印度碳排放量峰值的實(shí)證研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2021-05-09 17:33
印度是世界上第三大CO2排放國(guó)。中國(guó)和美國(guó)作為世界上第一和第二大CO2排放國(guó),他們的CO2排放量已經(jīng)達(dá)到了峰值,然而近些年來(lái)印度CO2的排放量仍在上升。為探究印度將在何時(shí)何地實(shí)現(xiàn)自身CO2排放量的峰值,本文根據(jù)環(huán)境庫(kù)茲涅茲曲線（EKC）假說(shuō),分析了印度的GDP和CO2排放量之間是否存在倒U型曲線關(guān)系。具體的說(shuō),本文基于1971-2014年的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù),采用了ARDL模型分析了印度CO2排放量與不同的經(jīng)濟(jì)變量之間的關(guān)系,這些變量包括化石能源消費(fèi)量、GDP、貿(mào)易開(kāi)放度、農(nóng)耕土地規(guī)模和農(nóng)村人口密集度。結(jié)果表明,印度CO2排放量與GDP間確實(shí)存在倒U型的EKC曲線關(guān)系,并且將在GDP增加至11.234萬(wàn)億美元時(shí)實(shí)現(xiàn)拐點(diǎn)。2017年印度的GDP是2.487萬(wàn)億美元,假設(shè)印度GDP按照OECD和世界銀行7.4%的預(yù)測(cè)值增長(zhǎng),則印度將在2039年達(dá)到CO2排放量的峰值。印度在巴黎協(xié)定中曾承諾,到2030...
【文章來(lái)源】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)北京市
【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：74 頁(yè)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Abstract
中文摘要
List of Acronyms
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 The statement of research question and objectives
1.3 The innovative elements of the research
1.4 Structure of the thesis
Chapter 2 Literature review
2.1 Origin of EKC
2.2 Theoretical foundation of EKC
2.3 Empirical evidence of EKC
2.3.1 Income elasticity of environmental quality and consumer preferences
2.3.2 Equality Considerations
2.3.3 Government and regulations
2.3.4 International Trade
2.3.5 Structural changes and technological progress
2.3.6 Market mechanism
2.4 Alternative methods to explore the driving forces of the CO2
Chapter 3 India’s economic development and CO2 emissions
3.1 India’s social development and economic growth
3.1.1 A summary of five-year plans and significant policy
3.1.2 Change of Economic structure in India
3.2 Energy consumptions and its structure
3.3 CO_2 emissions
Chapter 4 Methodology
4.1 The theoretical framework of EKC model
4.1.1 Selection of control variables
4.2 Estimation Approach: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
4.2.1 Stationarity test
4.2.2 Cointegration Test
Chapter 5 Empirical analysis and Results
5.1 Data source
5.2 Results and discussions
5.2.1 Unit root tests
5.2.2 Results of ARDL to cointegration testing
5.2.3 Long run model
5.3 Residual Diagnostic tests
5.4 Stability Diagnostic tests
Chapter 6 Conclusions and Policy Implications
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Policy Suggestion
6.3 Scope and Limitation
Appendix
References
本文編號(hào)：3177727
【文章來(lái)源】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)北京市
【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：74 頁(yè)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Abstract
中文摘要
List of Acronyms
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 The statement of research question and objectives
1.3 The innovative elements of the research
1.4 Structure of the thesis
Chapter 2 Literature review
2.1 Origin of EKC
2.2 Theoretical foundation of EKC
2.3 Empirical evidence of EKC
2.3.1 Income elasticity of environmental quality and consumer preferences
2.3.2 Equality Considerations
2.3.3 Government and regulations
2.3.4 International Trade
2.3.5 Structural changes and technological progress
2.3.6 Market mechanism
2.4 Alternative methods to explore the driving forces of the CO2
Chapter 3 India’s economic development and CO2 emissions
3.1 India’s social development and economic growth
3.1.1 A summary of five-year plans and significant policy
3.1.2 Change of Economic structure in India
3.2 Energy consumptions and its structure
3.3 CO_2 emissions
Chapter 4 Methodology
4.1 The theoretical framework of EKC model
4.1.1 Selection of control variables
4.2 Estimation Approach: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
4.2.1 Stationarity test
4.2.2 Cointegration Test
Chapter 5 Empirical analysis and Results
5.1 Data source
5.2 Results and discussions
5.2.1 Unit root tests
5.2.2 Results of ARDL to cointegration testing
5.2.3 Long run model
5.3 Residual Diagnostic tests
5.4 Stability Diagnostic tests
Chapter 6 Conclusions and Policy Implications
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Policy Suggestion
6.3 Scope and Limitation
Appendix
References
本文編號(hào)：3177727
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