本文選題：城市軌道交通 + 突發(fā)中斷��； 參考：《吉林大學》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：城市軌道交通線路作為城市公共交通網絡的主干，其具有運能大、人流密集、信息化程度高、反應迅速、系統封閉等特征。日常運營過程中，，設備故障、自然災害及其人為等事故的發(fā)生不可避免，這些突發(fā)事件往往會造成軌道交通網絡的局部中斷，導致部分車站、區(qū)段停運，乘客無法在停運區(qū)段正常進、出站。在軌道交通網絡突發(fā)中斷事件發(fā)生時，充分利用地面公共交通工具作為軌道交通客流疏運的聯動支持方式，實現受影響客流的運輸接續(xù)，是滿足乘客出行需求，保障城市客運交通系統整體運輸秩序的有效手段。 本文選取機動靈活、部署便捷的公共汽車作為城市軌道交通突發(fā)中斷事件時客流疏運的聯動方式，研究公交聯動方案制定的相關問題，主要內容如下： 1.根據突發(fā)中斷事故對于交通網絡整體的影響程度將其分為隨機性突發(fā)中斷和選擇性突發(fā)中斷兩種情況，明確論文的研究對象為隨機性突發(fā)中斷情況。結合國內外軌道交通突發(fā)中斷事故應急相關理論研究文獻及實施辦法，系統歸納、探討突發(fā)中斷事件時軌道交通列車運行調整方案及公交應急聯動模式。 2.考慮客流所處的位置與停運區(qū)間之間的關系，對受突發(fā)中斷影響的乘客進行分類，分別確定各類受影響乘客的規(guī)模。以受影響乘客為對象，研究其出行選擇行為，建立突發(fā)中斷事件時的出行阻抗函數，構建客流重分配模型，從而確定客流疏運公交聯動客流量。 3.提出城市軌道交通突發(fā)中斷事件應急響應流程、公交應急聯動的執(zhí)行決策流程，進而從客流疏運公交運力提供角度出發(fā)，確定客流疏運公交聯動的配合策略。運力有限條件下公交聯動的配合策略以引導管理為主，運力充足條件下的配合策略為向乘客提供與去向需求更佳貼切的運輸替代服務。 4.制定客流疏運公交聯動方案，在運力充足的情況下，考慮應急公交最遠疏運范圍為乘客在停運區(qū)間上下游乘坐軌道交通的平均距離，綜合考慮應急公交運力、公交運行總車公里，乘客總出行時間、線路滿載率等因素，研究制定客流疏運公交聯動線路的開行方案。 5.算例分析。假設某城市發(fā)生軌道交通網絡突發(fā)中斷事件，造成一條軌道交通線路區(qū)間停運，以此為背景進行算例計算，驗證本文所建模型和所提出的算法的有效性。
[Abstract]:As the backbone of urban public transport network, urban rail transit lines have the characteristics of large capacity, dense flow of people, high degree of information, rapid response and system closure. In the daily operation process, equipment failures, natural disasters and man-made accidents are inevitable. These emergencies often cause partial disruption of rail transit network, resulting in partial station and section suspension. Passengers are unable to enter and leave the stop normally in the stop-out section. When the sudden interruption of rail transit network occurs, the ground public transport vehicle is fully used as the linkage support mode of the passenger flow of rail transit, and the transportation continuity of the affected passenger flow is realized, which is to meet the travel needs of passengers. The effective means to ensure the overall transportation order of the urban passenger transport system. In this paper, the flexible and convenient bus is chosen as the linkage mode of the passenger flow when the urban rail transit is interrupted, and the related problems of the bus linkage scheme are studied. The main contents are as follows: 1. According to the impact degree of sudden interruption on the whole traffic network, it can be divided into two situations: random sudden interruption and selective sudden interruption, and the research object of this paper is random burst interruption. Combined with the relevant theories and implementation methods of rail transit sudden interruption accident at home and abroad, this paper systematically summarizes the train operation adjustment scheme and bus emergency linkage mode in the event of sudden interruption. 2. Considering the relationship between the location of the passenger flow and the stop interval, the passengers affected by the sudden interruption are classified, and the size of the affected passengers is determined respectively. Taking the affected passengers as the object, the travel choice behavior of the affected passengers is studied, and the travel impedance function is established for the sudden interruption event, and the passenger flow redistribution model is constructed, so as to determine the passenger flow of the public transport linkage. 3. This paper puts forward the emergency response flow of urban rail transit sudden interruption event and the executive decision-making process of bus emergency linkage, and then from the point of view of public transport capacity, determines the coordination strategy of public transportation linkage between passenger flow and public transportation. Under the condition of limited transportation capacity, the coordination strategy of bus linkage is mainly guided management, and the coordination strategy under sufficient capacity is to provide passengers with a better alternative service to meet the needs of destination. 4. In the case of sufficient transportation capacity, considering the farthest distance of emergency public transportation is the average distance between the upper and lower reaches of rail transit, and considering the capacity of emergency public transportation. This paper studies and formulates the operation plan of the passenger transport linkage line by the factors such as total bus kilometers total passenger travel time and full load rate of the line. 5. Example analysis. Suppose an urban rail transit network is interrupted suddenly resulting in a rail transit line interval outage as the background of a calculation example to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model and the proposed algorithm.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U491.17

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