發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-12-06 18:13

【摘要】：文章選用30個(gè)省份2005—2015年面板數(shù)據(jù)從供給和需求兩個(gè)角度分析老齡化對(duì)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)和勞動(dòng)力城鄉(xiāng)結(jié)構(gòu)變化的動(dòng)態(tài)效應(yīng)。供給角度通過(guò)建立動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型實(shí)證分析得到結(jié)論,東部地區(qū)老齡化對(duì)消費(fèi)有促進(jìn)作用,中、西部有抑制作用。需求角度運(yùn)用面板數(shù)據(jù)聯(lián)立方程模型研究發(fā)現(xiàn),東部地區(qū)老齡化對(duì)勞動(dòng)力城鄉(xiāng)結(jié)構(gòu)變化有推動(dòng)作用,中、西部有阻礙作用。最后比較分析東、中、西部地區(qū)老齡化對(duì)消費(fèi)與勞動(dòng)力城鄉(xiāng)結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)的影響程度,并給出政策建議。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of aging on the change of consumption structure and urban and rural structure of labor force from the point of view of supply and demand, using the panel data from 2005 to 2015 in 30 provinces. Based on the empirical analysis of dynamic panel data model in the supply angle, it is concluded that the aging in the eastern region can promote consumption, while the central and western regions have the inhibitory effect. From the point of view of demand, it is found that the aging of the eastern region has a driving effect on the change of the urban and rural structure of the labor force, while the western part of the region has a hindering effect. Finally, the influence of aging on the urban-rural structure of labor force and consumption in eastern, middle and western regions is analyzed, and some policy suggestions are given.
【作者單位】： 江西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)信息管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：江西省2016年度研究生創(chuàng)新專(zhuān)項(xiàng)資金項(xiàng)目“大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代下江西省人口老齡化與城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)的相關(guān)性研究”(YC2016-S242)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：D669.6;F121.3

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