低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)下京津冀發(fā)展路徑研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-11-02 07:14
【摘要】：改革開放以來，雖然我國經(jīng)濟(jì)得到了飛速發(fā)展，人民物質(zhì)生活水平得到了極大的提高，綜合國力顯著增強(qiáng)，但與之相伴的是生態(tài)環(huán)境的嚴(yán)重破壞，各種環(huán)境污染現(xiàn)象層出不窮，大氣污染問題尤為突出，最近兩年的霧霾天氣已經(jīng)成為生活中的常態(tài)。在2013年城市PM2.5污染排名榜上，接近92%的城市的空氣PM2.5年均濃度達(dá)不到國家標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，高出國家標(biāo)準(zhǔn)一倍以上的城市多達(dá)三十二座，而大氣污染最嚴(yán)重的前十個(gè)城市其年均濃度高出國家標(biāo)準(zhǔn)近兩倍。其中有7座城市位于京津冀地區(qū)，嚴(yán)重的霧霾天氣給京津冀地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和人民的健康造成了非常嚴(yán)重的不利影響。究其原因，主要是由于煤炭、石油等化石燃料的大量燃燒以及生產(chǎn)方式、生活方式的不當(dāng)所致。 黨中央國務(wù)院高度重視環(huán)境問題，提出：到2017年，京津冀地區(qū)細(xì)顆粒物濃度下降25%左右，京津冀空氣質(zhì)量明顯好轉(zhuǎn)�！逗颖笔〈髿馕廴痉乐涡袆�(dòng)計(jì)劃實(shí)施方案》提出，要到2017年實(shí)現(xiàn)全省燃煤削減4000萬噸，鋼鐵減產(chǎn)6000萬噸，細(xì)顆粒物濃度比2012年下降25%以上。北京市政府和天津市政府也都相繼提出了各自的“十二五”節(jié)能減排計(jì)劃、具體目標(biāo)和相應(yīng)工作方案等政策措施，以全力應(yīng)對當(dāng)前的環(huán)境污染問題。 京津冀位于我國環(huán)渤海地區(qū)，隨著近些年經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展，該地區(qū)逐漸成為我國經(jīng)濟(jì)版圖中的重要版塊，京津冀三地之間的協(xié)同發(fā)展得到了黨中央國務(wù)院的高度重視。不過，與全國情況類似，該地區(qū)也存在著發(fā)展方式粗放、環(huán)境破壞嚴(yán)重、增長質(zhì)量較差的問題。京津冀地區(qū)應(yīng)該抓住機(jī)遇，加快調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，改變粗放的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式，大力發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)，最終實(shí)現(xiàn)社會(huì)和經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。 本文在低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的視角下，通過對京津冀低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的分析，試圖找到京津冀地區(qū)的發(fā)展方向和發(fā)展方式。在本文的研究中，首先對低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了梳理，并依次介紹了低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的理論基礎(chǔ)；其次，利用產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)原理對京津冀產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)特點(diǎn)及京津冀能源結(jié)構(gòu)特征進(jìn)行了研究，并對京津冀的碳排放量進(jìn)行了計(jì)算和分析，，得出了京津冀產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)偏重、能源結(jié)構(gòu)亟待優(yōu)化、沒有實(shí)現(xiàn)碳排放絕對減排的結(jié)論；然后，運(yùn)用KAYA模型對碳排放影響因子進(jìn)行了相關(guān)性分析，找到了影響京津冀碳排放的主要因素；再次，利用EKC理論和脫鉤模型對京津冀地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與碳排放之間的長期趨勢和短期波動(dòng)進(jìn)行了分析，并得出了京津冀發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的緊迫性以及實(shí)施調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)等措施的有效性的結(jié)論；最后，針對上述分析結(jié)果，提出京津冀發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的政策建議，探討了京津冀實(shí)現(xiàn)協(xié)同發(fā)展的重點(diǎn)合作領(lǐng)域。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, although the economy of our country has been developed at full speed, the people's material living standard has been greatly improved, and the comprehensive national strength has been greatly enhanced, but it is accompanied by the serious destruction of the ecological environment and the emergence of various environmental pollution phenomena in endlessly. The problem of air pollution is particularly serious, haze weather has become the norm in the past two years. In the 2013 PM2.5 pollution ranking, nearly 92 percent of cities had annual PM2.5 concentrations below the national standard, with more than 32 cities more than twice the national standard. The top 10 most polluted cities are nearly twice as high as national standards. Seven of the cities are located in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and the severe haze weather has caused a very serious adverse impact on the economic development and the health of the people in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This is mainly due to the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal and petroleum, and improper production and lifestyle. The CPC Central Committee and the State Council attach great importance to environmental issues, and put forward the following: by 2017, the concentration of fine particulates in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will drop by about 25 percent, and the air quality in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will obviously improve. The "Plan of Action for the Prevention and Control of Air pollution in Hebei Province" was proposed. By 2017, coal will be cut by 40 million tons across the province, steel will be cut by 60 million tons, and fine particulate matter concentrations will fall more than 25 percent from 2012. The Beijing Municipal Government and the Tianjin Municipal Government have also put forward their own "12th Five-Year Plan" energy saving and emission reduction plan, specific objectives and corresponding work programs and other policies and measures, in order to fully deal with the current environmental pollution problems. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is located in the Bohai Sea area of our country. With the rapid development of economy in recent years, this area has gradually become an important part of the economic map of our country, and the coordinated development among the three places has been attached great importance to by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council. However, similar to the national situation, the region also has extensive development, serious environmental damage, poor growth quality. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region should seize the opportunity, speed up the adjustment of industrial structure, change the extensive economic growth mode, vigorously develop low-carbon economy, and finally realize the sustainable development of society and economy. From the perspective of low carbon economy, this paper tries to find out the direction and mode of development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei low carbon economy through the analysis of the present situation of the development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. In this paper, first of all, the related literature on low-carbon economy is combed, and the theoretical basis of low-carbon economy is introduced in turn. Secondly, the industrial structure characteristics and energy structure characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei are studied, and the carbon emissions of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei are calculated and analyzed, and it is concluded that the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is more important than that of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. The energy structure needs to be optimized, and there is no conclusion of absolute carbon emission reduction. Then, the KAYA model is used to analyze the correlation of carbon emission factors, and the main factors that affect the carbon emissions of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are found. Thirdly, using EKC theory and decoupling model to analyze the long-term trend and short-term fluctuation between economic growth and carbon emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The urgency of developing low-carbon economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the effectiveness of measures such as adjusting industrial structure are obtained. Finally, in view of the above analysis results, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions for the development of low carbon economy in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, and probes into the key areas of cooperation between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei in the realization of coordinated development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F127
本文編號(hào)：2305319
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, although the economy of our country has been developed at full speed, the people's material living standard has been greatly improved, and the comprehensive national strength has been greatly enhanced, but it is accompanied by the serious destruction of the ecological environment and the emergence of various environmental pollution phenomena in endlessly. The problem of air pollution is particularly serious, haze weather has become the norm in the past two years. In the 2013 PM2.5 pollution ranking, nearly 92 percent of cities had annual PM2.5 concentrations below the national standard, with more than 32 cities more than twice the national standard. The top 10 most polluted cities are nearly twice as high as national standards. Seven of the cities are located in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and the severe haze weather has caused a very serious adverse impact on the economic development and the health of the people in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This is mainly due to the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal and petroleum, and improper production and lifestyle. The CPC Central Committee and the State Council attach great importance to environmental issues, and put forward the following: by 2017, the concentration of fine particulates in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will drop by about 25 percent, and the air quality in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will obviously improve. The "Plan of Action for the Prevention and Control of Air pollution in Hebei Province" was proposed. By 2017, coal will be cut by 40 million tons across the province, steel will be cut by 60 million tons, and fine particulate matter concentrations will fall more than 25 percent from 2012. The Beijing Municipal Government and the Tianjin Municipal Government have also put forward their own "12th Five-Year Plan" energy saving and emission reduction plan, specific objectives and corresponding work programs and other policies and measures, in order to fully deal with the current environmental pollution problems. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is located in the Bohai Sea area of our country. With the rapid development of economy in recent years, this area has gradually become an important part of the economic map of our country, and the coordinated development among the three places has been attached great importance to by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council. However, similar to the national situation, the region also has extensive development, serious environmental damage, poor growth quality. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region should seize the opportunity, speed up the adjustment of industrial structure, change the extensive economic growth mode, vigorously develop low-carbon economy, and finally realize the sustainable development of society and economy. From the perspective of low carbon economy, this paper tries to find out the direction and mode of development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei low carbon economy through the analysis of the present situation of the development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. In this paper, first of all, the related literature on low-carbon economy is combed, and the theoretical basis of low-carbon economy is introduced in turn. Secondly, the industrial structure characteristics and energy structure characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei are studied, and the carbon emissions of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei are calculated and analyzed, and it is concluded that the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is more important than that of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. The energy structure needs to be optimized, and there is no conclusion of absolute carbon emission reduction. Then, the KAYA model is used to analyze the correlation of carbon emission factors, and the main factors that affect the carbon emissions of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are found. Thirdly, using EKC theory and decoupling model to analyze the long-term trend and short-term fluctuation between economic growth and carbon emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The urgency of developing low-carbon economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the effectiveness of measures such as adjusting industrial structure are obtained. Finally, in view of the above analysis results, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions for the development of low carbon economy in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, and probes into the key areas of cooperation between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei in the realization of coordinated development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F127
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本文編號(hào)：2305319
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