中美“管控”美對(duì)臺(tái)軍售有效性的評(píng)估與分析
本文選題:中美關(guān)系 切入點(diǎn):兩岸關(guān)系 出處:《當(dāng)代亞太》2017年03期
【摘要】:美國(guó)對(duì)臺(tái)軍售是美國(guó)對(duì)華戰(zhàn)略的重要組成部分,是美國(guó)實(shí)施對(duì)華"對(duì)沖"戰(zhàn)略的重要手段之一。文章指出,美國(guó)不同時(shí)期的對(duì)臺(tái)軍售與當(dāng)時(shí)的中美關(guān)系呈現(xiàn)一種反向相關(guān),對(duì)臺(tái)軍售政策典型地體現(xiàn)出中美關(guān)系的"兩面性"特質(zhì)。美國(guó)對(duì)臺(tái)軍售問(wèn)題雖是不定期引發(fā)中美關(guān)系震蕩的"頑疾",但至今未引爆兩國(guó)關(guān)系。數(shù)十年來(lái),中美在該問(wèn)題上達(dá)成了某種程度的默契,并形成了某種程序化的溝通機(jī)制,實(shí)現(xiàn)了兩國(guó)對(duì)該問(wèn)題的有效"管控"。文章旨在解讀中美兩國(guó)如何對(duì)美國(guó)對(duì)臺(tái)軍售問(wèn)題進(jìn)行有效"管控"。兩國(guó)在該議題上達(dá)成的默契表現(xiàn)在:美國(guó)不向臺(tái)灣地區(qū)出售敏感武器是其執(zhí)行對(duì)臺(tái)軍售政策時(shí)遵循的隱性原則;中國(guó)大陸則對(duì)有限的、不突破其"紅線"的軍售行為不做出過(guò)激反應(yīng),采取務(wù)實(shí)手法處理。兩國(guó)政府高層在軍售前后形成的程序化的溝通和修補(bǔ)措施,則為實(shí)現(xiàn)有效"管控"提供了機(jī)制化保障。
[Abstract]:United States arms sales to Taiwan are an important part of the United States' strategy to China and one of the important means for the United States to implement a "hedging" strategy to China. The article points out that arms sales to Taiwan by the United States at different times have a negative correlation with Sino-US relations at that time. The policy of arms sales to Taiwan typically reflects the "dual character" of Sino-US relations. Although the issue of US arms sales to Taiwan is a "stubborn disease" that occasionally causes shocks in Sino-US relations, it has so far failed to set off relations between the two countries. For decades, China and the United States have reached a certain degree of tacit understanding on this issue, and have formed some kind of procedural communication mechanism. The article aims to explain how China and the United States can effectively "control" the issue of US arms sales to Taiwan. The tacit agreement reached between the two countries on this issue is that the United States does not send goods to Taiwan. The sale of sensitive weapons is an implicit principle when it carries out the policy of arms sales to Taiwan. The Chinese mainland, on the other hand, did not overreact to the limited arms sales that did not break its "red line," and took pragmatic measures to deal with them. The high-level government of the two countries took procedural communication and remedial measures before and after the arms sales. It provides an institutional guarantee for effective "control and control".
【作者單位】: 北京大學(xué)國(guó)際關(guān)系學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】:D618;D871.2
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