發(fā)布時間：2018-05-29 09:27

  本文選題：人口紅利 + 經(jīng)濟發(fā)展��； 參考：《山東師范大學》2010年碩士論文

【摘要】： 本文從時間上對山東省人口紅利的形成和變化做了分析,從空間上對山東省人口紅利的區(qū)域差異做了分析,并分析了人口紅利對山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響。論文主要包括以下五個部分的內(nèi)容： 第一部分分析了人口紅利提出的背景；人口紅利的相關理論以及國內(nèi)外關于人口紅利的研究現(xiàn)狀,包括人口轉變理論、人口紅利基本理論以及人口紅利與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的相關性等；最后論述了本文研究的目的和意義。 第二部分主要從時間上分析山東省人口紅利的形成和變化過程。首先,分析了山東人口轉變過程,通過與中國整體的的人口轉變過程相對比,總結了其特點,并對山東省人口轉變過程進行了階段劃分。其次,分析了山東省人口年齡結構的變化過程,到21世紀初,山東省年齡結構逐漸演變?yōu)槔夏晷?并在不斷深化。最后,對山東省的人口紅利期進行了界定,通過引入相關標準,判定山東省人口紅利開始于1984年,并持續(xù)到2030年,大約延續(xù)46年。通過對比分析,總結了山東省的人口紅利的特點,并對其形成原因做了簡要分析。 第三部分主要從空間上分析山東省人口紅利的區(qū)域差異。通過對2007年山東省17地市人口紅利狀況、人口紅利利用率狀況及區(qū)域發(fā)展狀況的分析,對山東省17地市做了綜合聚類分析,總結了山東省人口紅利區(qū)域差異的特點,山東省的人口紅利發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)由東向西、由北向南逐漸遞減趨勢,與山東省區(qū)域經(jīng)發(fā)展的態(tài)勢大體重合。最后山東省人口紅利區(qū)域差異的形成原因做了簡要分析。 第四部分主要分析人口紅利對山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響。從理論和實證的角度分別分析了人口紅利對山東省勞動力供給、居民儲蓄、居民消費以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的影響,最后從總體上分析了人口紅利對山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響,計算得到人口紅利對山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的貢獻率,得出結論：人口紅利對山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展具有明顯的促進作用。 第五部分提出了充分利用人口紅利,促進山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的對策與建議。首先,提高就業(yè)率,實現(xiàn)就業(yè)最大化,充分利用人口紅利期的人力資源。其次,提高勞動力的素質,加大人力資本積累,更有效的發(fā)揮人口紅利期勞動力資源豐富的優(yōu)勢。再次,加強勞動力資源有效配置研究,促進人口的合理流動,促進各區(qū)域協(xié)調發(fā)展。最后,完善各種制度措施,充分挖掘“第二次人口紅利”,促進人口紅利后期山東省經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the formation and change of demographic dividend in Shandong Province in time, analyzes the regional difference of demographic dividend in Shandong Province in space, and analyzes the impact of demographic dividend on the economic development of Shandong Province. The thesis mainly includes the following five parts: The first part analyzes the background of population dividend, the related theory of population dividend and the current research situation of population dividend at home and abroad, including the theory of population transition, the basic theory of population dividend and the correlation between population dividend and economic development. Finally, the purpose and significance of this paper are discussed. The second part mainly analyzes the formation and change process of population dividend in Shandong Province in time. Firstly, the paper analyzes the process of population transition in Shandong Province, compares it with the whole process of population transformation in China, summarizes its characteristics, and divides the process of population transition in Shandong Province into stages. Secondly, the changing process of the population age structure in Shandong Province is analyzed. By the beginning of the 21st century, the age structure of Shandong Province has gradually evolved into the old type, and is deepening continuously. Finally, the population dividend period of Shandong Province is defined. By introducing relevant criteria, it is determined that the population dividend of Shandong Province began in 1984 and lasted until 2030, and lasted for about 46 years. Through comparative analysis, this paper summarizes the characteristics of population dividend in Shandong Province, and makes a brief analysis on the reasons for its formation. The third part mainly analyzes the regional difference of population dividend in Shandong Province from the spatial point of view. Based on the analysis of the status of population dividend, utilization rate of population dividend and regional development in 17 cities of Shandong Province in 2007, this paper makes a comprehensive cluster analysis on 17 cities of Shandong Province, and summarizes the characteristics of regional difference of population dividend in Shandong Province. The development of demographic dividend in Shandong Province shows a decreasing trend from east to west, from north to south, which coincides with the trend of regional economic development in Shandong Province. Finally, the causes of regional difference of demographic dividend in Shandong Province are briefly analyzed. The fourth part mainly analyzes the impact of demographic dividend on the economic development of Shandong Province. This paper analyzes the effects of demographic dividend on the supply of labor force, residents' savings, residents' consumption and industrial structure in Shandong Province, and finally analyzes the impact of demographic dividend on the economic development of Shandong Province as a whole. The contribution rate of the population dividend to the economic development of Shandong Province is obtained, and the conclusion is drawn that the demographic dividend has an obvious promoting effect on the economic development of Shandong Province. The fifth part puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to make full use of the population dividend and promote the economic development of Shandong Province. First, increase employment rate, realize employment maximization, make full use of the human resources of population dividend period. Secondly, improve the quality of labor force, increase the accumulation of human capital, more effectively play the advantage of abundant labor resources in the period of demographic dividend. Thirdly, strengthen the research on the effective allocation of labor resources, promote the rational flow of population and promote the coordinated development of all regions. Finally, improve various system measures, fully excavate "the second population dividend", promote the economic development of Shandong Province in the latter stage of population dividend.
【學位授予單位】：山東師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2010
【分類號】：C924.2;F127

【引證文獻】

相關碩士學位論文 前4條

1 王亞琛;“人口紅利”衰退與地方政府對策研究[D];云南大學;2012年

2 李玉;甘肅省人口紅利對經(jīng)濟增長的影響研究[D];蘭州大學;2013年

3 楊翔宇;河南省人口紅利對經(jīng)濟增長影響的實證分析[D];上海師范大學;2013年

4 仲晨;遼寧省人口結構變化對經(jīng)濟增長的影響研究[D];遼寧大學;2013年

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本文編號：1950365