本文選題：交通運(yùn)輸經(jīng)濟(jì)　切入點(diǎn)：投建決策　出處：《交通運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)工程與信息》2017年01期

【摘要】：旅游公路的建設(shè)能夠提升景區(qū)通達(dá)性,為景區(qū)帶來經(jīng)濟(jì)效益,同時(shí)也需要大量的資金投入.由于建設(shè)資金的限制,需要根據(jù)旅游公路收益率對實(shí)際投建項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行決策."旅游公路收益率計(jì)算模型"通過對景區(qū)在不同旅游交通條件下的客流量進(jìn)行預(yù)測,定量分析旅游公路建設(shè)對客流量的影響,計(jì)算出不同旅游公路建設(shè)項(xiàng)目的收益率.該模型中客流量預(yù)測以游客對景區(qū)的"旅游資源吸引力"和"旅游阻力"評價(jià)分布曲線為基礎(chǔ),認(rèn)為游客對景區(qū)做出選擇是基于對該景區(qū)的"旅游資源吸引力"評估大于"旅游阻力"評估.同時(shí)以我國西南地區(qū)某縣為例,對該縣旅游公路建設(shè)項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行投建決策分析.
[Abstract]:The construction of tourist roads can enhance the accessibility of scenic spots, bring economic benefits to the scenic spots, and at the same time, it also requires a large amount of capital investment. Due to the restrictions of construction funds, It is necessary to make a decision on the actual investment project according to the rate of return of the tourist highway. By forecasting the passenger flow of the scenic spot under different tourist traffic conditions, the influence of the construction of the tourist highway on the passenger flow is quantitatively analyzed. The profit rate of different tourist highway construction projects is calculated. In this model, the prediction of passenger flow is based on the distribution curve of tourist's "attraction of tourist resources" and "tourism resistance" to scenic spots. It is considered that the choice of scenic spot is based on the evaluation of "attraction of tourist resources" is greater than that of "tourism resistance". At the same time, taking a county in southwest China as an example, this paper makes a decision analysis on the project of tourism highway construction in this county.
【作者單位】： 中南大學(xué)交通運(yùn)輸工程學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(71371193,71501190)~~
【分類號】：F592;F542.3
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本文編號：1656311