本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)人口流動(dòng)遷移對(duì)城市化進(jìn)程影響的實(shí)證分析，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

中國(guó)人口流動(dòng)遷移對(duì)城市化進(jìn)程影響的實(shí)證分析

Empirical Analysis on Impacts of Migration with and Without Hukou Change on China＇s Urbanization

[1] [2]

YAN Yong-hua, GUO Zhi-yi （ College of Economics, Lanzhon University, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China）

蘭州大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院,甘肅蘭州730000

文章摘要：人口流動(dòng)遷移是改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展變遷和城市化中出現(xiàn)的一個(gè)重要現(xiàn)象�；谖覈�(guó)30個(gè)省域2002-2012年的空間面板數(shù)據(jù),通過(guò)構(gòu)建空間靜態(tài)與動(dòng)態(tài)模型實(shí)證分析了人口流動(dòng)遷移對(duì)城市化進(jìn)程的影響。研究表明：我國(guó)城市化水平存在顯著的空間正相關(guān)性,整體上有著明顯的空間擴(kuò)散效應(yīng);流入人口和流入人口人力資本對(duì)我國(guó)城市化的影響都很突出,流入人口帶來(lái)人力資本集聚對(duì)城市化水平的影響要大于簡(jiǎn)單人口數(shù)據(jù)的集聚;凈遷移人口和凈遷移人口人力資本對(duì)我國(guó)城市化水平的影響不是很顯著,與我國(guó)的戶籍制度存在著一定關(guān)系,當(dāng)前的戶籍制度限制了居民的遷徙,對(duì)城市化發(fā)展起著阻礙作用;經(jīng)濟(jì)力量仍是我國(guó)城市化水平提高的重要驅(qū)動(dòng)力。因此,在推動(dòng)城市化進(jìn)程中,除繼續(xù)發(fā)揮經(jīng)濟(jì)力量的核心驅(qū)動(dòng)力作用外,更需重視流動(dòng)遷移人口對(duì)城市化的作用。

Abstr：Migration with and without Hukou change is an important phenomenon in the process of economic development and urbanization since the beginning of the opening-up policy. In order to understand the specific impact of migration to urbanization,impacts of migration with and without Hukou change on urbanization are analyzed by building spatial static and dynamic model by using the spatial panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2002 to 2012. The research shows： There is a spatial correlation in urbanization of China,and there is a spatial diffusion effect. Impacts of inflowing population and human capital of inflowing population to the level of urbanization are outstanding,and human capital is more prominent. The positive effect indicates that,the same as inflow population,net population migration can promote the regional urbanization level. However,because of China＇s household registration system,impacts of net migration with Hukou change and human capital of the net migration to the level of urbanization are positive but not significant. The current household registration system limits the migration of people and is not conducive to the development of urbanization. Economic power is still an important driving force of urbanization＇s development. Economic growth and the upgrading of the industrial structure can effectively improve the level of urbanization. Therefore,in the urbanization process,in addition to economic driving force,the role of migration with and without Hukou change should be paid more attention.

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:inflowing population net migration of population urbanization spatial effects

課題項(xiàng)目：中央高�；究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)專項(xiàng)資金資助項(xiàng)目“不同功能區(qū)域定位下甘肅省人口分布、流動(dòng)遷移與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展研究”（編號(hào)：14LZUJBWYJ002）

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)人口流動(dòng)遷移對(duì)城市化進(jìn)程影響的實(shí)證分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。