發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-25 20:16

  本文選題：農(nóng)村人口 + 老齡化��； 參考：《農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年09期

【摘要】：在農(nóng)村人口老齡化不斷加深的背景下,其對(duì)土地流轉(zhuǎn)的影響也呈現(xiàn)出顯著的區(qū)域差異。本文利用中國(guó)家庭收入調(diào)查(CHIP)2013年在全國(guó)14個(gè)省份10370個(gè)農(nóng)戶(hù)的抽樣調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),通過(guò)建立Tobit模型實(shí)證分析了農(nóng)村人口老齡化對(duì)土地流轉(zhuǎn)的影響,研究結(jié)果表明:中國(guó)農(nóng)村人口老齡化的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)與傳統(tǒng)勞動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的60歲標(biāo)準(zhǔn)有所差異,分65歲以上農(nóng)戶(hù)和60歲至65歲農(nóng)戶(hù)來(lái)研究農(nóng)村人口老齡化對(duì)土地流轉(zhuǎn)決策的影響是非常有必要的。從全國(guó)范圍和東中西部地區(qū)看,65歲以上農(nóng)戶(hù)對(duì)土地轉(zhuǎn)出有顯著的正向影響,對(duì)土地轉(zhuǎn)入有顯著的負(fù)向影響;60歲至65歲農(nóng)戶(hù)對(duì)土地轉(zhuǎn)出并沒(méi)有顯著影響,對(duì)土地轉(zhuǎn)入的影響具有顯著的區(qū)域差異,在東部地區(qū),60歲至65歲農(nóng)戶(hù)傾向于不轉(zhuǎn)入土地,在中部地區(qū)60歲至65歲農(nóng)戶(hù)更傾向于轉(zhuǎn)入土地�；诖�,本文提出農(nóng)村老齡化不斷加深的背景下東中西部地區(qū)差別化的土地流轉(zhuǎn)策略。
[Abstract]:Under the background of the aging of rural population, its influence on land circulation also presents significant regional differences. Based on the sample data of 10370 rural households in 14 provinces of China in 2013, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of the aging of rural population on the land circulation through the establishment of Tobit model. The results show that there is a difference between the standard of aging of rural population in China and the standard of 60 years of age in traditional labor economics. It is necessary to study the influence of the aging of rural population on the decision-making of land circulation by dividing the farmers over 65 years old and farmers aged 60 to 65 years old. From the view of the whole country and the central and western regions, farmers over 65 have a significant positive effect on the land transfer, but there is a significant negative impact on the land transfer. There is no significant impact on the land transfer from the farmers aged 60 to 65. In the eastern region, farmers aged 60 to 65 tend not to transfer to land, and in the central region, farmers aged 60 to 65 are more inclined to transfer to land. Based on this, this paper puts forward the strategy of land transfer in east, west and west under the background of rural aging.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院農(nóng)村發(fā)展研究所;
【基金】：國(guó)家社科基金項(xiàng)目“農(nóng)業(yè)支持政策對(duì)新型農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)主體種糧行為的影響研究(編號(hào):16CJY049)”
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：C924.2;F321.1

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