本文關(guān)鍵詞：搶劫與搶奪犯罪行為時(shí)空分布特征研究——以上海市浦東新區(qū)為例，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

搶劫與搶奪犯罪行為時(shí)空分布特征研究——以上海市浦東新區(qū)為例

STUDY ON SPATIAL-TEMPORAL PATTERNS OF ROBBERY AND SNATCH： A CASE STUDY OF PUDONG NEW AREA, SHANGHAI

[1] [2]

MAO Yuan-yuan1, DING Jia-jun （1. The State Innovative Institute for Public Management and Policy Stuob＇es at Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China; 2. Shanghai Municipal E

[1]復(fù)旦大學(xué)公共管理與公共政策國家哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)創(chuàng)新基地,上海200433; [2]上海市政工程設(shè)計(jì)研究總院(集團(tuán))有限公司,上海200433

文章摘要：本文以上海市浦東新區(qū)為例研究搶劫、搶奪犯罪的時(shí)空分布規(guī)律及其與城市空間環(huán)境的關(guān)系。發(fā)現(xiàn)兩搶犯罪時(shí)空分布呈現(xiàn)顯著且穩(wěn)定的規(guī)律性。犯罪時(shí)間分布與人們的起居、出行時(shí)間密切相關(guān)；兩搶犯罪高發(fā)區(qū)往往犯罪目標(biāo)相對(duì)集中、人口流動(dòng)性較大并且作案后便于逃逸；犯罪低發(fā)區(qū)多為非生活功能的區(qū)域。外來人口、商業(yè)場所、通勤人口以及交通復(fù)雜程度等城市環(huán)境因素對(duì)兩搶案件數(shù)量呈顯著正向貢獻(xiàn)。兩搶案件的發(fā)生要素可歸納為三個(gè)方面：犯罪目標(biāo)時(shí)空上的集聚、較強(qiáng)的人口流動(dòng)性以及作案后逃逸的方便。

Abstr：In China, with the rapid development of urbanization and the prosperous construction of urban en- vironment, urban crime is becoming a critical factor affecting urban safety, such as robbery and snatch which influence people＇s daily life seriously.This paper explored spatial-temporal patterns of robbery and snatch （R＆S） and their relationship with urban environments using data from Shanghai Municipal Public Security Bureau Pudong Branch. Spatial, statistical and qualitative analysis methods have been applied in this study. The findings indicate that spatial-temporal patterns of R＆S are quite obvious and stable with time. Temporal patterns of R＆S are related to people＇ s living and commuting activities. R＆S are concentrated in middle- west of Pudong New Area which is more developed than other places. The mean centre of the coordinates of crimes moves slightly to the east year by year with the development of east Pudong New Area and the in- creasing of human behaviors there. Spatial distribution of R＆S is positively auto-correlated. R＆S happening on road and square are much more than those on other types of landuse because criminals are easier to es- cape on road and square. The regression analysis discovers that the spatial distributions of R＆S are relevant to the environmental factors of urban environment, such as commercial facilities, floating population, bus stops and road intersections. In general, environment has important influence on R＆S, which are in accor- dance with routine activity theory and environmental criminology theory.

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:robbery and snatch crime spatial-temporal pattem urban environment Pudong Shanghai

課題項(xiàng)目：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目（51208115）

作者信息：會(huì)員可見

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：搶劫與搶奪犯罪行為時(shí)空分布特征研究——以上海市浦東新區(qū)為例，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。