本文選題：“三條紅線” + 水資源配置模式�。� 參考：《太原理工大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文以山西陽(yáng)泉平定縣水資源為研究對(duì)象，以最嚴(yán)格水資源管理制度“三條紅線”理論為指導(dǎo)，充分將理論與研究區(qū)實(shí)際情況相結(jié)合，，探索出了基于“三條紅線”理論且具有實(shí)際應(yīng)用價(jià)值的新的水資源優(yōu)化配置模式。 平定縣雖然水資源總量豐富，但局部分布不均、重復(fù)利用率偏低、污水排放量大、地表水環(huán)境污染嚴(yán)重等問(wèn)題比較突出，所以探索其水資源優(yōu)化配置模式具有十分重要的意義。本文從最嚴(yán)格水資源管理制度的角度出發(fā)，研究探索基于“三條紅線”的水資源供需分析、水體納污能力分析及水資源配置模式，并以此新模式下的優(yōu)化配置結(jié)果來(lái)指導(dǎo)該地區(qū)未來(lái)水資源管理的方向，最終達(dá)到提高水資源利用效率、緩解局部地區(qū)缺水及改善地表水環(huán)境質(zhì)量的目標(biāo)。 本論文主要研究?jī)?nèi)容和成果有： （1）以納污控制紅線為約束，對(duì)該地區(qū)的水功能區(qū)納污能力進(jìn)行了分析預(yù)測(cè)；以用水效率控制為約束，選取定額法預(yù)測(cè)了2020、2030規(guī)劃水平年需水量，并對(duì)平定縣現(xiàn)狀年及未來(lái)規(guī)劃水平年需水情況進(jìn)行了分析；以用水總量控制為約束，分析了2020、2030規(guī)劃水平年各供水水源可供水量；并對(duì)未來(lái)規(guī)劃水平年水資源供需平衡分析。 （2）基于“三條紅線”的水資源優(yōu)化配置原則，建立了以社會(huì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)和水環(huán)境為效益目標(biāo)的多目標(biāo)水資源優(yōu)化配置模型，并運(yùn)用人工魚(yú)群算法計(jì)算出了平定縣2020、2030規(guī)劃水平年各個(gè)方案下的水資源配置結(jié)果，并對(duì)結(jié)果進(jìn)行了分析。 （3）在各個(gè)方案水資源配置結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上，制定了以用水總量控制、水資源利用效率控制及地表水功能區(qū)限制納污為參考依據(jù)的決策評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)，采用SE-DEA模型對(duì)不同配置方案進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)價(jià)，通過(guò)優(yōu)先排序，探求最佳水資源配置方案，指明了該地區(qū)水資源管理的方向。
[Abstract]:This paper takes the water resources of Pingding County, Yangquan County, Shanxi Province as the research object, takes the "three Red Line" theory of the strictest water resources management system as the guidance, and fully combines the theory with the actual situation in the research area. A new model of optimal allocation of water resources based on the theory of "three red lines" and with practical application value is explored. Although the total amount of water resources in Pingding County is abundant, the local distribution is uneven, the reuse rate is on the low side, the discharge of sewage is large, and the surface water environment pollution is serious, so it is of great significance to explore the optimal allocation mode of water resources in Pingding County. From the point of view of the strictest water resources management system, this paper studies and explores the models of water resources supply and demand analysis, water pollution capacity analysis and water resources allocation based on "three red lines". The results of optimal allocation under the new model can guide the direction of future water resources management in this area, and finally achieve the goal of improving the efficiency of water resources utilization, alleviating water shortage in local areas and improving the quality of surface water environment. The main contents and achievements of this paper are as follows: (1) with the red line of water absorption control as the constraint, the capacity of water function area is analyzed and forecasted, and the control of water use efficiency is taken as the constraint. The quota method is selected to predict the annual water demand of the planning level of 2020202030, and the current and future planning levels of Pingding County are analyzed, and with the control of the total amount of water used as the constraint, the available water supply of each water source in the year of 2020202030 planning level is analyzed. Based on the principle of "three red lines", this paper establishes a multi-objective water resources optimal allocation model with social, economic and water environment as the benefit goal, and analyzes the balance of water resources supply and demand in the future planning level. By using artificial fish swarm algorithm, the results of water resources allocation under the planning level year of 202020 / 2030 in Pingding County are calculated, and the results are analyzed. 3) on the basis of the results of water resources allocation of each scheme, The decision evaluation indexes based on total water use control, water use efficiency control and surface water function area limitation are established. The SE-DEA model is used to comprehensively evaluate different allocation schemes. The best water resources allocation scheme is explored, and the direction of water resources management in this area is pointed out.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：太原理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：TV213.4

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