【摘要】：本文主要分析的是實(shí)質(zhì)民主的定義操作化及方法論問題。作者強(qiáng)調(diào),對(duì)于測量層次問題,指標(biāo)設(shè)計(jì)者需要慎重的態(tài)度,否則指標(biāo)就可能會(huì)出現(xiàn)嚴(yán)重的信度和效度問題,其結(jié)果是在經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析中會(huì)出現(xiàn)嚴(yán)重的偏誤。對(duì)于羅納德·英格爾哈特和克里斯蒂安·魏澤爾提出的有效民主的概念,作者進(jìn)行了測量。在英格爾哈特和魏澤爾的現(xiàn)代化理論中,兩人已經(jīng)從經(jīng)驗(yàn)上進(jìn)行過多次檢驗(yàn)該理論假設(shè)。而檢驗(yàn)的結(jié)果,也進(jìn)一步支持了兩人的理論觀點(diǎn)。對(duì)于英格爾哈特和魏澤爾追求的"實(shí)質(zhì)民主"而不是"形式民主"的觀點(diǎn),作者表示支持。然而,對(duì)于兩人使用的具體測量方法,作者認(rèn)為它有一些理論和指標(biāo)分布的偏誤,使用這種方法得到的結(jié)果也是具有誤導(dǎo)性的。實(shí)證分析也表明,這一指標(biāo)設(shè)計(jì)是有偏誤的,它產(chǎn)生了偏向于西方富裕國家的分析結(jié)果。作者認(rèn)為,從統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)意義上來說,這種測量方法可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致虛假推理。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly analyzes the definition, operationalization and methodology of substantive democracy. The author emphasizes that the indicator designer should take a cautious attitude to the measurement hierarchy, otherwise, the reliability and validity of the index may be serious, and the result is that there will be serious errors in the empirical analysis. The author measured the concept of effective democracy proposed by Ronald Inglart Hart and Christian Weizel. In Ingerhardt and Weizel's modernization theory, they have tested the hypothesis empirically many times. And the results of the test further support the two people's theoretical point of view. The author supports the idea that Ingerhardt and Weizel pursue "substantial democracy" rather than "formal democracy". However, for the specific measurement method used by two people, the author thinks that it has some errors in theory and index distribution, and the results obtained by using this method are also misleading. The empirical analysis also shows that the design of this index is biased, and it leads to the results of the analysis in favour of the rich countries in the West. The authors believe that, statistically speaking, this measurement may lead to false reasoning.
【作者單位】： 奧斯陸大學(xué)政治系;華東政法大學(xué)政治學(xué)研究院;
【基金】：國家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“全球治理與主權(quán)國家之間的協(xié)調(diào)關(guān)系研究”(13CGJ021),項(xiàng)目負(fù)責(zé)人:王金良 華東政法大學(xué)科研項(xiàng)目“跨國社會(huì)運(yùn)動(dòng)及其影響研究”(A-3101-15-154325),項(xiàng)目負(fù)責(zé)人:王金良;華東政法大學(xué)政治學(xué)研究院“華與羅‘世界文明與比較政治研究’項(xiàng)目”(HDZ005),項(xiàng)目負(fù)責(zé)人:高奇琦
【分類號(hào)】：D082
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本文編號(hào)：2148112