本文選題：北極航線 + 東北亞��； 參考：《大連海事大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著全球氣候的變暖,北極冰川開始融化,北極地區(qū)通航時(shí)間延長(zhǎng)。加之航海技術(shù)的發(fā)展以及科技的進(jìn)步,北極航線應(yīng)運(yùn)而生,成為各國(guó)及地區(qū)關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。受北極航線的開通的影響,世界海運(yùn)的格局也會(huì)逐漸發(fā)生變化,北極沿線以及延長(zhǎng)線上的港口的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力勢(shì)必也會(huì)受到北極航線的影響。同時(shí),北極地區(qū)豐富的能源儲(chǔ)備對(duì)北極地區(qū)沿線的東北亞國(guó)家有著很大的吸引力,東北亞地區(qū)有了新的能源進(jìn)口渠道。東北亞的進(jìn)口的北極能源需要港口來(lái)裝卸,因此北極航線對(duì)東北亞地區(qū)的原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)格局有著深遠(yuǎn)影響,研究面向北極航線的東北亞區(qū)域原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力有著重要的戰(zhàn)略意義。本文首先確定研究范圍,將東北亞原油港口限定在韓國(guó)、日本、中國(guó)原油港口,并選取其中具有代表性的蔚山港、麗水港、仁川港、大山港、橫濱港、名古屋港、千葉港、青島港、天津港、寧波港、舟山港、大連港、營(yíng)口港、日照港、泉州港、惠州港十六個(gè)港口。同時(shí),針對(duì)原油港口的特殊性質(zhì)分析了原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的主要內(nèi)容以及原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的影響因素,并對(duì)北極航線背景下的原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)作了一定的闡述。之后,根據(jù)原油港口的影響因素,建立了原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,選擇輸入指標(biāo)與輸出指標(biāo)。再確立研究港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的方法選用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法,根據(jù)原油港口輸入輸出指標(biāo)多的特征,利用因子分析法選取公共因子,并選取CCR模型以及超效率模型對(duì)港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行分析。最后,本文對(duì)選取的十六個(gè)港口的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行計(jì)算,分別分析了北極航線開通前與北極航線開通后對(duì)港口效率的影響,得到在北極航線開通的情景下,中國(guó)舟山港、天津港、日照港、泉州港、營(yíng)口港港口效率有所上升,其中舟山港港口效率保持第一,寧波港、大連港、青島港港口效率變化不大,惠州港有所下降;韓國(guó)港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力變化如下:蔚山港港口效率下降,大山港、仁川港有所上升,麗水港變化不大。日本港港口效率都有所上升�？傮w來(lái)看北極航線開通中日韓主要的原油港口效率都有所上升,日本原油港口收益最大。東北亞原油港口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)均衡化,激烈化。
[Abstract]:As the global climate warms, Arctic glaciers begin to melt, extending navigation time in the Arctic. In addition, with the development of navigation technology and the progress of science and technology, Arctic route emerges as the times require, and becomes the focus of attention of all countries and regions. Under the influence of the opening of the Arctic route, the pattern of world shipping will change gradually, and the competitiveness of the ports along the arctic route and the extended line will inevitably be affected by the Arctic route. At the same time, the rich energy reserves in the Arctic region have great attraction to the Northeast Asian countries along the Arctic region, and Northeast Asia has a new energy import channel. Imports of Arctic energy from Northeast Asia need ports to load and unload, so Arctic routes have a profound impact on the competitive pattern of crude oil ports in Northeast Asia. It is of great strategic significance to study the competitiveness of Northeast Asian crude oil ports facing Arctic routes. This paper first determines the scope of the study, limits the crude oil ports of Northeast Asia to Korea, Japan and China, and selects the representative ports of Ulsan, Lishui, Incheon, Dashan, Yokohama, Nagoya, Chiba, etc. Qingdao Port, Tianjin Port, Ningbo Port, Zhoushan Port, Dalian Port, Yingkou Port, Rizhao Port, Quanzhou Port, Huizhou Port 16 ports. At the same time, the main contents of the crude oil port competition and the influencing factors of the crude oil port competition are analyzed according to the special characteristics of the crude oil port, and the crude oil port competition under the background of the Arctic route is expounded to a certain extent. Then, according to the influencing factors of crude oil port, the evaluation index system of crude oil port competitiveness is established, and the input index and output index are selected. Then establish the method of studying port competitiveness choose data envelopment analysis, according to the characteristics of the crude oil port input and output indicators, use factor analysis method to select common factors, And select the CCR model and super-efficiency model to analyze the competitiveness of the port. Finally, this paper calculates the competitiveness of the 16 selected ports, analyzes the effects on port efficiency before and after the opening of the Arctic route, and obtains the scenarios of the opening of the Arctic route, Zhoushan Port of China, Tianjin Port, The efficiency of Rizhao Port, Quanzhou Port and Yingkou Port has increased, among which the efficiency of Zhoushan Port has kept first, the port efficiency of Ningbo Port, Dalian Port and Qingdao Port has not changed much, but the Huizhou Port has declined. The changes of port competitiveness in Korea are as follows: the efficiency of Ulsan Port has declined, Dashan Port and Incheon Port have increased, and Lishui Port has not changed much. The efficiency of Japanese ports has improved. In general, the efficiency of major crude oil ports in China, Japan and South Korea has increased, with the largest return from Japanese crude oil ports. Northeast Asia crude oil port competition equalization, intense.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F551;F416.22

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