【摘要】：水庫調(diào)度是運用水庫的調(diào)蓄能力,在保證壩體安全的前提下,對水庫上游的天然洪水及徑流進行有計劃的蓄泄,以達到興利除害、綜合利用水資源、滿足國民經(jīng)濟各部門需要的目的。水庫調(diào)度的優(yōu)劣不僅影響到大壩及下游人民的安全,更影響到水庫蓄泄過程中產(chǎn)生的經(jīng)濟效益和社會效益。由于現(xiàn)今優(yōu)化調(diào)度成為水庫調(diào)度研究的一個熱門方向,在此領(lǐng)域有了百花齊放的研究成果,但其優(yōu)化模型復(fù)雜,數(shù)據(jù)采集量大,計算參數(shù)復(fù)雜多變,優(yōu)化調(diào)度方案在調(diào)度實際中難以得到廣泛應(yīng)用。本文根據(jù)水庫調(diào)度在調(diào)節(jié)計算過程中最常用的等流量調(diào)節(jié)計算方法,提出了動態(tài)適應(yīng)性水庫調(diào)度方法,結(jié)合知識可視化綜合集成平臺,構(gòu)建了較為通用的動態(tài)適應(yīng)性調(diào)度、評價管理系統(tǒng),旨在通過計算機及可視化手段,快速計算生成調(diào)度方案,對水庫調(diào)度決策者提供科學(xué)合理的幫助與指導(dǎo)。論文主要研究內(nèi)容和成果如下:(1)動態(tài)適應(yīng)性的調(diào)度方法研究�；诔Ｒ�(guī)等流量調(diào)節(jié)計算方法,分析其中不足之處,對其進行改進,提出適應(yīng)性水庫調(diào)度方法。其適應(yīng)性主要體現(xiàn)在:適應(yīng)不同的調(diào)節(jié)周期,適應(yīng)不同的來水過程,適應(yīng)不同的供需過程,適應(yīng)生態(tài)用水等其它約束條件,并可以對調(diào)度方案進行實時動態(tài)修正及人工調(diào)整。(2)調(diào)度方案的評價優(yōu)選。系統(tǒng)的研究了水庫調(diào)度方案評價的指標體系,并采用層次分析法與熵權(quán)法確定評價權(quán)重,運用集對分析法、模糊優(yōu)選法、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法三種評價方法對調(diào)度方案進行評價優(yōu)選。(3)動態(tài)適應(yīng)性調(diào)度、評價管理系統(tǒng)研究及實例應(yīng)用�；谥R可視化綜合集成平臺,通過實例仿真,對一般水庫在調(diào)度過程中各種水量約束下,快速計算生成調(diào)度方案,并可以進行方案人工調(diào)整,結(jié)果以圖、表的形式展示,過程可視可信,并具有較強的通用性;對多個調(diào)度方案進行多方法的綜合評價,并對多評價結(jié)果進行組合評價,為水庫調(diào)度過程提供了決策、協(xié)商和高效、可操作的綜合系統(tǒng)。
[Abstract]:Reservoir operation is to use the ability of reservoir regulation and storage, under the premise of ensuring the safety of dam body, to store and drain the natural flood and runoff upstream of the reservoir, so as to achieve profit and eliminate damage and make comprehensive use of water resources. The purpose of meeting the needs of various departments of the national economy. The quality of reservoir operation not only affects the safety of dam and downstream people, but also affects the economic and social benefits produced in the process of reservoir storage and discharge. At present, optimal operation has become a hot research direction of reservoir operation, and there are a hundred flowers blooming research results in this field, but its optimization model is complex, the amount of data acquisition is large, and the calculation parameters are complex and changeable. The optimal scheduling scheme is difficult to be widely used in scheduling practice. According to the calculation method of equal flow regulation, which is the most commonly used method in the process of reservoir operation calculation, this paper puts forward the dynamic adaptive reservoir operation method, and constructs a more general dynamic adaptive operation method combined with the knowledge visualization integrated platform. The purpose of the evaluation management system is to quickly calculate and generate the dispatching scheme by means of computer and visualization, and to provide scientific and reasonable help and guidance to the reservoir dispatching decision makers. The main contents and achievements of this paper are as follows: (1) dynamic adaptive scheduling method. Based on the conventional equal flow regulation calculation method, the shortcomings are analyzed, and the adaptive reservoir operation method is put forward. Its adaptability is mainly reflected in: adapt to different adjustment cycles, adapt to different incoming water processes, adapt to different supply and demand processes, adapt to other constraints such as ecological water use, The real-time dynamic correction and manual adjustment of the scheduling scheme can be carried out. (2) the evaluation and optimization of the scheduling scheme. The index system of reservoir operation scheme evaluation is systematically studied, and the evaluation weight is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and entropy weight method, and the set pair analysis method and fuzzy optimization method are used. Three evaluation methods of grey relational analysis are used to evaluate and optimize the scheduling scheme. (3) dynamic adaptive scheduling, evaluation management system research and application. Based on the integrated platform of knowledge visualization and integration, through an example simulation, the dispatching scheme of the general reservoir is quickly calculated and generated under all kinds of water constraints in the dispatching process, and the scheme can be manually adjusted. The results are shown in the form of graphs and tables. The process can be trusted and has strong generality. The multi-method comprehensive evaluation of multiple dispatching schemes and the combined evaluation of multi-evaluation results provide a decision-making, negotiation and efficient and operable integrated system for reservoir operation process.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：TV697.1

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條

1 李崇浩;紀昌明;繆益平;;基于微粒群算法的梯級水電廠短期優(yōu)化調(diào)度研究[J];水力發(fā)電學(xué)報;2006年02期

2 王黎,馬光文;基于遺傳算法的水電站廠內(nèi)經(jīng)濟運行新算法[J];中國電機工程學(xué)報;1998年01期

3 吳澤寧,丁大發(fā),蔣水心;跨流域水資源系統(tǒng)自優(yōu)化模擬規(guī)劃模型[J];系統(tǒng)工程理論與實踐;1997年02期

4 崔遠來,雷聲隆,白憲臺,劉毓氚;自優(yōu)化模擬技術(shù)在多目標水庫優(yōu)化調(diào)度中的應(yīng)用[J];水電能源科學(xué);1996年04期

5 雷聲隆,覃強榮,郭元裕,寧遠,張靜,李燕;自優(yōu)化模擬及其在南水北調(diào)東線工程中的應(yīng)用[J];水利學(xué)報;1989年05期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 趙銅鐵鋼;考慮水文預(yù)報不確定性的水庫優(yōu)化調(diào)度研究[D];清華大學(xué);2013年

2 蘇為華;多指標綜合評價理論與方法問題研究[D];廈門大學(xué);2000年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前4條

1 徐瑞華;水庫興利調(diào)節(jié)輸入模型及計算方法研究[D];大連理工大學(xué);2007年

2 竹磊磊;綜合利用水庫實時興利優(yōu)化調(diào)度研究[D];鄭州大學(xué);2006年

3 張中昱;基于BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)和模糊綜合評價的環(huán)境分析評價系統(tǒng)[D];天津大學(xué);2006年

4 王少波;黑泉水庫調(diào)度系統(tǒng)的開發(fā)研究[D];西安理工大學(xué);2004年

，

本文編號：2486190