本文選題：區(qū)域運輸通道 + 非集計��； 參考：《長安大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：區(qū)域運輸通道是區(qū)域內(nèi)城市間人員和物資交流的橋梁和紐帶,構(gòu)建高效的運輸通道可以促進(jìn)社會資源的有效利用,對帶動區(qū)域城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展具有重要作用。我國正處于高速鐵路大發(fā)展的階段,各主要運輸通道將先后引入高速鐵路這種大運量的客運方式,必將對未來通道內(nèi)的客運市場結(jié)構(gòu)帶來巨大影響,科學(xué)地預(yù)測在引入高速鐵路后的通道內(nèi)的客運結(jié)構(gòu)具有重要意義。論文在國內(nèi)外關(guān)于運輸通道及通道方式劃分的研究現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上,分析了客運通道的構(gòu)成及通道內(nèi)各方式客流的特征及旅客出行選擇影響因素,構(gòu)建出基于非集計原理的運輸通道方式劃分模型,并以鄭州-濟(jì)南客運通道為實例進(jìn)行分析,驗證了模型的有效性。本文首先對運輸通道的客運系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行分析,對運輸通道定義和形成機(jī)理進(jìn)行了闡述,分析了運輸通道客運系統(tǒng)的兩大要素——運輸工具和客流的特征,剖析了各運輸方式的技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)特點和不同運輸方式旅客的出行特征,總結(jié)了旅客出行過程及方式選擇影響因素。然后比較分析了運輸通道方式劃分的兩大方法——集計方法和非集計方法的不同點,得出了非集計模型優(yōu)于集計模型的結(jié)論,闡述了非集計模型的原理及形式,介紹了非集計模型參數(shù)標(biāo)定的常用方法和工具。在確定了研究方法的基礎(chǔ)上,提出在對RP和SP調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)分析的前提下,把握通道內(nèi)旅客出行規(guī)律,合理選擇效用函數(shù)變量,借助TransCAD軟件平臺對模型參數(shù)進(jìn)行標(biāo)定,并通過統(tǒng)計檢驗方法對模型的有效性和實用性進(jìn)行驗證,根據(jù)對未來年通道特征的假設(shè),運用Logit模型得到通道方式劃分結(jié)果。最后,論文以鄭濟(jì)通道為例,對未來年通道內(nèi)的四種運輸方式的合理分擔(dān)率進(jìn)行了預(yù)測。
[Abstract]:Regional transportation channel is a bridge and link for the exchange of personnel and materials among cities in the region. The construction of an efficient transportation channel can promote the effective use of social resources and play an important role in promoting the economic development of regional cities. Our country is in the stage of the development of high-speed railway, each major transportation channel will introduce the high-speed railway as the passenger transport mode of large volume one after another, which will bring great influence to the structure of the passenger transport market in the future channel. It is of great significance to predict scientifically the passenger structure in the passage after the introduction of high-speed railway. On the basis of the current situation of research on the division of transportation channels and channels at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the structure of passenger channels, the characteristics of passenger flow in each mode and the influencing factors of passenger travel choice. Based on the principle of disaggregate, the model of transportation channel partition is constructed, and the validity of the model is verified by taking Zhengzhou-Jinan passenger corridor as an example. Firstly, this paper analyzes the passenger transport system of the transport corridor, expounds the definition and formation mechanism of the transport channel, and analyzes the characteristics of the two major elements of the passenger transport system of the transport corridor-the means of transport and the passenger flow. This paper analyzes the technical and economic characteristics of each mode of transportation and the travel characteristics of passengers of different modes of transport, and summarizes the travel process and factors affecting the choice of modes. Then, the differences between the two major methods of transportation channel partitioning, that is, the lumped method and the disaggregate method, are compared and analyzed, and the conclusion that the disaggregate model is superior to the lumped model is obtained, and the principle and form of the disaggregate model are expounded. The common methods and tools for parameter calibration of disaggregate model are introduced. On the basis of determining the research method, this paper puts forward that under the premise of analyzing the data of RP and SP investigation, we can grasp the travel law of passengers in the passage, select the utility function variables reasonably, and calibrate the model parameters with the help of TransCAD software platform. The validity and practicability of the model are verified by the statistical test method. According to the hypothesis of the channel characteristics in the future year, the Logit model is used to obtain the channel pattern partition results. Finally, taking Zheng Ji Channel as an example, this paper predicts the reasonable share rate of the four modes of transportation in the coming years.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：長安大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U111

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相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

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本文編號：1933767