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“一帶一路”背景下東盟國(guó)家投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-09-03 19:46
【摘要】:隨著“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的穩(wěn)步推進(jìn),我國(guó)與世界各國(guó)的合作不斷加深,對(duì)外投資廣度和深度都有了大幅提高,特別是與我國(guó)山水相連的東盟國(guó)家,作為我國(guó)投資的主要目的地,東盟各國(guó)與我國(guó)在經(jīng)濟(jì)、政治和文化領(lǐng)域的合作不斷深入,因此在我國(guó)對(duì)外投資過(guò)程中對(duì)東盟國(guó)家投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行深入了解顯得日益重要。本文通過(guò)對(duì)政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、文化差異以及投資國(guó)與被投資國(guó)雙邊關(guān)系等投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)影響因素的研究分析了中國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家直接投資的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)影響因素,并通過(guò)分析建立了一套文化差異為里,政治和經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)為表的投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析體系。這套體系中經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)對(duì)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)影響最大,其次為政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)對(duì)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)影響最為直接,提出文化差異作為潛在的影響因素,對(duì)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響機(jī)制,文化差異是通過(guò)影響被投資國(guó)社會(huì)對(duì)投資國(guó)認(rèn)同感來(lái)影響投資行為。在衡量政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)中的軍隊(duì)干預(yù)政治和衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)中的人均GDP對(duì)于這兩者的影響最大的結(jié)論,通過(guò)分析本文提出了提高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)意識(shí),增強(qiáng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別和規(guī)避能力、全面了解投資國(guó)政治,經(jīng)濟(jì)和文化環(huán)境和增強(qiáng)自身軟實(shí)力,促進(jìn)文化交融等規(guī)避投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的措施和構(gòu)建系統(tǒng)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)體系,增強(qiáng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)辨識(shí)能力,以期通過(guò)本文的分析希望對(duì)將來(lái)我國(guó)對(duì)外投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的認(rèn)識(shí)能夠有一個(gè)更為全面的認(rèn)識(shí)。
[Abstract]:With the steady progress of "Belt and Road" strategy, the cooperation between China and other countries in the world has been deepened, and the breadth and depth of overseas investment have been greatly improved, especially the ASEAN countries, which are connected with China's mountains and rivers, as the main destination of our country's investment. The cooperation between ASEAN countries and China in economic, political and cultural fields is deepening, so it is increasingly important to understand the investment risks of ASEAN countries in the process of China's foreign investment. This paper analyzes the influence factors of China's direct investment in ASEAN through the study of political risk, economic risk, cultural difference and bilateral relationship between the investing country and the recipient country. A set of investment risk analysis system based on cultural differences and political and economic risks is established. In this system, economic risk has the greatest impact on investment risk, followed by political risk, which has the most direct impact on investment risk. Cultural differences affect investment behavior by influencing the identity of the host country. The conclusion that the military intervention in politics and the average GDP in the economic risk index have the greatest influence on the political risk index is the most important conclusion. Through the analysis of this paper, the author puts forward to improve the risk awareness, strengthen the ability of risk identification and avoidance. To comprehensively understand the political, economic and cultural environment of the investing country, to enhance its own soft power, to promote cultural blending and other measures to avoid investment risks, and to build a systematic investment risk evaluation system to enhance the ability of risk identification, Through the analysis of this paper, we hope to have a more comprehensive understanding of the risk of China's foreign investment in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京信息工程大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F125

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