本文選題：博弈論 + 調(diào)度演習(xí)系統(tǒng)��； 參考：《上海交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：電力系統(tǒng)不允許在真實(shí)的運(yùn)行狀態(tài)下對員工進(jìn)行技能培訓(xùn),特別是針對系統(tǒng)中一些突發(fā)事故和重要事故的處理,以前是靠運(yùn)行人員在長時(shí)間工作中的經(jīng)驗(yàn)積累。但是,隨著電網(wǎng)運(yùn)行安全可靠性的提高、事故發(fā)生率的降低,剛進(jìn)入電力系統(tǒng)的運(yùn)行人員遇到事故的概率很低。當(dāng)他們面對突發(fā)事故和重大事故時(shí),往往不能迅速采取正確的應(yīng)對措施或者應(yīng)對不足。因此,開發(fā)針對性很強(qiáng)的真實(shí)事故處理演習(xí)系統(tǒng),對提高運(yùn)行人員的事故處理能力和技術(shù)水平有著重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。由于配網(wǎng)事故發(fā)展信息與調(diào)度員處理方式之間存在動(dòng)態(tài)交互的特點(diǎn),調(diào)度員與電網(wǎng)事故之間可看做是一種博弈關(guān)系。為此,論文運(yùn)用博弈論中的貝葉斯納什均衡理論進(jìn)行動(dòng)態(tài)事故誘導(dǎo)處理,實(shí)現(xiàn)對培訓(xùn)對象調(diào)度策略的誘導(dǎo),在誘導(dǎo)過程中不斷對事故發(fā)展動(dòng)態(tài)進(jìn)行再現(xiàn)模擬,通過反復(fù)采集配電網(wǎng)信息讓受訓(xùn)人員逐步確定配網(wǎng)故障類型,逐步誘導(dǎo)事故演習(xí)員掌握事故處理的最佳方案。論文進(jìn)而設(shè)計(jì)了基于典型真實(shí)事故再現(xiàn)的配電網(wǎng)事故演習(xí)系統(tǒng),該系統(tǒng)的功能包括:1)事故案例與培訓(xùn)人員信息的動(dòng)態(tài)讀取解析;2)事故案例的查詢與選擇;3)事故案例的模擬,并對調(diào)度員進(jìn)行動(dòng)態(tài)的誘導(dǎo);4)事故案例模擬結(jié)果總結(jié)輸出綜合評定。實(shí)際應(yīng)用表明,將博弈論引入配網(wǎng)真實(shí)事故再現(xiàn)系統(tǒng)、并對調(diào)度員處理事故的過程進(jìn)行動(dòng)態(tài)誘導(dǎo),可幫助培訓(xùn)對象在輕松的環(huán)境下獲取豐富的經(jīng)驗(yàn),并更快地掌握故障處理的原則、方法和流程,幫助學(xué)員積累經(jīng)驗(yàn),明確本調(diào)度管轄范圍內(nèi)電網(wǎng)的薄弱環(huán)節(jié)和負(fù)荷熱點(diǎn),從而有效地提高事故演習(xí)員的事故處理水平。
[Abstract]:Power system is not allowed to train employees' skills in real operation state, especially for dealing with some unexpected and important accidents in the system. It used to rely on the experience accumulated by the operators during long working hours. However, with the improvement of the safety and reliability of the power system and the decrease of the accident rate, the probability of the operators who have just entered the power system to encounter the accident is very low. When they face emergency and serious accidents, they often can not take the correct response or inadequate response. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to develop a real accident handling exercise system with strong pertinence to improve the handling ability and technical level of operators. Due to the dynamic interaction between dispatcher and dispatcher, the relationship between dispatcher and dispatcher can be regarded as a game relation. Therefore, the paper uses Bayesian Nash equilibrium theory in game theory to deal with the dynamic accident induction, realizes the training object scheduling strategy induction, and reproduces the accident development dynamics in the process of induction. By collecting the distribution network information repeatedly, the trainees can determine the fault type of distribution network step by step, and gradually induce the accident drill personnel to master the best scheme to deal with the accident. Furthermore, the paper designs a distribution network accident drill system based on typical real accident reappearance. The functions of the system include: 1) accident case and dynamic reading and analysis of training personnel information. (2) query and selection of accident case and simulation of accident case. And the dispatcher is dynamically induced. 4) the result of accident simulation is summarized and the output is evaluated synthetically. The practical application shows that the introduction of game theory into the distribution network real accident reappearance system and the dynamic induction of dispatcher handling the accident can help the training object gain rich experience in the easy environment. Furthermore, the principles, methods and flow of fault handling can be grasped more quickly to help students accumulate experience, to clarify the weak links and load hotspots in the power grid within the scope of the dispatching jurisdiction, and thus to effectively improve the accident handling level of the accident drill personnel.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：TM73

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本文編號：1947948