【摘要】：在鮑莫爾非均衡增長模型的基礎(chǔ)上,引入流通和生產(chǎn)的需求互補特性假設(shè),并將工業(yè)部門區(qū)分為生產(chǎn)職能部門和流通職能部門。利用面板固定效應(yīng)模型和空間面板杜賓模型對2002-2013年的省份面板數(shù)據(jù)進行實證分析發(fā)現(xiàn),生產(chǎn)和流通對流通環(huán)節(jié)就業(yè)占比和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展表現(xiàn)出木桶效應(yīng),流通環(huán)節(jié)就業(yè)占比的提高和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展速度的加快需要以流通環(huán)節(jié)勞動生產(chǎn)率增長速度的相對減緩為代價;另外,變量之間存在空間相關(guān)性,對流通環(huán)節(jié)就業(yè)占比而言,顯現(xiàn)出勞動力的區(qū)域溢出效應(yīng)和流通環(huán)節(jié)勞動力的需求端跨區(qū)域傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng),對經(jīng)濟發(fā)展而言,則顯現(xiàn)出需求端的空間負向傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)和供給端的空間正向溢出效應(yīng)。為此,宜進一步深化流通環(huán)節(jié)改革,提升市場化水平,實現(xiàn)流通環(huán)節(jié)的健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:On the basis of Bowmore's unbalanced growth model, the hypothesis of demand complementarity between circulation and production is introduced, and the industrial sector is divided into production function and circulation function. Using panel fixed effect model and spatial panel Doberman model to analyze the provincial panel data from 2002 to 2013, it is found that production and circulation have a wooden bucket effect on the employment and economic development of circulation link. The increase of the proportion of employment in circulation links and the acceleration of economic development need to be at the cost of the relative slowdown of the growth rate of labor productivity in circulation links; in addition, there is a spatial correlation between variables, which is related to the proportion of employment in circulation links. It shows the regional spillover effect of labor force and the cross-regional conduction effect of labor force in circulation link. For economic development, it shows the spatial negative conduction effect on the demand side and the spatial positive spillover effect on the supply side. Therefore, it is necessary to further deepen the reform of circulation links, raise the level of marketization, and realize the healthy development of circulation links.
【作者單位】： 中國人民大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F724;F424

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