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基于DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)的云南省城鎮(zhèn)化效率研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-03-20 14:08

  本文選題:城鎮(zhèn)化效率 切入點(diǎn):指標(biāo)體系 出處:《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程是各國現(xiàn)代化的重要標(biāo)志。全面建成小康社會是中國政府的宏偉目標(biāo),城鎮(zhèn)化問題必須引起政府的關(guān)注。城鎮(zhèn)化是當(dāng)?shù)亟?jīng)濟(jì)和社會發(fā)展的核心動力之一,城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量一定程度上制約區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。以城鎮(zhèn)人口增加、城鎮(zhèn)數(shù)量增長、城鎮(zhèn)規(guī)模擴(kuò)大、城鎮(zhèn)空間外延為特征的外延式城鎮(zhèn)化主要是由以高投入、高排放、高污染為特征的粗放型經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式導(dǎo)致的,這種外延式城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展模式帶來都市人口擁擠、城市交通堵塞、環(huán)境污染等一系列城市發(fā)展難題,外延式城鎮(zhèn)化忽視城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展質(zhì)量。十八大報(bào)告明確提出要提高城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展質(zhì)量,而提高城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展質(zhì)量的前提和基礎(chǔ)是提高城鎮(zhèn)化效率。因此,研究云南省城鎮(zhèn)化效率在理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)方面都有重大價(jià)值。本文利用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析方法DEA模型和Malmquist指數(shù),以云南省2007年至2014年16個州市的城鎮(zhèn)化投入產(chǎn)出數(shù)據(jù)為分析元素,對云南省城鎮(zhèn)化效率進(jìn)行測算研究。將DEA靜態(tài)效率評價(jià)和Malmquist動態(tài)效率評價(jià)相結(jié)合,得到云南省16個州市城鎮(zhèn)化效率橫向變化趨勢以及縱向變化趨勢,進(jìn)而分析不同州市效率差距的原因。研究結(jié)果顯示:從DEA模型看,云南省16個州市城鎮(zhèn)化技術(shù)效率差距較大,核心原因在于各州市純技術(shù)效率的差異。各州市技術(shù)效率表現(xiàn)出與純技術(shù)效率相似的走勢,規(guī)模效率基本上都維持在0.95以上,規(guī)模效率接近最優(yōu)值。云南省各州市后期城鎮(zhèn)化技術(shù)效率提升的主要途徑是提高純技術(shù)效率,純技術(shù)效率還有較大的提高空間,規(guī)模效率提升的空間相對有限。從2014年投入產(chǎn)出投影分析表看,2014年云南省各州市城鎮(zhèn)化技術(shù)效率非DEA有效的原因是投入冗余和產(chǎn)出不足共同造成的。從Malmquist指數(shù)看,云南省16個州市全要素生產(chǎn)效率指數(shù)差異較大,主要原因在于各州市技術(shù)進(jìn)步指數(shù)差距較大。各州市技術(shù)進(jìn)步指數(shù)表現(xiàn)出與全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)相似的走勢,技術(shù)效率指數(shù)基本上都穩(wěn)定在1.00左右。2007-2014年云南省各州市全要素生產(chǎn)率增長的主要原因在于技術(shù)進(jìn)步指數(shù)。在研究結(jié)論基礎(chǔ)上,提出了提高云南省城鎮(zhèn)化效率的建議。
[Abstract]:The process of urbanization is an important symbol of the modernization of all countries. It is the great goal of the Chinese government to build a well-off society in an all-round way, and the urbanization problem must attract the attention of the government. Urbanization is one of the core driving forces of local economic and social development. The development quality of urbanization restricts the sustainable development of regional economy and society to a certain extent. The epitaxial urbanization, characterized by the increase of urban population, the increase of urban quantity, the expansion of urban scale and the extension of urban space, is mainly characterized by high investment. The extensive mode of economic development characterized by high emissions and high pollution has led to a series of urban development problems such as urban population congestion, urban traffic congestion, environmental pollution and so on. The development quality of urbanization is ignored by the extension urbanization. The 18 report clearly proposes to improve the development quality of urbanization, and the premise and foundation of improving the development quality of urbanization is to improve the efficiency of urbanization. The study of urbanization efficiency in Yunnan Province is of great value in both theory and practice. In this paper, the data envelopment analysis method DEA model and Malmquist index are used to analyze the input-output data of 16 cities in Yunnan province from 2007 to 2014. By combining DEA static efficiency evaluation with Malmquist dynamic efficiency evaluation, the horizontal and vertical trends of urbanization efficiency in 16 cities of Yunnan Province are obtained. The results show that, according to the DEA model, the technical efficiency gap of urbanization in 16 cities of Yunnan Province is quite large. The core reason lies in the difference of pure technical efficiency in each city. The technical efficiency of each city shows a trend similar to that of pure technical efficiency, and the scale efficiency is basically above 0.95. The scale efficiency is close to the optimal value. The main way to improve the technical efficiency of urbanization in the later stage of the urbanization in Yunnan Province is to improve the pure technical efficiency, and there is still much room for improvement in the pure technical efficiency. The space for improving scale efficiency is relatively limited. According to the input-output projection analysis table of 2014, the reason why the technical efficiency of urbanization in various cities of Yunnan Province was not effective in DEA on 2014 was caused by the combination of input redundancy and insufficient output. According to the Malmquist index, There is a great difference in total factor productivity index in 16 cities of Yunnan province, the main reason is that there is a big difference in technological progress index in each city. The technological progress index of each city shows a trend similar to that of total factor productivity index. The technical efficiency index is basically stable at about 1.00. The main reason for the total factor productivity growth in the cities of Yunnan Province from 2007 to 2014 is the technological progress index. On the basis of the research conclusions, some suggestions for improving the efficiency of urbanization in Yunnan Province are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F224;F299.27

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