本文關(guān)鍵詞：用于極地海域運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)的基于模擬的概率設(shè)計(jì)方法（英文），由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

【摘要】：When designing an arctic cargo ship, it is necessary to consider multiple stochastic factors. This paper evaluates the merits of a simulation-based probabilistic design method specifically developed to deal with this challenge. The outcome of the paper indicates that the incorporation of simulations and probabilistic design parameters into the design process enables more informed design decisions. For instance, it enables the assessment of the stochastic transport capacity of an arctic ship, as well as of its long-term ice exposure that can be used to determine an appropriate level of ice-strengthening. The outcome of the paper also indicates that significant gains in transport system cost-efficiency can be obtained by extending the boundaries of the design task beyond the individual vessel. In the case of industrial shipping, this allows for instance the consideration of port-based cargo storage facilities allowing for temporary shortages in transport capacity and thus a reduction in the required fleet size/ship capacity.
【作者單位】： Department
【關(guān)鍵詞】： cargo ships cargo vessels arctic shipping ice-going ships risk-based design goal-based design ice LNG
【基金】：Supported by the MAROFF Competence Building Project Funded by the Research Council of Norway on “Holistic Risk-Based Design For Sustainable Arctic Sea Transport”
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：U695
【正文快照】： 1 Introduction1Arctic shipping means shipping in or through arcticwaters.Its motivation might be to transport cargo betweentwo or more arctic locations(intra-arctic shipping),totransport natural resources(e.g.oil and natural gas)from theArctic to non-arc

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