流域內(nèi)各區(qū)域用水量與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展脫鉤分析及用水量驅(qū)動(dòng)力分解——以淮河流域?yàn)槔?/H1>
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-25 09:15
本文關(guān)鍵詞： 用水量 脫鉤彈性分析方法 驅(qū)動(dòng)力分解 淮河流域 出處：《資源開(kāi)發(fā)與市場(chǎng)》2017年10期
論文類(lèi)型：期刊論文
【摘要】：利用脫鉤彈性分析方法評(píng)價(jià)淮河流域內(nèi)河南、安徽、江蘇和山東各區(qū)域用水量和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的脫鉤狀態(tài),分析各省的脫鉤發(fā)展趨勢(shì),對(duì)比總體脫鉤狀況。同時(shí),利用完全分解模型把用水量驅(qū)動(dòng)力分解為人口效應(yīng)、經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模效應(yīng)和技術(shù)效應(yīng),分析三大效應(yīng)對(duì)用水量的具體影響。結(jié)果表明:淮河流域內(nèi)各區(qū)域具有不穩(wěn)定且狀況較差的脫鉤—弱脫鉤—強(qiáng)脫鉤的變化過(guò)程,脫鉤狀態(tài)隨時(shí)間發(fā)展逐漸改善;各區(qū)域總體脫鉤狀況存在差異性:山東江蘇河南安徽;同時(shí),三大效應(yīng)的貢獻(xiàn)率大小為:經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模效應(yīng)技術(shù)效應(yīng)人口效應(yīng),經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展因素主要增加用水量,技術(shù)因素抑制用水量。因此,應(yīng)把握好經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模效應(yīng)和技術(shù)效應(yīng),努力改善經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展結(jié)構(gòu),提高技術(shù)效應(yīng)強(qiáng)度,以達(dá)到強(qiáng)脫鉤的理性狀態(tài)。
[Abstract]:The decoupling state of water consumption and economic development in Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong provinces in Huaihe River Basin was evaluated by using decoupling elastic analysis method, the development trend of decoupling was analyzed, and the overall decoupling status was compared. Using the complete decomposition model, the driving force of water consumption is decomposed into population effect, economic scale effect and technical effect. The three effects on water consumption are analyzed. The results show that the process of decoupling, weak decoupling and strong decoupling in Huaihe River basin is unstable and poor, and the decoupling state improves gradually with the development of time. There are differences in the overall decoupling situation among different regions: Shandong, Jiangsu, Henan, Anhui, and the contribution rates of the three effects are as follows: economic scale effects, technical effects, population effects, and economic development factors mainly increase water consumption. Therefore, we should grasp the effect of economic scale and technology, improve the structure of economic development and enhance the intensity of technical effect so as to achieve a rational state of strong decoupling.
【作者單位】： 南京林業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然基金青年項(xiàng)目“基于奈特不確定性理論的流域水資源脆弱性分析與適應(yīng)性治理研究”(編號(hào):71403122) 江蘇省自然基金青年項(xiàng)目“流域水資源關(guān)鍵脆弱性分析與適應(yīng)性治理研究(編號(hào):BK20140980) 教育部人文社科基金青年項(xiàng)目“基于影響因素風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)測(cè)的流域水資源脆弱性分析與適應(yīng)性治理研究(編號(hào):14YJC630018)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127;TV213.4
，
本文編號(hào)：1533826
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/kejilunwen/shuiwenshuili/1533826.html
本文關(guān)鍵詞： 用水量 脫鉤彈性分析方法 驅(qū)動(dòng)力分解 淮河流域 出處：《資源開(kāi)發(fā)與市場(chǎng)》2017年10期 論文類(lèi)型：期刊論文
【摘要】：利用脫鉤彈性分析方法評(píng)價(jià)淮河流域內(nèi)河南、安徽、江蘇和山東各區(qū)域用水量和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的脫鉤狀態(tài),分析各省的脫鉤發(fā)展趨勢(shì),對(duì)比總體脫鉤狀況。同時(shí),利用完全分解模型把用水量驅(qū)動(dòng)力分解為人口效應(yīng)、經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模效應(yīng)和技術(shù)效應(yīng),分析三大效應(yīng)對(duì)用水量的具體影響。結(jié)果表明:淮河流域內(nèi)各區(qū)域具有不穩(wěn)定且狀況較差的脫鉤—弱脫鉤—強(qiáng)脫鉤的變化過(guò)程,脫鉤狀態(tài)隨時(shí)間發(fā)展逐漸改善;各區(qū)域總體脫鉤狀況存在差異性:山東江蘇河南安徽;同時(shí),三大效應(yīng)的貢獻(xiàn)率大小為:經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模效應(yīng)技術(shù)效應(yīng)人口效應(yīng),經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展因素主要增加用水量,技術(shù)因素抑制用水量。因此,應(yīng)把握好經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模效應(yīng)和技術(shù)效應(yīng),努力改善經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展結(jié)構(gòu),提高技術(shù)效應(yīng)強(qiáng)度,以達(dá)到強(qiáng)脫鉤的理性狀態(tài)。
[Abstract]:The decoupling state of water consumption and economic development in Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and Shandong provinces in Huaihe River Basin was evaluated by using decoupling elastic analysis method, the development trend of decoupling was analyzed, and the overall decoupling status was compared. Using the complete decomposition model, the driving force of water consumption is decomposed into population effect, economic scale effect and technical effect. The three effects on water consumption are analyzed. The results show that the process of decoupling, weak decoupling and strong decoupling in Huaihe River basin is unstable and poor, and the decoupling state improves gradually with the development of time. There are differences in the overall decoupling situation among different regions: Shandong, Jiangsu, Henan, Anhui, and the contribution rates of the three effects are as follows: economic scale effects, technical effects, population effects, and economic development factors mainly increase water consumption. Therefore, we should grasp the effect of economic scale and technology, improve the structure of economic development and enhance the intensity of technical effect so as to achieve a rational state of strong decoupling.
【作者單位】： 南京林業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然基金青年項(xiàng)目“基于奈特不確定性理論的流域水資源脆弱性分析與適應(yīng)性治理研究”(編號(hào):71403122) 江蘇省自然基金青年項(xiàng)目“流域水資源關(guān)鍵脆弱性分析與適應(yīng)性治理研究(編號(hào):BK20140980) 教育部人文社科基金青年項(xiàng)目“基于影響因素風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)測(cè)的流域水資源脆弱性分析與適應(yīng)性治理研究(編號(hào):14YJC630018)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127;TV213.4
，
本文編號(hào)：1533826
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/kejilunwen/shuiwenshuili/1533826.html
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