發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-24 18:13

【摘要】：貴州省是我國西部欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的主要代表,是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)大環(huán)境下較為薄弱的一環(huán),對(duì)貴州省的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和影響因素進(jìn)行深刻探討具有非常實(shí)際的意義。貴州省城鎮(zhèn)和農(nóng)村之間的貧富差距較大,若僅研究城鎮(zhèn)或農(nóng)村的情況,便不能全面了解整個(gè)貴州省的經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況。經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)決定上層建筑,一個(gè)地域的全面高速發(fā)展必然離不開經(jīng)濟(jì)條件的支撐,但完全不計(jì)成本的發(fā)展會(huì)造成大量的資源浪費(fèi),最后即使經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況得到明顯改善,也是建立在犧牲環(huán)境破壞生態(tài)的基礎(chǔ)上的,這樣的發(fā)展方式最終會(huì)使得經(jīng)濟(jì)走向崩潰的邊緣,顯然得不償失。經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展應(yīng)當(dāng)以高效率為目標(biāo),只有具有高效率的發(fā)展,才能產(chǎn)生良好的效益。尤其是在資源相對(duì)匱乏的西部欠發(fā)達(dá)大省,更應(yīng)將追求高效率的發(fā)展作為目標(biāo)。本文以貴州省9個(gè)市州為研究對(duì)象,研究這些市州2011—2014年的城鄉(xiāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展效率,選擇年末常住人口數(shù),固定資產(chǎn)投資,農(nóng)業(yè)播種面積,境內(nèi)公路里程和單位生產(chǎn)總值電耗為投入指標(biāo);并選擇具有綜合意義的地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值,稅收收入,反映城鄉(xiāng)居民生活質(zhì)量的收入指標(biāo)——城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入和農(nóng)村居民人均純收入,共同作為產(chǎn)出指標(biāo),運(yùn)用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法計(jì)算各市州發(fā)展的相對(duì)效率,研究其最優(yōu)生產(chǎn)狀態(tài)和發(fā)展思路。在具體的計(jì)算過程中,結(jié)合因子分析法,運(yùn)用傳統(tǒng)數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法分析各市州城鄉(xiāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的技術(shù)效率、規(guī)模效率和規(guī)模報(bào)酬,并進(jìn)一步分析影響各市州發(fā)展效率的主要因素。另外,通過引入對(duì)抗型交叉評(píng)價(jià)策略,將傳統(tǒng)方法中同時(shí)有效的決策單元進(jìn)一步區(qū)分開,并對(duì)兩種方法的計(jì)算結(jié)果進(jìn)行比較,比較結(jié)果很好地論證了本文選取研究方法的合理性。另外,采用聚類分析的統(tǒng)計(jì)方法將貴州省9個(gè)市州的效率值共分為三類,分別分析不同類型中標(biāo)桿市州的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并研究促使這些市州發(fā)展良好的主要因素。貴州省各市州發(fā)展的總體效率結(jié)果表明:一方面,雖然貴州省整體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展效率在提升,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展步入良性軌道,但目前仍有三分之二的市州技術(shù)效率較低甚至技術(shù)無效;另一方面,導(dǎo)致技術(shù)效率較低或無效的原因主要是純技術(shù)無效,規(guī)模過大和規(guī)模過小。各市州的對(duì)抗型交叉效率評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果表明:(1)貴州省9個(gè)市州的分類情況較為穩(wěn)定;(2)大量投入各種生產(chǎn)要素,并最大限度地提高生產(chǎn)效率,從而期待使其生產(chǎn)結(jié)果最優(yōu),此種發(fā)展模式并不可取;(3)各市州發(fā)展效率存在差異的主要原因是投入要素結(jié)構(gòu)不合理。
[Abstract]:Guizhou Province is the main representative of the underdeveloped areas in the western part of our country, and is a relatively weak link in the economic environment of our country. It is of great practical significance to deeply discuss the present development situation and the influencing factors of Guizhou Province. There is a big gap between the rich and the poor between towns and villages in Guizhou Province. If we only study the situation of towns or villages, we can not fully understand the economic situation of Guizhou Province. The economic base determines the superstructure, and the overall rapid development of a region is bound to be supported by economic conditions, but development that does not take into account the cost will result in a large amount of waste of resources, even if the economic situation is significantly improved. It is also based on the sacrifice of the environment to destroy the ecology. Such development will eventually lead the economy to the brink of collapse, which obviously outweighs the gain. The development of economy should aim at high efficiency. Especially in the less developed western province, which is lack of resources, we should pursue high efficiency development as the goal. This paper takes 9 cities and states of Guizhou Province as the research object, studies the urban and rural economic development efficiency of these cities and states in 2011-2014, chooses the number of permanent resident population, the fixed asset investment, the agricultural sowing area at the end of the year. Road mileage and electricity consumption per unit of gross domestic product shall be taken as input indicators; and regional gross domestic product and tax revenue of comprehensive significance shall be selected, The per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents and the per capita net income of rural residents, which reflect the quality of life of urban and rural residents, are taken as output indicators together, and the relative efficiency of the development of cities and states is calculated by using the data envelopment analysis method. The optimal production state and development ideas are studied. In the concrete calculation process, combining the factor analysis method, the traditional data envelopment analysis method is used to analyze the technical efficiency, scale efficiency and scale reward of the urban and rural economic development of each city state, and the main factors influencing the development efficiency of each city state are further analyzed. In addition, by introducing the confrontational cross-evaluation strategy, the decision units which are effective in the traditional methods are further distinguished, and the calculated results of the two methods are compared. The comparison results demonstrate the rationality of the research method. In addition, the efficiency values of 9 cities and states in Guizhou Province are divided into three categories by cluster analysis, and the main factors that promote the development of these cities are studied. The results show that: on the one hand, although the overall economic development efficiency of Guizhou Province is improving and the economic development is on a benign track, at present, 2/3 of the cities and prefectures still have low or even ineffective technical efficiency; On the other hand, the main causes of low or ineffective technical efficiency are that pure technology is ineffective, scale is too large and scale is too small. The results show that: (1) the classification of 9 cities and states in Guizhou Province is relatively stable; (2) a large number of production factors are invested, and the production efficiency is maximized, so as to make the production results optimal. (3) the main reason for the differences in the development efficiency of different cities and states is the unreasonable structure of input elements.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F127

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本文編號(hào)：2201630