【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展和人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)的變化,人口資源,尤其是高級勞動力已經(jīng)成為重要的戰(zhàn)略性資源之一。在人口流動規(guī)模日益擴(kuò)大的背景下,吸引并留住人口資源成為地區(qū)重視的問題。本文從江蘇省人口轉(zhuǎn)移的角度出發(fā),將轉(zhuǎn)移人口進(jìn)行分類,并結(jié)合江蘇省1999-2015年相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),分析對比不同轉(zhuǎn)移方式人口的地區(qū)特征和影響因素。進(jìn)而研究地區(qū)對轉(zhuǎn)移人口的拉力和推力,以期對研究江蘇省人口轉(zhuǎn)移問題和地區(qū)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展有所幫助。通過搜集相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)對比不同人口轉(zhuǎn)移方式的地區(qū)規(guī)模,得出了如下結(jié)論:非永久性人口轉(zhuǎn)移規(guī)模遠(yuǎn)大于永久性人轉(zhuǎn)移規(guī)模;蘇南、蘇中、蘇北地區(qū)遷移規(guī)模差異顯著,其中蘇北地區(qū)以遷出為主,蘇南地區(qū)為遷入為主;地區(qū)人口數(shù)量和地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平之間不協(xié)調(diào),蘇南區(qū)域依然存在較大的人口接納空間,而蘇北地區(qū)仍有大量剩余的勞動力需要轉(zhuǎn)移出來。影響人口流動的因素紛繁復(fù)雜,絕大多數(shù)影響因素都來自外界環(huán)境。遷入遷出地的經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境、社會環(huán)境、文化環(huán)境和制度環(huán)境等都會對人口的遷移決策產(chǎn)生重要影響。也就是說各地區(qū)的區(qū)域發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、綜合實(shí)力等差異造成對人口的吸引力也存在一定差異。本文重點(diǎn)從經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、城市建設(shè)、生活環(huán)境等方面實(shí)證分析地區(qū)對人口轉(zhuǎn)移的推拉作用。根據(jù)實(shí)證結(jié)果,發(fā)現(xiàn)非永久性轉(zhuǎn)移人口主要追逐的經(jīng)濟(jì)利益,偏重關(guān)注地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)收入和開放貿(mào)易,但此種經(jīng)濟(jì)因素拉力作用隨時(shí)間減弱;而永久性轉(zhuǎn)移人口更注重整體生活質(zhì)量的提高,會從經(jīng)濟(jì)、城建資源、生態(tài)環(huán)境和消費(fèi)環(huán)境對地區(qū)給予全面評估。同時(shí)地方政府政策對于不同轉(zhuǎn)移方式的轉(zhuǎn)移人口作用不同,即地方政府福利政策對對永久性轉(zhuǎn)移人口轉(zhuǎn)入有較強(qiáng)的拉力作用。根據(jù)分析所得結(jié)論,即蘇南在地區(qū)發(fā)展和資源稟賦存在明顯競爭優(yōu)勢,人口注重轉(zhuǎn)移后生活質(zhì)量水平的提高,人口轉(zhuǎn)移地區(qū)規(guī)模發(fā)展落后于地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展等,從戶籍制度、地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)聯(lián)動等方面提出相關(guān)對策建議,希望能為政府部門人口規(guī)劃和地區(qū)發(fā)展有所幫助。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economy and the change of population age structure, population resources, especially senior labor force, have become one of the important strategic resources. In the background of increasing population mobility, attracting and retaining population resources has become a regional issue. From the point of view of population transfer in Jiangsu Province, this paper classifies the transferred population, and analyzes and compares the regional characteristics and influencing factors of the population of different transfer modes by combining the relevant data from 1999 to 2015 in Jiangsu Province. Then the paper studies the pull and thrust of region to transfer population, which is helpful to study the problem of population transfer and regional coordinated development in Jiangsu Province. By collecting relevant data to compare the regional scale of different population transfer modes, the following conclusions are drawn: the scale of non-permanent population transfer is much larger than that of permanent population transfer, and there are significant differences in the scale of migration between southern, central and northern Jiangsu. Among them, northern Jiangsu mainly moved out, southern Jiangsu mainly moved in, the population and the level of regional economic development were not coordinated, and there was still a large population acceptance space in southern Jiangsu. There are still a large number of surplus labor force to be transferred out in northern Jiangsu. The factors affecting population mobility are complicated, most of which come from the external environment. The economic environment, the social environment, the cultural environment and the institutional environment all have important influence on the decision of population migration. That is to say, there are some differences in the attraction of population caused by the difference of regional development and comprehensive strength. This paper focuses on the economic development, urban construction, living environment and other aspects of empirical analysis of the role of regional population transfer push-pull. According to the empirical results, it is found that the economic benefits pursued by the non-permanent transfer population mainly focus on regional economic income and open trade, but the pulling effect of such economic factors weakens with time. The permanent transfer population pays more attention to the improvement of the overall quality of life, which will give a comprehensive assessment to the region from the economy, urban construction resources, ecological environment and consumption environment. At the same time, the role of local government policy on the transfer of population is different, that is, the welfare policy of local government has a strong pull effect on the permanent transfer of population. According to the conclusion of the analysis, there are obvious competitive advantages in the regional development and resource endowment of southern Jiangsu, the improvement of the quality of life after the population transfer, the scale development of the population transfer area lagging behind the regional economic development, and so on. In order to help the population planning and regional development of government departments, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions on regional economic development and regional industrial linkage.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中共江蘇省委黨校
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：C924.2

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本文編號：2175290