本文選題：BR + 自行車換乘軌道交通��； 參考：《吉林大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著我國城市化進程的加快，出行距離和出行時耗增加的問題逐漸凸顯。為了滿足居民在出行中的快速高效需求，各大城市大力發(fā)展高速、大容量的軌道交通。軌道線路一般沿城市交通主干道修建，其可達性具有一定的局限性，在其直接影響范圍之外的居民需通過其他交通工具到達軌道站點。隨著可持續(xù)發(fā)展理念不斷深入人心，學者們開始探索一種新的“綠色交通”模式——自行車換乘軌道交通模式。將自行車作為軌道交通的有效補充不僅能達到縮減換乘時耗的目的，還可提高軌道交通的可達性，擴大軌道交通影響范圍。 首先，本文在借鑒國內外BR模式研究現(xiàn)狀的基礎上，分別對自行車和軌道交通的優(yōu)缺點、交通特性和時空特征進行分析，從提高出行效率、節(jié)約能源和緩解交通擁堵等方面來論述自行車與軌道交通組合出行的必要性。著重強調自行車換乘軌道交通模式的廣義出行成本（時間成本、費用成本、舒適性成本），并標定這三個成本的感知系數(shù)，通過調查數(shù)據(jù)得出其權重比。通過對比使用自行車換乘與使用公共汽車換乘的廣義出行成本，，從而確定自行車換乘軌道交通的客流吸引范圍。 其次，從可達性的視角定性和定量分析自行車換乘軌道交通行為機理，其中可達性影響因素主要包括站點可達性、自行車方式可達性及換乘設施資源可達程度。建立基于因子分析的換乘機理模型，進一步定量解析居民的換乘行為。將自行車與軌道交通的換乘過程分解為自行車出行部分和存車換乘部分，提取因子分析過程中的重要影響因素作為模型的特征變量，建立自行車換乘軌道交通轉移概率模型。 最后，以長春市輕軌3號線為實例，對其中5個站點進行數(shù)據(jù)調查，應用自行車換乘軌道交通機理模型和換乘轉移概率模型分析個體屬性、出行屬性、站點可達屬性、自行車感知收益屬性、換乘設施資源可達屬性之間的關聯(lián)性，并預測這5個站點的自行車換乘轉移概率和換乘量，對臨河街、世紀廣場、東北師大和長影世紀城這4個站點建議設置自行車停車場，并依據(jù)各個站點實際情況對停車場規(guī)模和停車場與站點的銜接方式提出建議。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the urbanization process in China, the problem of travel distance and travel time consumption increases gradually. In order to meet the rapid and efficient demand of the residents in the trip, the large cities are vigorously developing high speed and large capacity rail transit. The track lines are generally built along the main road of urban traffic, and the accessibility has certain limitations and is directly related to its accessibility. With the concept of sustainable development being deeply rooted in the hearts of the people, scholars have begun to explore a new "green traffic" model, bicycle transfer mode. The effective supplement of bicycle as a rail transit can not only reduce the consumption of transfer. The purpose is to increase the accessibility of rail transit and expand the scope of rail traffic.
First, on the basis of the research status of BR model at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages, traffic characteristics and space-time characteristics of bicycles and rail traffic respectively. From the aspects of improving travel efficiency, saving energy and alleviating traffic congestion, this paper discusses the necessity of combining bicycles with track traffic and other aspects. The emphasis is placed on bicycle transfer. The generalized travel cost (time cost, cost cost and comfort cost) of the rail transit model, and calibrate the perception coefficient of the three costs, and obtain the weight ratio by the survey data. By comparing the generalized trip costs of the bicycle transfer and the use of bus transfer, the passenger flow attraction of the bicycle transfer rail transit is determined. Circumference.
Secondly, from the perspective of accessibility, the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the behavior mechanism of the bicycle transfer rail transit is qualitative and quantitative, among which the accessibility factors mainly include accessibility, bicycle accessibility and transfer facility resource accessibility. The transfer mechanism model based on factor analysis is established to further quantify the transfer behavior of residents. The transfer process of driving and rail transit is decomposed into the bicycle travel part and the transfer part of the car, and the important influence factors in the extraction factor analysis process are used as the characteristic variables of the model, and the transfer probability model of the bicycle transfer rail transit is established.
Finally, taking the 3 line of Changchun light rail as an example, 5 sites are investigated. The mechanism model of bicycle transfer and transfer probability model are used to analyze the individual attributes, travel properties, site accessibility attributes, bicycle perception income attributes, transfer and set of resources accessibility attributes, and predict the 5 stations. By changing the transfer probability and transfer amount of the bicycle, the bicycle parking lot is suggested to 4 sites in Linhe street, Century Square, northeastern Normal University and Changying Century City, and the parking lot size and the connection mode of parking lot and site are suggested according to the actual situation of each site.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：U12

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