【摘要】：水庫(kù)調(diào)度是運(yùn)用水庫(kù)的調(diào)蓄能力,在保證壩體安全的前提下,對(duì)水庫(kù)上游的天然洪水及徑流進(jìn)行有計(jì)劃的蓄泄,以達(dá)到興利除害、綜合利用水資源、滿足國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)各部門需要的目的。水庫(kù)調(diào)度的優(yōu)劣不僅影響到大壩及下游人民的安全,更影響到水庫(kù)蓄泄過(guò)程中產(chǎn)生的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益和社會(huì)效益。由于現(xiàn)今優(yōu)化調(diào)度成為水庫(kù)調(diào)度研究的一個(gè)熱門方向,在此領(lǐng)域有了百花齊放的研究成果,但其優(yōu)化模型復(fù)雜,數(shù)據(jù)采集量大,計(jì)算參數(shù)復(fù)雜多變,優(yōu)化調(diào)度方案在調(diào)度實(shí)際中難以得到廣泛應(yīng)用。本文根據(jù)水庫(kù)調(diào)度在調(diào)節(jié)計(jì)算過(guò)程中最常用的等流量調(diào)節(jié)計(jì)算方法,提出了動(dòng)態(tài)適應(yīng)性水庫(kù)調(diào)度方法,結(jié)合知識(shí)可視化綜合集成平臺(tái),構(gòu)建了較為通用的動(dòng)態(tài)適應(yīng)性調(diào)度、評(píng)價(jià)管理系統(tǒng),旨在通過(guò)計(jì)算機(jī)及可視化手段,快速計(jì)算生成調(diào)度方案,對(duì)水庫(kù)調(diào)度決策者提供科學(xué)合理的幫助與指導(dǎo)。論文主要研究?jī)?nèi)容和成果如下:(1)動(dòng)態(tài)適應(yīng)性的調(diào)度方法研究�；诔Ｒ�(guī)等流量調(diào)節(jié)計(jì)算方法,分析其中不足之處,對(duì)其進(jìn)行改進(jìn),提出適應(yīng)性水庫(kù)調(diào)度方法。其適應(yīng)性主要體現(xiàn)在:適應(yīng)不同的調(diào)節(jié)周期,適應(yīng)不同的來(lái)水過(guò)程,適應(yīng)不同的供需過(guò)程,適應(yīng)生態(tài)用水等其它約束條件,并可以對(duì)調(diào)度方案進(jìn)行實(shí)時(shí)動(dòng)態(tài)修正及人工調(diào)整。(2)調(diào)度方案的評(píng)價(jià)優(yōu)選。系統(tǒng)的研究了水庫(kù)調(diào)度方案評(píng)價(jià)的指標(biāo)體系,并采用層次分析法與熵權(quán)法確定評(píng)價(jià)權(quán)重,運(yùn)用集對(duì)分析法、模糊優(yōu)選法、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法三種評(píng)價(jià)方法對(duì)調(diào)度方案進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)優(yōu)選。(3)動(dòng)態(tài)適應(yīng)性調(diào)度、評(píng)價(jià)管理系統(tǒng)研究及實(shí)例應(yīng)用�；谥R(shí)可視化綜合集成平臺(tái),通過(guò)實(shí)例仿真,對(duì)一般水庫(kù)在調(diào)度過(guò)程中各種水量約束下,快速計(jì)算生成調(diào)度方案,并可以進(jìn)行方案人工調(diào)整,結(jié)果以圖、表的形式展示,過(guò)程可視可信,并具有較強(qiáng)的通用性;對(duì)多個(gè)調(diào)度方案進(jìn)行多方法的綜合評(píng)價(jià),并對(duì)多評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果進(jìn)行組合評(píng)價(jià),為水庫(kù)調(diào)度過(guò)程提供了決策、協(xié)商和高效、可操作的綜合系統(tǒng)。
[Abstract]:Reservoir operation is to use the ability of reservoir regulation and storage, under the premise of ensuring the safety of dam body, to store and drain the natural flood and runoff upstream of the reservoir, so as to achieve profit and eliminate damage and make comprehensive use of water resources. The purpose of meeting the needs of various departments of the national economy. The quality of reservoir operation not only affects the safety of dam and downstream people, but also affects the economic and social benefits produced in the process of reservoir storage and discharge. At present, optimal operation has become a hot research direction of reservoir operation, and there are a hundred flowers blooming research results in this field, but its optimization model is complex, the amount of data acquisition is large, and the calculation parameters are complex and changeable. The optimal scheduling scheme is difficult to be widely used in scheduling practice. According to the calculation method of equal flow regulation, which is the most commonly used method in the process of reservoir operation calculation, this paper puts forward the dynamic adaptive reservoir operation method, and constructs a more general dynamic adaptive operation method combined with the knowledge visualization integrated platform. The purpose of the evaluation management system is to quickly calculate and generate the dispatching scheme by means of computer and visualization, and to provide scientific and reasonable help and guidance to the reservoir dispatching decision makers. The main contents and achievements of this paper are as follows: (1) dynamic adaptive scheduling method. Based on the conventional equal flow regulation calculation method, the shortcomings are analyzed, and the adaptive reservoir operation method is put forward. Its adaptability is mainly reflected in: adapt to different adjustment cycles, adapt to different incoming water processes, adapt to different supply and demand processes, adapt to other constraints such as ecological water use, The real-time dynamic correction and manual adjustment of the scheduling scheme can be carried out. (2) the evaluation and optimization of the scheduling scheme. The index system of reservoir operation scheme evaluation is systematically studied, and the evaluation weight is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and entropy weight method, and the set pair analysis method and fuzzy optimization method are used. Three evaluation methods of grey relational analysis are used to evaluate and optimize the scheduling scheme. (3) dynamic adaptive scheduling, evaluation management system research and application. Based on the integrated platform of knowledge visualization and integration, through an example simulation, the dispatching scheme of the general reservoir is quickly calculated and generated under all kinds of water constraints in the dispatching process, and the scheme can be manually adjusted. The results are shown in the form of graphs and tables. The process can be trusted and has strong generality. The multi-method comprehensive evaluation of multiple dispatching schemes and the combined evaluation of multi-evaluation results provide a decision-making, negotiation and efficient and operable integrated system for reservoir operation process.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：TV697.1

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