本文選題：中美關(guān)系 + 亞太地區(qū)　； 參考：《當(dāng)代亞太》2017年01期

【摘要】：中美兩國(guó)是亞太地區(qū)的重要大國(guó),隨著兩國(guó)間實(shí)力差距的不斷縮小,雙方的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)有所加劇,并且日益具有地緣影響和戰(zhàn)略意義,致使中美亞太主導(dǎo)權(quán)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)逐漸顯現(xiàn)。在此情況下,兩國(guó)采取何種戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行和平競(jìng)爭(zhēng)尤為關(guān)鍵。無(wú)論是權(quán)力制衡、規(guī)范制衡、對(duì)沖戰(zhàn)略還是共同進(jìn)化理論,都不足以完整解釋當(dāng)前中美亞太戰(zhàn)略的互動(dòng)。在兩國(guó)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)凸顯且目前很難取得和解的情況下,文章嘗試提出一種拒優(yōu)戰(zhàn)略,以更好地理解兩國(guó)間的主導(dǎo)權(quán)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。拒優(yōu)戰(zhàn)略旨在削弱對(duì)手競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)、滯緩競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手獲得主導(dǎo)權(quán),主要通過(guò)自我權(quán)力增強(qiáng)、塑造制度優(yōu)勢(shì)、阻遏對(duì)手權(quán)勢(shì)轉(zhuǎn)化等手段加以實(shí)施,具有強(qiáng)烈的預(yù)期主導(dǎo)性、針對(duì)性、不合作性和復(fù)合性特征。當(dāng)前中美雙方在亞太地區(qū)的戰(zhàn)略行為表明,兩國(guó)都在實(shí)施拒優(yōu)戰(zhàn)略,不過(guò)其結(jié)果具有很大的不確定性,既有可能導(dǎo)致亞太地區(qū)的制度競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈、地區(qū)分化加劇,也有可能促使中美逐漸放棄積極對(duì)抗,增加消極合作,促進(jìn)兩國(guó)在亞太地區(qū)和平共處與協(xié)商領(lǐng)導(dǎo),關(guān)鍵取決于中美雙方的戰(zhàn)略博弈過(guò)程和能否達(dá)成共享主導(dǎo)權(quán)的戰(zhàn)略共識(shí)。
[Abstract]:China and the United States are important powers in the Asia-Pacific region. With the narrowing of the power gap between the two countries, the competition between the two countries has intensified, and increasingly has geographical impact and strategic significance, resulting in the emergence of the dominant power competition between China and the United States in the Asia-Pacific region. In this case, the strategy adopted by the two countries for peaceful competition is particularly critical. Neither the checks and balances of power, the normative checks and balances, the hedging strategies or the theory of coevolution are sufficient to fully explain the current interaction of the Asia-Pacific strategy between China and the United States. Under the situation that the competition between the two countries is prominent and it is difficult to reach a settlement at present, this paper attempts to put forward a strategy of rejecting superiority in order to better understand the dominant power competition between the two countries. The rejection strategy aims to weaken the competitive advantage of the opponent and slow the competitor to gain the leading power. It is mainly implemented through the means of strengthening the self-power, shaping the institutional advantage and deterring the transformation of the opponent's power, etc., which has a strong expectation of dominance and pertinence. Non-cooperative and complex characteristics. The current strategic behavior of China and the United States in the Asia-Pacific region shows that both countries are implementing the strategy of rejection of the best, but the results are very uncertain, which may lead to fierce institutional competition and intensified regional division in the Asia-Pacific region. It is also possible that China and the United States will gradually give up active confrontation, increase negative cooperation, and promote peaceful coexistence and negotiation leadership between the two countries in the Asia-Pacific region. The key lies in the strategic game process between China and the United States and whether or not they can reach a strategic consensus on shared leadership.
【作者單位】： 外交學(xué)院國(guó)際關(guān)系研究所;
【基金】：作者主持的國(guó)家社科基金青年項(xiàng)目“中美亞太主導(dǎo)權(quán)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)及其影響研究”(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):16CGJ013)的階段性成果
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：D822.371.2

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