本文關(guān)鍵詞： 貧困 云南片區(qū) 聚類分析 對(duì)應(yīng)分析 固定效應(yīng)模型　出處：《云南大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：貧困既是人類社會(huì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中的經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題,亦是影響因素復(fù)雜的綜合性社會(huì)問(wèn)題。也就是說(shuō),區(qū)域的貧困狀況是在經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、自然、文化等諸多元素共同作用下形成的。因此,貧困特征分析的不同將會(huì)對(duì)扶貧開發(fā)政策的制定和實(shí)施效果產(chǎn)生差異影響。在此背景下,因地制宜的差異化策顯得尤為重要。若要研究農(nóng)村貧困問(wèn)題的特征、歸結(jié)農(nóng)村扶貧開發(fā)面臨的各種主要影響因素,并進(jìn)一步探討如何提高政策的瞄準(zhǔn)度,則必須充分研究整個(gè)扶貧開發(fā)系統(tǒng)所涉及的自然稟賦和社會(huì)人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)等地域性差異。當(dāng)前基于國(guó)家層面或者省級(jí)層面的貧困現(xiàn)象研究往往忽視了地區(qū)特有的自然、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)文化等個(gè)性化特點(diǎn)。因此,利用微觀層面數(shù)據(jù),全面綜合地考慮特定貧困地區(qū)的農(nóng)村貧困主要特征對(duì)于制定有效的扶貧開發(fā)政策,鞏固已有的扶貧開發(fā)成果有重要意義。這將對(duì)更好地改善農(nóng)村居民生活水平和實(shí)現(xiàn)城鄉(xiāng)居民共同富裕產(chǎn)生非常積極的影響。 本文將從云南特殊困難連片地區(qū)的農(nóng)村貧困現(xiàn)狀分析出發(fā),首先利用指數(shù)分析法對(duì)片區(qū)農(nóng)村貧困特征進(jìn)行個(gè)性化定量分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)各片區(qū)間存在著的差異是顯著的；進(jìn)一步地,選擇將經(jīng)濟(jì)、教育、社會(huì)保障等各個(gè)方面變量,構(gòu)建出片區(qū)貧困測(cè)度的綜合指標(biāo)體系,通過(guò)聚類分析和對(duì)應(yīng)分析法發(fā)現(xiàn)各個(gè)片區(qū)貧困的主要成因；接著,進(jìn)一步利用面板數(shù)據(jù)特征分析方法中的固定效應(yīng)模型建立消費(fèi)函數(shù)模型,再次證實(shí)各片區(qū)之間貧困特征存在顯著差異性,并對(duì)未來(lái)貧困發(fā)生的可能性作出了預(yù)測(cè),以期得到更為準(zhǔn)確的綜合特征分析結(jié)果。研究結(jié)論表明,云南片區(qū)貧困特征差異性明顯,需要實(shí)施差異化扶貧開發(fā)戰(zhàn),才能取得更好的政策效果。最后,本文根據(jù)研究結(jié)論有針對(duì)性地提出了一些差異化扶貧對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:Poverty is not only an economic problem in the course of the development of human society, but also a comprehensive social problem with complex influencing factors. Therefore, different analysis of poverty characteristics will have a different impact on the formulation and implementation of pro-poor development policies. If we want to study the characteristics of rural poverty, sum up the main factors of poverty alleviation and development in rural areas, and further explore how to improve the targeting of the policy. Then we must fully study the natural endowment, social population, economic and other regional differences involved in the whole system of poverty alleviation and development. The current research on poverty at the national or provincial level often ignores the specific nature and economy of the region. Therefore, comprehensive and comprehensive consideration of the main characteristics of rural poverty in specific poor areas is helpful to the formulation of effective policies for poverty alleviation and development. It is of great significance to consolidate the existing achievements in poverty alleviation and development, which will have a very positive impact on improving the living standards of rural residents and realizing the common prosperity of urban and rural residents. Based on the analysis of the current situation of rural poverty in Yunnan Province, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the characteristics of rural poverty by means of index analysis, and finds that the differences among the regions are significant. Choose the variables of economy, education, social security and so on, construct the comprehensive index system of poverty measurement in the region, and find out the main causes of poverty in each region by cluster analysis and correspondence analysis. Furthermore, the fixed effect model of panel data feature analysis is used to establish the consumption function model, which proves once again that there are significant differences in poverty characteristics among different regions, and forecasts the possibility of poverty in the future. The conclusion of the study shows that the characteristics of poverty in Yunnan are quite different, so we need to carry out the war of differentiated poverty alleviation and development in order to achieve better policy effect. According to the conclusions of the study, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for differential poverty alleviation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：D632

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相關(guān)期刊論文 前4條

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本文編號(hào)：1529653