本文選題：社會保障 + 居民消費(fèi)　； 參考：《湖南師范大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：長期以來,我國居民消費(fèi)率始終處于一個較低的水平,部分地區(qū)邊際消費(fèi)傾向甚至出現(xiàn)下降趨勢,消費(fèi)拉動經(jīng)濟(jì)的水平較國際水平明顯偏低,造成了我國經(jīng)濟(jì)長期靠投資與出口拉動的現(xiàn)狀。為了進(jìn)一步優(yōu)化我國經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)較快發(fā)展,建立擴(kuò)大消費(fèi)需求的長效機(jī)制的呼聲日益高漲。在尋求擴(kuò)大居民消費(fèi)途徑的過程中,社會保障作為收入再分配的一個重要手段,其對居民消費(fèi)的影響備受關(guān)注,在今天,正值我國社會保障制度面臨改革的形勢下,對于社會保障影響居民消費(fèi)的研究更凸顯出其獨(dú)特的重要性. 國內(nèi)外學(xué)者對于社會保障對居民消費(fèi)的影響長期以來一直存在爭議,無論是理論研究或是實(shí)證研究結(jié)果均具有一定差異,本文對國內(nèi)外學(xué)者的相關(guān)研究進(jìn)行了回顧與總結(jié),并從國別數(shù)據(jù)與我國省際面板數(shù)據(jù)兩個方面進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。本文采用政府社會保障支出作為社會保障水平的衡量指標(biāo),將贍養(yǎng)比系數(shù)、失業(yè)率水平納入回歸分析,實(shí)證研究結(jié)果顯示無論是采用國別數(shù)據(jù)或是省際數(shù)據(jù),政府社會保障支出都對居民消費(fèi)具有促進(jìn)作用,即社會保障制度的建立健全對于居民消費(fèi)將具有拉動作用,同時還發(fā)現(xiàn),老齡化的加劇將對居民消費(fèi)產(chǎn)生負(fù)作用,此外,當(dāng)前消費(fèi)增長水平低于總體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長水平,消費(fèi)占GDP比重呈一定程度的下降趨勢,失業(yè)率也與消費(fèi)呈現(xiàn)負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the consumption rate of Chinese residents has always been at a relatively low level. In some areas, the marginal propensity to consume even shows a downward trend, and the level of consumption-driven economy is obviously lower than that of the international level.Has caused our country economy to rely on the investment and the export to pull the present situation for a long time.In order to further optimize the economic structure of our country and promote the steady and rapid development of our economy, the voice of establishing a long-term mechanism to expand the consumption demand is rising day by day.In the process of seeking to expand the consumption path of residents, social security, as an important means of income redistribution, has attracted much attention to its impact on residents' consumption. Today, the social security system of our country is facing the situation of reform.The research on the influence of social security on residents' consumption highlights its unique importance.Scholars at home and abroad have been controversial about the impact of social security on residents' consumption for a long time, both theoretical research and empirical research results have some differences, this paper reviews and summarizes the relevant studies of domestic and foreign scholars.And from the country data and China's inter-provincial panel data two aspects of empirical analysis.In this paper, the government social security expenditure is used as a measure of social security level, and the coefficient of maintenance ratio and unemployment rate are included in regression analysis. The empirical results show that both country data and interprovincial data are used.The government social security expenditure has the promotion function to the resident consumption, that is, the establishment of the social security system will have the pulling effect to the resident consumption, at the same time, it is also found that the aggravation of the aging will have the negative effect on the resident consumption, in addition,The current consumption growth level is lower than the overall economic growth level, the proportion of consumption to GDP is decreasing to some extent, and the unemployment rate is negatively related to consumption.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F126.1;D632.1;F224

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 關(guān)浩;;社會保障對城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)的影響[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇;2013年06期

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本文編號：1770687