本文選題：環(huán)境污染治理投資額　切入點：現(xiàn)狀分析　出處：《華中科技大學》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：環(huán)境與人類生活息息相關,為了保護生態(tài)環(huán)境,為了人類自身以及維護子孫后代的健康發(fā)展,必須積極防護和治理污染問題。環(huán)境污染治理投資作為治理環(huán)境污染最直接的手段,在政府預算中占據(jù)著相當重要的地位。本論文在深入剖析我國環(huán)境污染治理投資額現(xiàn)狀基礎之上,根據(jù)歷年的治理投資額數(shù)據(jù),利用統(tǒng)計預測模型,對投資額進行了預測。本文首先用描述性統(tǒng)計方法對治理投資額進行定性分析,根據(jù)分析得出需要進一步增加環(huán)境污染治理投資額總額、需要調整環(huán)境污染治理投資額結構轉移投資重心的建議,而投資分配細化方面在滿足城市環(huán)境基礎設施建設和建設項目“三同時”的層面上要將投資重心轉移到工業(yè)污染源治理方面。其次,本文介紹了統(tǒng)計預測以及時間序列分析相關的理念和模型,通過趨勢外推法和灰色預測分別對我國2000年至2011年的治理投資額進行了建模分析,通過對模型的檢驗以及預測值與真實值的對比,認為兩種模型均對歷史數(shù)據(jù)得到了很好的擬合。“凡事預則立,不預則廢”,預測與決策是相輔相成、不可分割的,預測作為決策的前提條件,科學地進行預測是進行合理決策的重要依據(jù)。根據(jù)論文分析得出的不管現(xiàn)狀分析的結論,還是統(tǒng)計建模得出的預測,均旨在為政府相關部門的科學決策提供參考。
[Abstract]:The environment is closely related to human life, in order to protect the ecological environment, for the sake of mankind itself and for the healthy development of future generations, It is necessary to actively protect and control pollution. Investment in environmental pollution control is the most direct means of controlling environmental pollution. On the basis of deeply analyzing the present situation of the investment in environmental pollution control in China, according to the data of the investment in environmental pollution control in the past years, this paper uses the statistical prediction model. This paper first uses descriptive statistical method to qualitatively analyze the amount of investment in environmental pollution control, according to which the total amount of investment in environmental pollution control should be further increased. It is necessary to adjust the structure of the amount of investment in environmental pollution control to shift the focus of investment. On the level of satisfying the "three simultaneous" level of urban environmental infrastructure construction and construction projects, the focus of investment allocation should be shifted to the treatment of industrial pollution sources. Secondly, This paper introduces the concepts and models related to statistical prediction and time series analysis. Through the trend extrapolation method and grey forecast, the management investment from 2000 to 2011 in China is modeled and analyzed. Through the test of the model and the comparison between the predicted value and the real value, it is concluded that the two models are well fitted to the historical data. As a precondition of decision-making, scientific prediction is an important basis for rational decision-making. The aim is to provide reference for the scientific decision of the relevant government departments.
【學位授予單位】：華中科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：X321;X196

【相似文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 董文福;傅德黔;努麗亞;;我國環(huán)境污染治理投資的發(fā)展及存在問題[J];中國環(huán)境監(jiān)測;2008年04期

2 張霞;;湖南省環(huán)境污染治理投資結構研究[J];資源開發(fā)與市場;2011年03期

3 翟春寶;;關于貴州省環(huán)境污染治理投資的分析與思考[J];環(huán)保科技;2011年04期

4 蘭明慧;廖福霖;羅棟q，

本文編號：1572289