【摘要】：為了緩解都市圈城際交通走廊不斷增加的交通壓力,我國(guó)近年來(lái)實(shí)施了很多投入巨大的高鐵建設(shè)項(xiàng)目,為了更加有效和準(zhǔn)確的評(píng)估這些項(xiàng)目,就有必要對(duì)城際出行行為進(jìn)行分析。本文基于擴(kuò)展的計(jì)劃行為理論框架,通過(guò)構(gòu)造多指標(biāo)多因果模型,同時(shí)從社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)特征和心理因素兩個(gè)角度分析都市圈城際出行者對(duì)普通列車、高鐵和長(zhǎng)途汽車這三種方式的選擇行為。通過(guò)實(shí)證研究發(fā)現(xiàn),出行者的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)特征對(duì)模型中的一些潛變量有不同程度的顯著影響,并且新增加的潛變量"描述性規(guī)范"和"行為習(xí)慣"對(duì)方式選擇行為及意向都有顯著的直接或間接影響。根據(jù)擴(kuò)展計(jì)劃行為理論各要素對(duì)都市圈城際方式選擇行為和意向的影響及相互關(guān)系,結(jié)合出行者社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)特征的差異,可以有針對(duì)性的制定都市圈城際運(yùn)輸供給信息和政策,為都市圈交通系統(tǒng)的優(yōu)化提供基礎(chǔ)的理論支持。最后給出了心理模型在城際出行方式選擇行為領(lǐng)域進(jìn)一步研究的建議。
[Abstract]:In order to alleviate the increasing traffic pressure in the intercity traffic corridor of the metropolitan area, China has implemented a lot of high speed railway construction projects in recent years. In order to evaluate these projects effectively and accurately, it is necessary to analyze the intercity travel behavior. Based on the extended planned behavior theory, this paper constructs a multi index multi cause. At the same time, from two angles of social and economic statistical characteristics and psychological factors, this paper analyzes the three ways of urban Intercity Travelers' choice behavior to ordinary trains, high speed trains and long-distance buses. The added latent variable "descriptive norm" and "behavior habit" have significant direct or indirect effects on the behavior and intention of the mode selection. According to the influence and relationship of the elements of the extended planned behavior theory on the behavior and intention of the intercity mode of urban circle, the difference of the socioeconomic statistical characteristics of the traveler can be targeted. The information and policy of intercity transportation supply in the metropolitan area are formulated, and the theoretical support for the optimization of urban traffic system is provided. Finally, some suggestions on the further study of the psychological model in the field of intercity travel mode selection are given.
【作者單位】： 上海交通大學(xué)安泰經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;江蘇大學(xué)汽車與交通工程學(xué)院;江蘇大學(xué)財(cái)經(jīng)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(71373105) 教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究基金資助項(xiàng)目(11YJC630084) 江蘇省社會(huì)科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(11SHD011)
【分類號(hào)】：U491

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