已取得長足發(fā)展,但消費對GDP貢獻持續(xù)走低。盡管如此,農村消費市場仍有較大發(fā)展空間,激發(fā)農民消費潛力,提升居民消費水平有助于推動我國經濟發(fā)展。因此研究我國農村居民收入對消費的影響對促進我國經濟發(fā)展有重要作用。在新中國的發(fā)展歷程中,我國沿海地區(qū)對國家經濟總量的拉動是有目共睹的。除港澳臺外的11個省級行政單位約43%的人口貢獻了全國約60%的GDP。然而,我國沿海地區(qū)在消費拉動經濟方面還是存在不足。農村居民收入和消費水平雖有顯著提升,但城鄉(xiāng)收入與消費差距卻在逐漸拉大,農村消費市場還沒有達到應有的水平。釋放農村居民消費需求對于解決城鄉(xiāng)二元結構,拉動區(qū)域經濟增長有重要作用。在農村居民收入對消費影響的研究方面,本文參考了西方消費理論及區(qū)域經濟相關研究成果,綜合國內外優(yōu)秀學者的研究方法,采用理論和實證分析相結合的方式,探究我國沿海地區(qū)農村居民收入對消費的影響。本文對2000 2014年我國沿海地區(qū)11個省級行政單位的多項經濟數(shù)據進行分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)在收入類型變化上我國沿海地區(qū)呈現(xiàn)了獨有特點。在四類收入來源中,農村居民工資性收入和家庭經營性收入占比最大,而財產性收入和轉移性收入僅占到總收入的15%左右。近年來,我國沿海地區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化速度不斷加快,農村居民的工資性收入逐漸趕超家庭經營性收入,成為最重要的收入來源。在理論分析的基礎上,本文基于面板數(shù)據實證分析我國沿海地區(qū)11省市農村居民四類收入來源具體變動對消費水平的影響,建立多元回歸模型,通過E views9.0進行模型檢驗和估計。結果發(fā)現(xiàn):1)我國沿海地區(qū)農村居民工資性收入對消費的影響存在乘數(shù)效應,工資性收入已成為務工農民較為穩(wěn)定的一類收入;2)農村家庭經營性收入對消費有較小的邊際消費傾向,主要原因在于農村基礎設施薄弱、自然災害頻繁、相關保險機制不健全等原因導致農民對該類收入心存不確定性;3)農村居民財產性收入和轉移性收入對消費存在顯著正向影響,其中財產性收入存在乘數(shù)效應;4)恩格爾系數(shù)、農村最低生活保障以及農村居民的受教育程度對農村居民消費水平也存在影響。針對以上研究,結合沿海地區(qū)的現(xiàn)狀與發(fā)展態(tài)勢,本文認為加快農村經濟產業(yè)結構調整、完善農村金融體制改革和產權制度改革、健全社會保障體系等舉措可以增加農村居民收入,改善農村居民消費環(huán)境,刺激農村居民需求,提升消費水平,縮小城鄉(xiāng)差異,從而實現(xiàn)農村經濟發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Consumption is one of the important components of stimulating economic growth. Although China's economy has made great progress in recent years, the contribution of consumption to GDP has continued to decline. In spite of this, the rural consumption market still has bigger development space, stimulates the farmer to consume the potential, enhances the resident consumption level to help to promote our country economy development. Therefore, the study of the impact of rural residents' income on consumption plays an important role in promoting China's economic development. In the course of the development of New China, it is obvious to all that the coastal areas of our country pull the national economic aggregate. In addition to Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, about 43% of the population of the 11 provincial administrative units contribute about 60% of the country's GDP.. However, China's coastal areas in the consumption-driven economy is still inadequate. Although the income and consumption level of rural residents have been significantly improved, the gap between urban and rural income and consumption has gradually widened, and the rural consumer market has not reached its due level. Releasing the consumption demand of rural residents plays an important role in solving the dual structure of urban and rural areas and stimulating regional economic growth. In the research of the influence of rural residents' income on consumption, this paper, referring to the western consumption theory and the research results of regional economy, synthesizes the research methods of outstanding scholars at home and abroad, and adopts the combination of theory and empirical analysis. To explore the impact of rural residents' income on consumption in coastal areas of China. This paper analyzes the economic data of 11 provincial administrative units in the coastal areas of China from 2000 to 2014. It is found that there are unique characteristics in the changes of income types in the coastal areas of China. Among the four kinds of income sources, rural residents' wage income and household operating income accounted for the largest proportion, while property income and transfer income accounted for only about 15% of the total income. In recent years, the speed of urbanization in the coastal areas of our country has been speeding up, and the income of rural residents has gradually surpassed the income of household management, which has become the most important source of income. On the basis of theoretical analysis, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of the change of four kinds of income sources on the consumption level of rural residents in 11 provinces and cities in coastal areas of China based on panel data. A multivariate regression model is established, and the model is tested and estimated by E / views9.0. The results show that: 1) the effect of wage income on consumption of rural residents in coastal areas of China has a multiplier effect. Wage income has become a more stable class of income for migrant farmers. 2) the rural household operating income has a small marginal propensity to consume, mainly due to the weak rural infrastructure and frequent natural disasters. The related insurance mechanism is not perfect and other reasons lead to the farmers have uncertainty about this kind of income. 3) the property income and the transfer income of rural residents have significant positive influence on consumption, in which the property income has multiplier effect (4) Engel coefficient. Rural minimum living security and rural residents' education level also affect the consumption level of rural residents. In view of the above research, combined with the current situation and development situation of the coastal areas, this paper thinks that speeding up the adjustment of the industrial structure of rural economy, perfecting the reform of the rural financial system and the reform of the property right system, Perfecting the social security system and other measures can increase the income of rural residents, improve the consumption environment of rural residents, stimulate the demand of rural residents, improve the consumption level, reduce the differences between urban and rural areas, so as to achieve rural economic development.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F323.8
[Abstract]:Consumption is one of the important components of stimulating economic growth. Although China's economy has made great progress in recent years, the contribution of consumption to GDP has continued to decline. In spite of this, the rural consumption market still has bigger development space, stimulates the farmer to consume the potential, enhances the resident consumption level to help to promote our country economy development. Therefore, the study of the impact of rural residents' income on consumption plays an important role in promoting China's economic development. In the course of the development of New China, it is obvious to all that the coastal areas of our country pull the national economic aggregate. In addition to Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, about 43% of the population of the 11 provincial administrative units contribute about 60% of the country's GDP.. However, China's coastal areas in the consumption-driven economy is still inadequate. Although the income and consumption level of rural residents have been significantly improved, the gap between urban and rural income and consumption has gradually widened, and the rural consumer market has not reached its due level. Releasing the consumption demand of rural residents plays an important role in solving the dual structure of urban and rural areas and stimulating regional economic growth. In the research of the influence of rural residents' income on consumption, this paper, referring to the western consumption theory and the research results of regional economy, synthesizes the research methods of outstanding scholars at home and abroad, and adopts the combination of theory and empirical analysis. To explore the impact of rural residents' income on consumption in coastal areas of China. This paper analyzes the economic data of 11 provincial administrative units in the coastal areas of China from 2000 to 2014. It is found that there are unique characteristics in the changes of income types in the coastal areas of China. Among the four kinds of income sources, rural residents' wage income and household operating income accounted for the largest proportion, while property income and transfer income accounted for only about 15% of the total income. In recent years, the speed of urbanization in the coastal areas of our country has been speeding up, and the income of rural residents has gradually surpassed the income of household management, which has become the most important source of income. On the basis of theoretical analysis, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of the change of four kinds of income sources on the consumption level of rural residents in 11 provinces and cities in coastal areas of China based on panel data. A multivariate regression model is established, and the model is tested and estimated by E / views9.0. The results show that: 1) the effect of wage income on consumption of rural residents in coastal areas of China has a multiplier effect. Wage income has become a more stable class of income for migrant farmers. 2) the rural household operating income has a small marginal propensity to consume, mainly due to the weak rural infrastructure and frequent natural disasters. The related insurance mechanism is not perfect and other reasons lead to the farmers have uncertainty about this kind of income. 3) the property income and the transfer income of rural residents have significant positive influence on consumption, in which the property income has multiplier effect (4) Engel coefficient. Rural minimum living security and rural residents' education level also affect the consumption level of rural residents. In view of the above research, combined with the current situation and development situation of the coastal areas, this paper thinks that speeding up the adjustment of the industrial structure of rural economy, perfecting the reform of the rural financial system and the reform of the property right system, Perfecting the social security system and other measures can increase the income of rural residents, improve the consumption environment of rural residents, stimulate the demand of rural residents, improve the consumption level, reduce the differences between urban and rural areas, so as to achieve rural economic development.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F323.8
【相似文獻】
相關期刊論文 前10條
1 鐘朋榮;“官逼民富”[J];政工研究動態(tài);2000年10期
2 長江;長澳公司在沿海地區(qū)連中兩標[J];人民長江;2001年10期
3 ;沿海地區(qū)外商投資:“北上西進”大追蹤[J];現(xiàn)代鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn);2004年09期
4 ;高層言論·部委聲音[J];領導決策信息;2005年37期
5 鄭立梅;張碩;;河北省沿海地區(qū)吸引保險資金參與發(fā)展的對策[J];經濟論壇;2013年03期
6 施樹馥;;東亞沿海地區(qū)的海務分析[J];山東大學學生科學論文集刊(自然科學);1956年02期
7 刁仁德;關于沿海地區(qū)金融業(yè)國際化發(fā)展的構想[J];中國城市金融;1993年08期
8 刁仁德;;關于沿海地區(qū)金融業(yè)國際化發(fā)展的構想[J];金融管理與研究;1993年02期
9 金川相;歐盟沿海地區(qū)的集成管理[J];全球科技經濟w，
本文編號：2211355
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/shekelunwen/shehuibaozhanglunwen/2211355.html
