發(fā)布時間：2019-03-02 21:19

【摘要】：2014年,國家倡導(dǎo)新型城鎮(zhèn)化,隨之城市趨向郊區(qū)伸展,促使原來的郊區(qū)演化成大城市的組團(tuán)或成為構(gòu)成城市帶、城市群中的眾多小城之一。隨著小城鎮(zhèn)的快速建設(shè),鎮(zhèn)(鄉(xiāng))與中心城之間的聯(lián)系越來越密切,僅依靠現(xiàn)有的城鄉(xiāng)客運公交系統(tǒng)已無法適應(yīng)鎮(zhèn)區(qū)之間乘客的公交出行需求,小城鎮(zhèn)居民出行難。在這種情況下,作為解決小城鎮(zhèn)居民出行問題的一種主要手段,建設(shè)功能完善的小城鎮(zhèn)縣域公交系統(tǒng)迫在眉睫。其中小城鎮(zhèn)公交客流需求預(yù)測、公交建設(shè)規(guī)模的確定、公交線路及站點的布設(shè)、公交車輛配備等是完善小城鎮(zhèn)公交系統(tǒng)的關(guān)鍵技術(shù)。論文在分析小城鎮(zhèn)居民出行特點及數(shù)據(jù)來源易獲取性的基礎(chǔ)上建立并標(biāo)定了小城鎮(zhèn)公交客流需求預(yù)測的二元回歸模型;根據(jù)小城鎮(zhèn)公交營收與成本及本地區(qū)的公共服務(wù)業(yè)平均利潤率水平建立了小城鎮(zhèn)公交投資金額與長度規(guī)模的相關(guān)關(guān)系模型及基于客位利用率的運能規(guī)模模型;根據(jù)公交線路長度、建設(shè)規(guī)模、投資金額及單位里程的公交線路重要度建立了小城鎮(zhèn)公交網(wǎng)絡(luò)生成模型;根據(jù)公交車輛容量限制、發(fā)車間隔限制、公交乘客出行的總時間及公交企業(yè)的費用支出建立了高峰時段小城鎮(zhèn)公交線路車輛配備模型。論文以山東省商河縣為例,驗證了提出的新型城鎮(zhèn)化背景下小城鎮(zhèn)公交規(guī)劃理論與方法的可行性。
[Abstract]:In 2014, the state advocated a new type of urbanization, followed by the extension of the city to the suburbs, prompting the original suburbs to evolve into clusters of large cities or become one of the many small cities in the urban agglomeration. With the rapid construction of small towns, the relationship between the town (township) and the central city becomes more and more close. The existing urban and rural passenger transit system can not meet the needs of passengers between towns and cities, and it is difficult for small town residents to travel. In this case, as one of the main means to solve the travel problem of small town residents, it is urgent to build a fully functional county bus system in small towns. The key technologies to improve the public transportation system in small towns are the forecast of passenger flow demand, the determination of bus construction scale, the layout of bus lines and stations, and the allocation of public transport vehicles. On the basis of analyzing the travel characteristics of small town residents and the accessibility of data sources, the paper establishes and calibrates a binary regression model for forecasting the passenger flow of public transport in small cities and towns. According to the revenue and cost of public transport in small towns and the average profit margin level of the public service industry in this area, the correlation model between the investment amount and the length of public transport in small towns and the capacity scale model based on passenger utilization rate are established. According to the length of bus line, the construction scale, the investment amount and the importance of the bus line per unit mileage, the generation model of public transport network in small towns is established. According to the limit of bus capacity, the limit of departure interval, the total travel time of bus passengers and the expenditure of public transport enterprises, a model of bus line and vehicle allocation in small towns during peak hours is established. Taking Shanghe County of Shandong Province as an example, this paper verifies the feasibility of the proposed theory and method of public transportation planning in small towns under the background of new urbanization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：U491.17

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