【摘要】：適度的人口對于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展來說,適度的人口規(guī)模不僅可以促進(jìn)社會分工,而且還可以通過人口素質(zhì)的提高和人口結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化,帶來技術(shù)、生產(chǎn)效率的提高和相對穩(wěn)定的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展結(jié)構(gòu)。本次研究在適度人口的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)、研究現(xiàn)狀分析的基礎(chǔ)上,以區(qū)域適度人口理論和區(qū)域人口均衡發(fā)展理論為理論基礎(chǔ),對呼包鄂城市群的人口與經(jīng)濟(jì)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展方面進(jìn)行了分析。本文用2000年為基期標(biāo)準(zhǔn),運用適合于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的人口測算模型--EOP-MM模型對呼包鄂城市群2001-2015年的適合于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的人口規(guī)模進(jìn)行了定量研究并在2014年為基期標(biāo)準(zhǔn)下,對2015年呼包鄂城市群內(nèi)各城區(qū)、旗縣的適合于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的人口規(guī)模進(jìn)行了測算,得出了以下結(jié)論:(1)在2003-2015年期間,呼包鄂城市群適合于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的人口規(guī)模小于實際人口規(guī)模。經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展較落后于人口發(fā)展。(2)在2015年,呼包鄂城市群19個城區(qū)、旗縣存在部分旗縣適合于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的人口規(guī)模高于實際人口規(guī)模,即人口稀缺的現(xiàn)狀。因此,解決呼包鄂城市群人口與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展問題,使人口發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展相適應(yīng),已經(jīng)成為自治區(qū)在經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)背景下,實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。本文在詳細(xì)分析了實際人口規(guī)模與經(jīng)濟(jì)適度人口規(guī)模之間形成缺口原因的基礎(chǔ)上,對如何縮小經(jīng)濟(jì)適度人口與實際人口的差距,從提高經(jīng)濟(jì)適度人口的方面提出了一些對策建議。
[Abstract]:For economic development, an appropriate population scale can not only promote the social division of labor, but also bring technology through the improvement of the quality of the population and the rationalization of the population structure. The improvement of production efficiency and relatively stable structure of economic development. This study is based on the theory of regional moderate population and the theory of balanced development of regional population on the basis of the literature on moderate population and the analysis of current situation. This paper analyzes the coordinated development of population and economy in Hubao and Hubei urban agglomeration. In this paper, the population scale suitable for economic development from 2001 to 2015 in Hubao E urban agglomeration is quantitatively studied by using the EOP-MM model, which is suitable for economic development, according to the year 2000 as the base period standard, and under the base period standard of 2014, this paper makes a quantitative study on the population size of the urban agglomeration in Hubao and Hubei, which is suitable for economic development in 2001-2015. The population scale suitable for economic development in each urban area and flag county of Hubao E urban agglomeration in 2015 is calculated, and the following conclusions are drawn: (1) in 2003-2015, the population scale of Hubao E urban agglomeration suitable for economic development is smaller than the actual population scale. Economic development lags behind population development. (2) in 2015, there were 19 urban areas in Hubao and Hubei city group, some of which were suitable for economic development, the population scale of flag county was higher than that of real population scale, that is, the present situation of population scarcity. Therefore, to solve the problem of population and economic development in Hubao and Hubei urban agglomeration and to adapt population development to economic development has become the key to the stable economic development of autonomous region under the new normal economic background. Based on the detailed analysis of the causes of the gap between the actual population size and the economic moderate population scale, this paper discusses how to narrow the gap between the economic moderate population and the actual population. Some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the aspect of raising the economic moderate population.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：C924.2;F299.27

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