本文關(guān)鍵詞： 船舶污染 應(yīng)急能力 評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系 層次分析法 模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)　出處：《大連海事大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：寧波憑借其優(yōu)越的地理位置和自然條件,已成為我國重要的石油和危險(xiǎn)化學(xué)品集散基地,石油和危險(xiǎn)化學(xué)品吞吐量持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),船舶流量不斷增加,船舶污染事故風(fēng)險(xiǎn)也隨之增加。寧波海域擁有豐富的海洋漁業(yè)資源和濱海旅游資源,如果發(fā)生船舶污染事故,不能在第一時(shí)間控制事故災(zāi)情,將會(huì)給寧波海域海洋生態(tài)環(huán)境造成嚴(yán)重?fù)p害。因此,對(duì)寧波海域船舶污染應(yīng)急能力進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)研究,發(fā)現(xiàn)寧波海域應(yīng)急管理存在的問題,對(duì)提高寧波海域船舶污染應(yīng)急能力建設(shè)具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文首先通過專家調(diào)查與文獻(xiàn)閱讀相結(jié)合的方法,對(duì)船舶污染應(yīng)急能力的影響因素進(jìn)行分析和歸類,構(gòu)建了船舶污染應(yīng)急能力評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系。確定了包括應(yīng)急組織、應(yīng)急儲(chǔ)備、應(yīng)急救援等5個(gè)一級(jí)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)；應(yīng)急組織機(jī)構(gòu)、應(yīng)急培訓(xùn)演練、事故監(jiān)測(cè)識(shí)別、災(zāi)情評(píng)估決策和卸載儲(chǔ)運(yùn)能力等19個(gè)二級(jí)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)。為了專家對(duì)19個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo)隸屬度進(jìn)行打分時(shí)有統(tǒng)一的標(biāo)準(zhǔn),對(duì)每個(gè)二級(jí)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的評(píng)價(jià)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)進(jìn)行了明確�；趯幉êＳ虼拔廴緫�(yīng)急管理現(xiàn)狀,構(gòu)建了模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型,對(duì)寧波船舶污染應(yīng)急能力進(jìn)行了綜合評(píng)價(jià)。運(yùn)用層次分析法確定各級(jí)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的權(quán)重,并采用專家打分法確定各評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的隸屬度。最后,利用加權(quán)平均法對(duì)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果進(jìn)行反模糊化計(jì)算,得到最終評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果。通過對(duì)寧波海域船舶污染應(yīng)急能力的綜合評(píng)價(jià),發(fā)現(xiàn)應(yīng)急預(yù)警能力和應(yīng)急響應(yīng)能力存在不足,分析了不足的原因,為提高寧波海域船舶污染應(yīng)急能力建設(shè)提供了參考依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:With its superior geographical location and natural conditions, Ningbo has become an important oil and dangerous chemicals distribution base in China. The throughput of oil and dangerous chemicals continues to increase, and the volume of ships is increasing. The risk of ship pollution accidents also increases. Ningbo has abundant marine fishery resources and coastal tourism resources. If a ship pollution accident occurs, it is impossible to control the disaster situation in the first place. It will cause serious damage to the marine ecological environment in Ningbo Sea area. Therefore, the evaluation and study on the emergency response ability of ships in Ningbo Sea area, we find the problems existing in the emergency management of Ningbo Sea area. It is of great practical significance to improve the capacity of ship pollution emergency response in Ningbo. Firstly, through the method of combining expert investigation with literature reading, this paper analyzes and classifies the influencing factors of ship pollution emergency ability. The evaluation index system of ship pollution emergency response capability is constructed. Five primary evaluation indexes, including emergency organization, emergency reserve, emergency rescue, emergency organization, emergency training exercise, accident monitoring and identification, are determined. There are 19 secondary evaluation indexes such as disaster assessment decision and unloading storage and transportation capacity. In order for experts to grade the membership of 19 secondary indexes, there is a unified standard. Based on the present situation of ship pollution emergency management in Ningbo, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is constructed. The comprehensive evaluation of Ningbo ship pollution emergency response capacity is carried out. The weight of evaluation indexes at all levels is determined by AHP, and the membership degree of each evaluation index is determined by expert scoring method. Finally, By using weighted average method to calculate the evaluation results, the final evaluation results are obtained. Through the comprehensive evaluation of the ship pollution emergency capacity in Ningbo sea area, it is found that the ability of emergency warning and emergency response is insufficient. The reasons for the shortage are analyzed, which provides a reference for improving the emergency capacity of ship pollution in Ningbo sea area.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：U698.7

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